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Sao Paulo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 86-84
24-27 22-19 16-16 24-22
Position#13
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game79.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Paulistano
30 Oct 2024
SAO 86
PAUL84
23 Jan 2024
SAO 90
PAUL71
05 Jan 2023
SAO 77
PAUL78
07 Mar 2022
SAO 80
PAUL71
15 Jan 2021
SAO 78
PAUL65
30 Dec 2020
SAO 78
PAUL64
31 Jan 2020
SAO 75
PAUL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
84avg 74
A25/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-84
59
84
-25
53avg 74
A03/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-74
105
74
+31
104avg 74
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 74
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
72avg 74
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-98
67
98
-31
54avg 74
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 74
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 74
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
75avg 74
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
70avg 74
H26/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
31-12
20-24
14-18
18-25
13-17
11-25
17-17
29-15
23-22
28-19
25-18
19-16
14-25
29-26
24-17
14-32
18-22
24-21
23-29
13-22
18-22
17-28
19-26
23-30
22-16
19-25
24-10
20-15
20-26
19-20
23-19
21-14
16-22
22-18
23-12
19-22
17-21
23-16
19-9
163.5Avg total
81.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.573.8156.2+8.8100%
Season at home (2)80.067.0147.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)85.080.5165.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.482.1163.5-0.770%
Last 5 (5)79.478.6158.0+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)85.884.4170.2+1.369%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.777.0157.7+3.767%
vs Weaker (5)79.275.0154.2+4.260%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-64
93
64
+29
96avg 69
A12/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 69
A18/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 69
H22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
45avg 69
A02/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 69
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 69
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 69
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 69
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 69
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 69
H28/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
20-14
18-19
26-12
26-20
26-17
16-13
15-15
22-24
11-11
30-14
14-19
18-15
9-18
16-21
18-10
13-21
28-33
19-21
15-14
13-21
13-18
24-27
23-14
17-19
21-21
15-18
14-14
29-13
24-13
13-18
14-18
30-17
26-31
12-29
22-23
19-17
16-23
24-22
20-21
152.5Avg total
77.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.079.2158.2-0.225%
Season at home (3)83.081.7164.7+1.333%
Season away (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)77.874.7152.5+3.140%
Last 5 (5)77.879.4157.2-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.383.4156.7-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.670.1143.7+3.550%
vs Weaker (12)81.768.3150.0+13.367%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
Sao PauloPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
NBB
81.5Avg total
39.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.181.6+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.637.080.6+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.742.882.4-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.481.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.079.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.141.383.4+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.439.479.9+1.044%-
vs Weaker (5)41.437.278.6+4.260%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A12/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A18/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A02/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H06/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H08/05
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
53-26
53
26
+27
H14/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H24/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H28/10
NBB
79.5Avg total
41.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.975.6+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.236.777.9+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.237.073.2-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.579.5+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.443.379.7-6.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.234.872.0+2.450%-
vs Weaker (12)40.835.576.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.0
52.9%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.9
37.1%
33.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
72.7%15.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.4
50.3%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.2
33.8%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
72.7%12.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
WWWWLLWWLW
Paulistano
LLWLLLLWWW
#13
League position
#12
-1.2
Net rating
+4.9
109.1
Offensive rating
107.6
110.3
Defensive rating
102.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.3%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.1%
3-point %
33.8%
62.0%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 107.6Defence110.3 · 102.7Shooting54.1% · 50.5%3-point %37.1% · 33.8%Ball care17.4% · 17.3%Off. rebounds23.5% · 32.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sao Paulo wins
3
Paulistano wins
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HBauru78-68
22/10/24HFranca82-66
19/10/24ACorinthians Paulista82-80
17/10/24APato88-81
13/05/24AMinas67-98
11/05/24AMinas79-104
08/05/24HMinas86-84
06/05/24HMinas105-74
03/05/24AMinas59-84
25/04/24AUnifacisa88-82
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/24HBauru79-83
24/10/24HFranca90-100
14/10/24HPinheiros80-62
12/10/24AMogi67-72
08/05/24HFranca73-80
06/05/24HFranca75-89
02/05/24AFranca61-64
22/04/24HCorinthians Paulista77-68
18/04/24ACorinthians Paulista83-65
12/04/24ASao Jose93-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.580.085.0
Allowed / game73.867.080.5
Point differential+8.8+13.0+4.5
Avg total156.2147.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game79.083.067.0
Allowed / game79.281.772.0
Point differential-0.2+1.3-5.0
Avg total158.2164.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sao Paulo440100%82.573.8+8.8
2 Flamengo65183%76.363.2+13.2
3 Minas65183%81.870.2+11.7
4 Franca54180%84.078.4+5.6
5 Uniao Corinthians32167%79.776.7+3.0
6 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.574.8+5.8
7 Pato63350%80.278.7+1.5
8 Unifacisa42250%78.277.8+0.5
9 Botafogo63350%71.572.5-1.0
10 Bauru42250%81.282.5-1.2
11 Pinheiros63350%67.269.8-2.7
12 Brasilia52340%79.680.4-0.8
13 Caxias do Sul31233%75.376.0-0.7
14 Mogi62433%69.282.5-13.3
15 Paulistano41325%79.079.2-0.2
16 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
17 Cearense51420%62.878.2-15.4
18 Sao Jose5050%66.478.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2422162486
Paulistano2719162284
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