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Cearense vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 55-75
14-16 11-21 18-22 12-16
Position#17
Record3-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#10
Record6-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game75.7
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Sao Jose
18 Nov 2025
CEAR77
SAO 86
09 Dec 2024
CEAR55
SAO 75
27 Apr 2024
CEAR90
SAO 66
22 Jan 2024
CEAR99
SAO 95
16 Jan 2023
CEAR71
SAO 90
14 Nov 2019
CEAR77
SAO 81
13 Feb 2019
CEAR76
SAO 86
06 Nov 2015
CEAR80
SAO 91
27 Nov 2014
CEAR70
SAO 76
08 Mar 2014
CEAR74
SAO 64
24 Jan 2013
CEAR73
SAO 63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
L
52-77
52
77
-25
40avg 68
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
56-78
56
78
-22
38avg 68
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
67avg 68
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 68
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
44avg 68
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
66-49
66
49
+17
61avg 68
H11/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
71avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
71-80
71
80
-9
66avg 68
A27/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
59avg 68
A29/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-69
76
69
+7
72avg 68
H06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
17-20
11-22
14-18
23-21
11-25
9-14
13-18
18-14
16-13
22-26
12-17
25-20
14-19
14-17
19-17
10-25
10-24
16-21
28-16
19-15
15-16
14-9
18-9
13-17
16-20
24-15
20-21
12-21
24-21
18-20
17-18
15-25
13-24
18-21
25-27
18-14
22-19
18-19
18-17
143.4Avg total
67.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.876.5144.3-8.823%
Season at home (8)67.971.2139.1-3.438%
Season away (5)67.685.0152.6-17.40%
Last 10 (10)67.575.9143.4-8.420%
Last 5 (5)72.675.0147.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.878.6147.3-9.817%
vs Similar (12)72.475.2147.6-2.850%
vs Weaker (6)80.275.5155.7+4.767%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 70
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
64avg 70
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 70
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
62-75
62
75
-13
48avg 70
H08/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
82avg 70
H11/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
95avg 70
H15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-66
88
66
+22
92avg 70
H27/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
96avg 70
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 70
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 70
A06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
17-16
20-13
17-27
19-19
18-14
15-22
15-18
21-17
17-19
23-24
25-17
14-21
11-16
18-19
19-19
15-10
25-13
20-23
19-22
19-12
19-23
28-16
23-28
21-12
20-18
27-16
20-20
18-17
29-19
18-23
33-23
28-26
20-13
25-25
10-14
14-18
12-14
15-24
17-14
153.5Avg total
78.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.475.7150.1-1.343%
Season at home (9)76.874.2151.0+2.656%
Season away (5)70.278.4148.6-8.220%
Last 10 (10)78.674.9153.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)83.275.0158.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.681.6151.1-12.014%
vs Similar (15)73.376.9150.2-3.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.579.2166.8+8.275%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
CearenseSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
20-49
20
49
-29
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H14/11
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A27/11
NBB
Franca
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A29/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/12
NBB
71.1Avg total
32.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.438.773.1-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.436.970.4-3.541%-
Last 30 away (13)35.740.976.6-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)32.139.071.1-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.438.471.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.042.375.3-9.325%-
vs Similar (12)32.336.769.0-4.325%-
vs Weaker (6)41.335.376.7+6.083%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A23/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/11
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H08/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H11/11
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H27/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A06/12
NBB
72.1Avg total
37.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.375.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.637.075.6+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)34.939.874.7-4.921%-
Last 10 (10)37.934.272.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.474.4+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.340.072.3-7.714%-
vs Similar (15)36.836.673.4+0.247%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.040.081.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.3
48.7%
50.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.8
26.1%
33.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.7
72.2%
72.7%12.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.9
27.9%
33.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.216.7
78.8%
72.7%16.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WLLLWLLLLL
Sao Jose
LWWWWWLWLL
#17
League position
#10
-11.1
Net rating
+5.6
92.1
Offensive rating
105.7
103.2
Defensive rating
100.1
45.2%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
20.9%
Turnover %
19.2%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.1%
3-point %
27.9%
53.5%
Assist %
69.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 105.7Defence103.2 · 100.1Shooting45.2% · 49.8%3-point %26.1% · 27.9%Ball care20.9% · 19.2%Off. rebounds28.8% · 31.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Cearense   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cearense wins
5
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24Cearense v Sao Jose90-66
21/04/24Sao Jose v Cearense70-73
22/01/24Cearense v Sao Jose99-95 OT
27/10/23Sao Jose v Cearense78-82
16/01/23Cearense v Sao Jose71-90
27/10/22Sao Jose v Cearense83-74
30/01/20Sao Jose v Cearense83-104
14/11/19Cearense v Sao Jose77-81
13/02/19Cearense v Sao Jose76-86
17/10/18Sao Jose v Cearense92-86 OT
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HMogi76-69
29/11/24AFranca71-97
27/11/24ABauru71-80
14/11/24HSao Paulo79-80 OT
11/11/24HPaulistano66-49
07/11/24AMinas64-86
05/11/24ABrasilia72-73
01/11/24HVasco68-70
29/10/24HFlamengo56-78
27/10/24HBotafogo52-77
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24AUnifacisa58-70
02/12/24HCorinthians Paulista83-78
29/11/24HUniao Corinthians98-82
27/11/24HCaxias do Sul88-66
15/11/24HMogi89-79
11/11/24HSao Paulo79-68
08/11/24HPaulistano62-75
04/11/24AFranca86-77
02/11/24ABauru67-73
23/10/24ABrasilia76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW23%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %23%38%0%
Points / game67.867.967.6
Allowed / game76.571.285.0
Point differential-8.8-3.4-17.4
Avg total144.3139.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%12%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeWWWWW56%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %43%56%20%
Points / game74.476.870.2
Allowed / game75.774.278.4
Point differential-1.3+2.6-8.2
Avg total150.1151.0148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1413193%84.468.4+15.9
2 Flamengo1512380%83.271.0+12.2
3 Brasilia139469%82.278.8+3.5
4 Bauru139469%78.076.7+1.3
5 Vasco138562%73.771.0+2.7
6 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
7 Pinheiros127558%73.671.8+1.8
8 Sao Paulo127558%79.378.4+0.9
9 Uniao Corinthians137654%79.081.6-2.6
10 Sao Jose146843%74.475.7-1.3
11 Pato135838%80.382.2-1.8
12 Unifacisa135838%74.576.9-2.4
13 Paulistano124833%75.273.9+1.2
14 Corinthians Paulista124833%80.482.6-2.2
15 Mogi1441029%70.379.1-8.9
16 Botafogo1441029%70.179.4-9.3
17 Caxias do Sul1331023%70.077.2-7.2
18 Cearense1331023%67.876.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1411181255
Sao Jose1621221675
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