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San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2011
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 125-95
36-12 26-38 32-22 31-23
Position#2
Record53-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game96.6
vs
Position#5
Record45-22
FormWLWLL
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game94.4
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat
20 Jan 2027
SAS v MIA
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
SAS107
MIA101
01 Feb 2025
SAS103
MIA105
12 Nov 2023
SAS113
MIA118
13 Oct 2023
SAS120
MIA104
17 Dec 2022
SAS101
MIA111
03 Feb 2022
SAS95
MIA112
08 Oct 2021
SAS105
MIA109
21 Apr 2021
SAS87
MIA107
19 Jan 2020
SAS107
MIA102
20 Mar 2019
SAS105
MIA110
30 Sep 2018
SAS104
MIA100
06 Dec 2017
SAS117
MIA105
14 Nov 2016
SAS94
MIA90
14 Oct 2016
SAS100
MIA108
23 Mar 2016
SAS112
MIA88
06 Feb 2015
SAS98
MIA85
18 Oct 2014
SAS108
MIA111
15 Jun 2014
SAS104
MIA87
08 Jun 2014
SAS96
MIA98
05 Jun 2014
SAS110
MIA95
06 Mar 2014
SAS111
MIA87
16 Jun 2013
SAS114
MIA104
13 Jun 2013
SAS93
MIA109
11 Jun 2013
SAS113
MIA77
31 Mar 2013
SAS86
MIA88
04 Mar 2011
SAS125
MIA95
09 Oct 2010
SAS90
MIA73
31 Dec 2009
SAS108
MIA78
07 Nov 2008
SAS83
MIA99
24 Oct 2008
SAS93
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
111-100
111
100
+11
A10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
118-94
118
94
+24
A13/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
102-85
102
85
+17
A15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
99-109
99
109
-10
A18/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
109-105
109
105
+4
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
106-96
106
96
+10
H26/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A02/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
109-99
109
99
+10
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
29-27
21-28
30-16
22-27
24-19
12-14
13-17
37-18
35-27
29-20
17-29
27-23
32-25
21-18
22-19
25-30
26-28
24-25
24-26
31-37
33-16
24-27
21-25
29-25
24-29
35-18
18-24
26-16
17-19
16-28
36-25
30-32
22-29
15-22
26-26
24-25
33-27
32-20
20-27
197.5Avg total
101.3Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)102.696.6199.3+6.079%
Season at home (33)104.994.9199.8+10.091%
Season away (34)100.498.3198.7+2.168%
Last 10 (10)101.396.2197.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)102.499.4201.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)97.294.5191.7+2.862%
vs Weaker (17)103.496.4199.8+7.088%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#19
W
117-112
117
112
+5
H09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
106-92
106
92
+14
A12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#19
W
110-103
110
103
+7
A16/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
117-97
117
97
+20
H23/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
89-93
89
93
-4
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#7
L
96-99
96
99
-3
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
30-37
27-31
27-15
25-21
39-22
22-22
20-27
20-15
23-24
18-35
21-11
41-19
17-35
24-29
28-20
29-27
21-19
30-26
23-23
35-16
28-28
30-26
24-27
31-23
22-21
14-27
22-22
20-25
43-36
25-23
33-29
34-23
17-29
15-13
20-26
30-22
33-23
17-26
16-28
200.7Avg total
102.7Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)100.994.4195.3+6.467%
Season at home (32)103.394.2197.6+9.175%
Season away (35)98.694.6193.2+4.060%
Last 10 (10)102.798.0200.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)101.898.6200.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)99.8100.9200.7-1.144%
vs Weaker (21)104.796.5201.2+8.181%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
San Antonio SpursMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A10/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A12/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
72-45
72
45
+27
A13/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A18/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H28/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A02/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A03/03
NBA
106.5Avg total
55.7Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.949.2103.1+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (10)52.946.399.2+6.680%-
Last 30 away (20)54.550.6105.1+3.965%-
Last 10 (10)55.750.8106.5+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.851.0104.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.547.098.5+4.569%-
vs Weaker (17)55.850.8106.6+4.971%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#19
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
64-43
64
43
+21
A12/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A13/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#19
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A16/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H23/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A25/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H28/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#7
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H04/03
NBA
106.5Avg total
57.1Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.949.5103.3+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.949.2104.2+5.762%-
Last 30 away (17)53.149.6102.7+3.482%-
Last 10 (10)57.149.4106.5+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)58.649.2107.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)53.349.1102.4+4.278%-
vs Weaker (21)54.149.6103.7+4.571%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Antonio Spurs wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/11ACleveland Cavaliers109-99
02/03/11AMemphis Grizzlies93-109
28/02/11HMemphis Grizzlies95-88
26/02/11HBrooklyn Nets106-96
24/02/11HOklahoma City Thunder109-105
18/02/11AChicago Bulls99-109
15/02/11ABrooklyn Nets102-85
13/02/11AWashington Wizards118-94
12/02/11APhiladelphia 76ers71-77
10/02/11AToronto Raptors111-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/11HOrlando Magic96-99
28/02/11HNew York Knicks86-91
26/02/11HWashington Wizards121-113
25/02/11AChicago Bulls89-93
23/02/11HSacramento Kings117-97
17/02/11AToronto Raptors103-95
16/02/11AIndiana Pacers110-103
13/02/11ABoston Celtics82-85
12/02/11ADetroit Pistons106-92
09/02/11HIndiana Pacers117-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLLW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %79%91%68%
Points / game102.6104.9100.4
Allowed / game96.694.998.3
Point differential+6.0+10.0+2.1
Avg total199.3199.8198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%48%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (14)100% (4)70% (10)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL67%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673235
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game100.9103.398.6
Allowed / game94.494.294.6
Point differential+6.4+9.1+4.0
Avg total195.3197.6193.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (17)25% (8)33% (9)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs67531479%102.696.6+6.0
2 Boston Celtics68521676%98.591.8+6.8
3 Dallas Mavericks69492071%98.995.8+3.2
4 Los Angeles Lakers69472268%101.695.9+5.7
5 Chicago Bulls68462268%97.792.2+5.5
6 Miami Heat67452267%100.994.4+6.4
7 Orlando Magic70472367%100.292.6+7.7
8 Oklahoma City Thunder66412562%104.3102.3+2.0
9 Denver Nuggets71422959%107.7104.0+3.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies70412959%100.097.6+2.5
11 Utah Jazz70403057%99.599.1+0.4
12 Atlanta Hawks69393057%95.295.5-0.3
13 Portland Trail Blazers68373154%96.696.2+0.4
14 New Orleans Pelicans72373551%93.993.6+0.4
15 Phoenix Suns68343450%104.0105.8-1.7
16 Houston Rockets71353649%104.6103.3+1.3
17 New York Knicks67333449%105.5105.7-0.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers68333549%98.697.1+1.5
19 Indiana Pacers68303844%99.3100.6-1.3
20 Charlotte Hornets68303844%93.596.1-2.6
21 Golden State Warriors69303943%102.6105.2-2.6
22 Milwaukee Bucks68264238%91.993.4-1.5
23 Detroit Pistons71254635%95.799.7-4.0
24 Los Angeles Clippers70234733%98.2102.2-4.0
25 Toronto Raptors70214930%100.0104.7-4.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves71215030%102.5107.2-4.6
27 Brooklyn Nets68204829%93.399.2-5.9
28 Sacramento Kings66184827%97.6102.9-5.3
29 Washington Wizards67184927%96.5102.9-6.4
30 Cleveland Cavaliers68185026%95.9103.9-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs36263231125
Miami Heat1238222395
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