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Sao Paulo vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-89
23-22 18-20 19-28 20-19
Position#13
Record10-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#10
Record11-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game76.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Sao Jose
23 Jan 2025
SAO 80
SAO 89
27 Dec 2023
SAO 78
SAO 74
22 Dec 2022
SAO 96
SAO 68
18 Oct 2019
SAO 73
SAO 67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
83avg 75
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 75
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
70-80
70
80
-10
55avg 75
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 75
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 75
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 75
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
77avg 75
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
70avg 75
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
69-80
69
80
-11
66avg 75
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 75
A21/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
17-12
21-22
23-32
15-21
17-18
28-19
29-21
12-25
20-20
21-19
17-16
27-19
18-14
20-25
17-13
30-23
27-25
13-21
15-14
21-14
19-13
13-24
10-26
15-24
29-19
18-21
14-16
21-18
12-23
20-18
20-16
14-26
20-19
15-24
20-11
13-16
15-20
20-19
17-20
154.3Avg total
75.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.378.1155.5-0.848%
Season at home (10)78.676.6155.2+2.060%
Season away (11)76.279.5155.7-3.436%
Last 10 (10)75.678.7154.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)69.277.4146.6-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.882.4162.1-2.650%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.481.3159.7-2.940%
vs Weaker (4)78.577.0155.5+1.550%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
96avg 72
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 72
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 72
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
73avg 72
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
82avg 72
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 72
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 72
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 72
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
91avg 72
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 72
H20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
29-19
18-23
33-23
28-26
20-13
25-25
10-14
14-18
12-14
15-24
17-14
16-14
21-11
22-18
16-12
21-13
27-23
21-23
7-18
18-22
23-16
19-22
21-25
20-21
24-14
8-25
37-22
20-19
18-10
15-15
22-25
28-23
18-18
20-21
28-17
29-20
19-21
31-19
19-28
159.2Avg total
82.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.676.0153.6+1.752%
Season at home (12)79.976.0155.9+3.958%
Season away (9)74.675.9150.4-1.344%
Last 10 (10)82.776.5159.2+6.270%
Last 5 (5)87.480.6168.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.984.0159.9-8.138%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.275.9151.2-0.747%
vs Weaker (5)85.073.2158.2+11.880%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
Sao PauloSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/01
NBB
77.5Avg total
38.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.278.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.278.5+0.046%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.978.9-3.035%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.474.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.440.178.4-1.738%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.241.780.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker (4)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/01
NBB
77.5Avg total
42.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.374.9+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.937.476.4+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)35.837.273.0-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)42.335.277.5+7.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.880.2+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.440.677.0-4.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.835.773.5+2.159%-
vs Weaker (5)39.037.476.4+1.660%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.1
56.5%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.2
29.9%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
72.7%14.8
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.0
51.9%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.1
33.8%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.4
75.1%
72.7%18.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LLLLLWWLWL
Sao Jose
WWWWLLWLWW
#13
League position
#10
-4.9
Net rating
+8.3
100.7
Offensive rating
109.1
105.6
Defensive rating
100.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
19.2%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.9%
3-point %
33.8%
65.4%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 109.1Defence105.6 · 100.9Shooting51.6% · 51.4%3-point %29.9% · 33.8%Ball care21.1% · 19.2%Off. rebounds25.2% · 32.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sao Paulo wins
3
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
11/11/24Sao Jose v Sao Paulo79-68
09/04/24Sao Jose v Sao Paulo72-63
27/12/23Sao Paulo v Sao Jose78-74
30/03/23Sao Jose v Sao Paulo97-84
22/12/22Sao Paulo v Sao Jose96-68
21/01/20Sao Jose v Sao Paulo97-99
18/10/19Sao Paulo v Sao Jose73-67
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/25AFranca65-75
17/01/25HMogi69-80
11/01/25ABauru73-75
28/12/24APaulistano76-80
23/12/24AMinas63-77
21/12/24ABrasilia85-83
15/12/24HBotafogo82-71
12/12/24HUniao Corinthians70-80
10/12/24HCaxias do Sul89-79
06/12/24HVasco84-87
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HMinas98-88
11/01/25HBrasilia94-79
29/12/24AVasco75-69
27/12/24AFlamengo89-82
19/12/24APato81-85
17/12/24HPinheiros76-77
09/12/24ACearense75-55
06/12/24AUnifacisa58-70
02/12/24HCorinthians Paulista83-78
29/11/24HUniao Corinthians98-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game77.378.676.2
Allowed / game78.176.679.5
Point differential-0.8+2.0-3.4
Avg total155.5155.2155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%58%44%
Points / game77.679.974.6
Allowed / game76.076.075.9
Point differential+1.7+3.9-1.3
Avg total153.6155.9150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2214864%82.681.4+1.2
4 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Uniao Corinthians2112957%78.178.6-0.5
7 Vasco22121055%74.474.3+0.1
8 Paulistano21111052%78.575.3+3.1
9 Sao Jose21111052%77.676.0+1.7
10 Bauru21111052%77.879.7-2.0
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Sao Paulo21101148%77.378.1-0.8
13 Corinthians Paulista22101245%81.080.8+0.2
14 Pato2391439%81.483.5-2.1
15 Mogi2381535%72.878.7-5.8
16 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
17 Botafogo2261627%72.881.0-8.1
18 Caxias do Sul2151624%72.079.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2318192080
Sao Jose2220281989
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