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San Jose State vs UNLV Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#278
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.7
San Jose State
USA
vs
UNLV
USA
Position#74
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Jose State v UNLV
09 Jan 2027
SAN v UNLV
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
SAN 62
UNLV76
25 Feb 2025
SAN 71
UNLV77
27 Jan 2024
SAN 65
UNLV77
28 Dec 2022
SAN 75
UNLV72
17 Jan 2022
SAN 56
UNLV81
21 Feb 2021
SAN 64
UNLV67
19 Feb 2021
SAN 60
UNLV76
29 Feb 2020
SAN 69
UNLV92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Jose State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A12/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
77-93
77
93
-16
A13/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H02/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#17
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
38-48
42-37
44-43
37-42
36-43
34-45
34-37
36-49
42-39
41-39
43-35
36-43
41-50
45-27
50-47
31-51
48-40
37-36
38-44
161.5Avg total
78.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.081.7164.7+1.333%
Season at home (2)85.077.0162.0+8.050%
Season away (1)79.091.0170.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)78.483.1161.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)82.082.4164.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)70.281.9152.2-11.78%
vs Similar (4)83.269.2152.5+14.0100%
vs Weaker (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H04/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
57-35
24-42
43-38
35-37
39-37
32-24
60-41
39-42
47-47
44-31
29-39
23-37
37-43
43-47
46-30
45-40
43-39
39-33
37-35
156.4Avg total
80.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.374.7159.0+9.7100%
Season at home (3)84.374.7159.0+9.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.775.7156.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)77.274.8152.0+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.981.5155.4-7.625%
vs Similar (10)80.682.0162.6-1.470%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.965.6146.5+15.288%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +5.4+5.4
San Jose StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/03
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H02/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#17
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A08/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/11
NCAA
77.5Avg total
37.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.238.473.6-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.236.873.1-0.629%-
Last 30 away (13)33.840.574.3-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.577.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.277.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.240.274.4-6.017%-
vs Similar (4)41.232.874.0+8.550%-
vs Weaker (2)34.529.063.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A12/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.973.3-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.173.8+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)33.839.072.8-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.472.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.838.070.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (10)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.232.874.0+8.588%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Jose State wins
8
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26UNLV v San Jose State82-75
17/01/26San Jose State v UNLV62-76
26/02/25San Jose State v UNLV71-77
04/01/25UNLV v San Jose State79-73
03/03/24UNLV v San Jose State68-50
28/01/24San Jose State v UNLV65-77
15/02/23UNLV v San Jose State66-75
29/12/22San Jose State v UNLV75-72 OT
22/01/22UNLV v San Jose State70-62
18/01/22San Jose State v UNLV56-81
San Jose Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HUC Riverside75-80
08/11/26AUC Irvine79-91
02/11/26HUTSA Roadrunners95-74
13/03/26ANew Mexico77-93
12/03/26ABoise State84-74
07/03/26HWyoming78-88
04/03/26AFresno State68-82
28/02/26HColorado State73-85
25/02/26AAir Force86-80
21/02/26ABoise State69-84
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HStanford76-68
07/11/26HSamford88-79
04/11/26HNorthern Arizona89-77
12/03/26AUtah State60-80
11/03/26HWyoming73-70
07/03/26ASan Diego State86-89
04/03/26HUtah State92-65
01/03/26HNevada85-83 OT
26/02/26AGrand Canyon67-80
21/02/26AAir Force91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Jose State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.085.079.0
Allowed / game81.777.091.0
Point differential+1.3+8.0-12.0
Avg total164.7162.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.384.3-
Allowed / game74.774.7-
Point differential+9.7+9.7-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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