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Sao Paulo vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 70-75
20-24 9-22 21-15 20-14
Position#11
Record6-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record8-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game67.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Vasco
06 Dec 2024
SAO 84
VASC87
09 Dec 2023
SAO 70
VASC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 71
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
99avg 71
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 71
A14/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
77avg 71
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
89-67
89
67
+22
85avg 71
H20/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 71
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 71
A28/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-74
81
74
+7
79avg 71
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 71
H07/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
19-26
12-19
15-18
21-19
24-19
21-24
28-24
16-19
18-20
19-18
25-24
19-20
18-21
22-16
22-18
20-25
20-19
22-10
27-13
24-30
16-21
14-15
21-17
15-19
20-20
19-18
30-22
17-16
19-15
22-24
23-19
13-22
31-22
17-14
17-19
10-22
22-15
24-18
14-28
159.1Avg total
80.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.780.7158.4-3.046%
Season at home (6)79.380.3159.7-1.050%
Season away (7)76.381.0157.3-4.743%
Last 10 (10)80.079.1159.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)77.679.2156.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.483.2163.6-2.943%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.882.5162.3-2.645%
vs Weaker (5)84.478.2162.6+6.280%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
74-65
74
65
+9
70avg 69
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
68-63
68
63
+5
72avg 69
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
74avg 69
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
no box
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
74-71
74
71
+3
73avg 69
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
79-54
79
54
+25
83avg 69
H19/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
94avg 69
A25/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-83
71
83
-12
59avg 69
A27/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
67-58
67
58
+9
66avg 69
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
56avg 69
H04/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
27-18
18-13
14-21
15-9
21-19
27-19
5-16
17-14
19-19
24-16
19-13
16-15
15-16
18-13
7-12
22-18
17-16
15-14
20-23
12-14
19-12
28-12
20-16
29-18
18-17
23-28
25-16
15-20
17-21
19-24
20-18
15-16
15-9
13-17
24-16
15-19
11-26
21-15
17-17
141.6Avg total
73.6Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.267.8140.1+4.467%
Season at home (7)68.666.0134.6+2.657%
Season away (5)77.470.4147.8+7.080%
Last 10 (10)73.668.0141.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)75.270.2145.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)73.085.8158.8-12.95%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.774.0150.7+2.767%
vs Weaker (7)77.165.1142.3+12.0100%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Sao PauloVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A28/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A30/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/12
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/12
NBB
79.9Avg total
38.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.880.4-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.839.982.7+2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)37.241.478.6-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.641.379.9-2.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.041.080.0-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.042.481.4-3.436%-
vs Weaker (5)42.836.679.4+6.240%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A01/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A04/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H19/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A25/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A27/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H02/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H04/12
NBB
67.9Avg total
35.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.475.0-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.638.573.2-3.947%-
Last 30 away (13)39.038.377.3+0.746%-
Last 10 (10)35.032.967.9+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.467.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.841.377.0-5.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.732.769.3+4.067%-
vs Weaker (7)38.732.771.4+6.086%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.1
57.2%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.715.2
81.3%
72.6%15.2
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.5
50.3%
51.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.7%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.612.6
67.7%
72.6%12.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LWWWLWWLWL
Vasco
LWLWWWLWWW
#11
League position
#4
+1.6
Net rating
+9.2
114.3
Offensive rating
99.2
112.7
Defensive rating
89.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
22.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
33.7%
60.6%
Assist %
79.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 99.2Defence112.7 · 89.9Shooting54.1% · 50.4%3-point %33.5% · 33.7%Ball care15.1% · 22.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sao Paulo wins
0
Vasco wins
No previous meetings.
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HFlamengo70-83
04/12/23HBotafogo78-77
30/11/23AUniao Corinthians81-74
28/11/23ACaxias do Sul84-79
23/11/23HMinas75-83
20/11/23HPato89-67
17/11/23APinheiros81-75
14/11/23ACorinthians Paulista78-81
08/11/23HUnifacisa94-86
06/11/23HCearense70-86
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/23HFranca64-77
02/12/23HBauru67-58
27/11/23ASao Jose71-83
25/11/23AMogi95-79
19/11/23HBrasilia79-54
15/11/23HCerrado74-71
10/11/23HFlamengo65-68 OT
04/11/23ABotafogo79-62
01/11/23ACaxias do Sul68-63
30/10/23AUniao Corinthians74-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game77.779.376.3
Allowed / game80.780.381.0
Point differential-3.0-1.0-4.7
Avg total158.4159.7157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%57%80%
Points / game72.268.677.4
Allowed / game67.866.070.4
Point differential+4.4+2.6+7.0
Avg total140.1134.6147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1210283%82.974.0+8.9
3 Franca129375%87.675.4+12.2
4 Sao Jose118373%82.472.6+9.7
5 Paulistano139469%72.469.8+2.6
6 Vasco128467%72.267.8+4.4
7 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
8 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
9 Bauru136746%77.075.9+1.1
10 Sao Paulo136746%77.780.7-3.0
11 Corinthians Paulista104640%77.278.3-1.1
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
15 Cerrado124833%72.272.2+0.1
16 Pinheiros103730%77.580.3-2.8
17 Brasilia123925%71.885.2-13.5
18 Botafogo1431121%75.483.1-7.8
19 Mogi1321115%73.379.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo209212070
Vasco2422151475
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