Sao Paulo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 22:15

Final 77-78

15-27 26-15 22-20 14-16

Position#3

Record12-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game88.4

Allowed / game79.1

Sao Paulo

Paulistano 🏆

Position#5

Record9-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game72.1

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Paulistano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paulistano winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

93-71

+22

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

71-79

-8

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

81-85

-4

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

111-81

111

+30

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

82-73

A10/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

94-101

101

-7

A15/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

96-89

A17/12

NBB

Flamengo

66-91

-25

H20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

96-68

+28

H22/12

NBB

Minas

100-83

100

+17

H27/12

NBB

16-21

25-19

33-13

19-18

21-26

21-10

14-24

15-19

20-13

20-26

22-14

19-32

26-25

29-18

31-15

25-23

23-18

13-16

26-9

20-30

17-17

27-31

24-28

26-25

28-24

31-17

21-20

16-28

21-27

11-17

16-23

18-24

28-26

20-11

27-14

21-17

25-22

18-21

30-18

27-22

171.1Avg total

89.0Scored

82.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	88.4	79.1	167.5	+9.3	80%
Season at home (7)	85.3	78.4	163.7	+6.9	86%
Season away (8)	91.1	79.8	170.9	+11.4	75%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	82.1	171.1	+6.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	86.4	176.8	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	74.0	88.3	162.3	-14.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	76.8	76.2	153.0	+0.6	50%
vs Weaker (17)	92.8	75.7	168.5	+17.1	88%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

72-61

+11

A04/11

NBB

Pinheiros

62-76

-14

H17/11

NBB

Bauru

71-68 OT

H19/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

63-66

-3

A25/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

78-72

A27/11

NBB

Minas

90-73

+17

H03/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

93-80

+13

A13/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

82-72

+10

A15/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

72-62

+10

H20/12

NBB

Flamengo

84-90

-6

H22/12

NBB

4-9

15-20

23-13

30-19

26-17

4-19

19-23

13-17

22-15

10-19

15-11

18-20

13-15

18-21

17-14

15-16

24-18

15-26

21-18

18-10

19-26

22-16

28-16

21-15

25-11

17-19

27-25

24-25

28-27

16-18

26-9

12-18

18-20

17-14

17-15

20-13

23-24

24-24

17-19

20-23

148.7Avg total

76.7Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	75.2	72.1	147.3	+3.1	60%
Season at home (6)	75.8	73.0	148.8	+2.8	67%
Season away (9)	74.8	71.4	146.2	+3.3	56%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	72.0	148.7	+4.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	75.4	159.6	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	73.1	80.6	153.7	-7.4	14%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	75.4	71.0	146.4	+4.4	67%
vs Weaker (14)	78.3	70.4	148.7	+7.9	79%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloPaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	23.2	47.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	26.0	46.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	17.4	35.1	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	22.7	40.0	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.7	17.2	34.9	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	16.2	38.1	+5.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	14.1	36.4	+8.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	19.0	33.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.3	14.8	35.1	+5.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.1	16.5	40.6	+7.5	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	19.0	35.5	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	19.3	35.8	-2.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	18.8	35.2	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.1	19.3	35.4	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.2	18.3	33.6	-3.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (14)	17.4	19.4	36.7	-2.0	36%	-

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uniao Corinthians

#13

41-40

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

42-36

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

40-39

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

55-43

+12

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

36-34

A10/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

44-48

-4

A15/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

59-41

+18

A17/12

NBB

Flamengo

32-44

-12

H20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

48-37

+11

H22/12

NBB

Minas

43-43

H27/12

NBB

84.5Avg total

44.0Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	36.9	79.8	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	36.7	80.9	+7.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	37.0	78.9	+4.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	40.5	84.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	42.6	87.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.3	45.0	80.3	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.0	35.0	73.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	47.2	36.5	83.8	+10.7	94%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

19-29

-10

A04/11

NBB

Pinheiros

30-36

-6

H17/11

NBB

Bauru

32-34

-2

H19/11

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

31-36

-5

A25/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

39-44

-5

A27/11

NBB

Minas

41-42

-1

H03/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

42-30

+12

A13/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

44-45

-1

A15/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

35-34

H20/12

NBB

Flamengo

47-48

-1

H22/12

NBB

73.8Avg total

36.0Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	37.8	72.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.0	39.6	75.6	-3.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	36.2	70.3	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.4	42.0	75.4	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	32.9	35.6	68.4	-2.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (14)	37.1	37.1	74.3	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.1	18.6	42.8	+5.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	17.8	42.2	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (17)	24.4	16.5	40.9	+7.8	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	16.1	36.1	+3.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	15.6	36.5	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	16.4	35.7	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.8	39.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.4	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	15.9	36.4	+4.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.4	15.1	34.5	+4.2	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.8	44.4	-3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-1.9	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.2	38.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.1	18.6	36.7	-0.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	19.2	40.6	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.6	17.4	38.1	+3.2	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	40.0	82.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.2	41.1	84.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	41.6	86.6	+3.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	43.3	82.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.6	38.7	83.3	+5.9	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	34.3	74.6	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.8	35.4	77.2	+6.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	33.3	72.2	+5.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	33.9	74.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	35.6	78.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.7	36.7	75.4	+2.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	41.9	35.1	77.0	+6.8	78%	-
vs Weaker (14)	40.0	32.6	72.6	+7.4	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/22	Sao Paulo v Paulistano	80-71
23/12/21	Paulistano v Sao Paulo	60-75
13/02/21	Paulistano v Sao Paulo	63-71
15/01/21	Sao Paulo v Paulistano	78-65
30/12/20	Sao Paulo v Paulistano	78-64 OT
31/01/20	Sao Paulo v Paulistano	75-74
14/12/19	Paulistano v Sao Paulo	92-98 OT

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/22	H	Minas	100-83
22/12/22	H	Sao Jose	96-68
20/12/22	H	Flamengo	66-91
17/12/22	A	Brasilia	96-89
15/12/22	A	Cerrado	94-101
10/12/22	A	Unifacisa	82-73
08/12/22	A	Cearense	111-81
30/11/22	A	San Martin	81-85
30/11/22	A	Boca Juniors	71-79
25/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	93-71

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/22	H	Flamengo	84-90
20/12/22	H	Sao Jose	72-62
15/12/22	A	Brasilia	82-72
13/12/22	A	Cerrado	93-80
03/12/22	H	Minas	90-73
27/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	78-72
25/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	63-66
19/11/22	H	Bauru	71-68 OT
17/11/22	H	Pinheiros	62-76
04/11/22	A	Unifacisa	72-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	80%
Home	WWLWW	86%
Away	WWWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	80%	86%	75%
Points / game	88.4	85.3	91.1
Allowed / game	79.1	78.4	79.8
Point differential	+9.3	+6.9	+11.4
Avg total	167.5	163.7	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	29%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Paulistano

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	60%
Home	LWWWL	67%
Away	WLWWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	6	9
Win %	60%	67%	56%
Points / game	75.2	75.8	74.8
Allowed / game	72.1	73.0	71.4
Point differential	+3.1	+2.8	+3.3
Avg total	147.3	148.8	146.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	33%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	7%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	16	16	0	100%	89.1	75.9	+13.1
2	Flamengo	16	14	2	88%	83.5	68.1	+15.4
3	Sao Paulo	15	12	3	80%	88.4	79.1	+9.3
4	Minas	15	10	5	67%	86.9	78.5	+8.4
5	Corinthians Paulista	15	10	5	67%	80.8	76.7	+4.1
6	Pinheiros	15	10	5	67%	80.5	78.4	+2.1
7	Paulistano	15	9	6	60%	75.2	72.1	+3.1
8	Bauru	15	8	7	53%	79.1	72.1	+7.0
9	Unifacisa	15	7	8	47%	76.4	81.1	-4.7
10	Brasilia	15	6	9	40%	77.7	82.1	-4.5
11	Sao Jose	16	6	10	38%	77.8	82.0	-4.2
12	Caxias do Sul	15	5	10	33%	72.9	76.1	-3.1
13	Pato	15	4	11	27%	74.6	83.5	-8.9
14	Cearense	16	4	12	25%	72.0	80.7	-8.7
15	Cerrado	15	3	12	20%	84.0	90.9	-6.9
16	Uniao Corinthians	15	3	12	20%	76.6	83.5	-6.9
17	Rio Claro	16	3	13	19%	73.1	87.9	-14.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	15	26	22	14	77
Paulistano	27	15	20	16	78

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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