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Sao Paulo vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-76
10-22 20-13 24-22 15-19
Position#13
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#5
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game72.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Morumbi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Pinheiros
05 Nov 2024
SAO 69
PINH76
29 Feb 2024
SAO 79
PINH74
06 May 2023
SAO 85
PINH73
28 Apr 2023
SAO 92
PINH77
21 Jan 2023
SAO 100
PINH78
01 Nov 2022
SAO 76
PINH72
18 Nov 2021
SAO 86
PINH70
10 Feb 2021
SAO 100
PINH74
04 Apr 2020
SAO v PINH
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
105-74
105
74
+31
104avg 75
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 75
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
72avg 75
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-98
67
98
-31
54avg 75
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 75
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 75
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
82-66
82
66
+16
75avg 75
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
70avg 75
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
86avg 75
H30/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 75
A01/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
23-22
28-19
25-18
19-16
14-25
29-26
24-17
14-32
18-22
24-21
23-29
13-22
18-22
17-28
19-26
23-30
22-16
19-25
24-10
20-15
20-26
19-20
23-19
21-14
16-22
22-18
23-12
19-22
17-21
23-16
19-9
24-27
22-19
16-16
24-22
19-14
19-17
19-24
17-23
164.4Avg total
82.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.776.2157.8+5.583%
Season at home (3)82.072.7154.7+9.3100%
Season away (3)81.379.7161.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)82.781.7164.4+1.070%
Last 5 (5)80.475.2155.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)85.485.4170.8-0.164%
vs Similar (10)81.277.7158.9+3.570%
vs Weaker (6)78.375.5153.8+2.850%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
72-63
72
63
+9
72avg 67
A13/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
56-64
56
64
-8
61avg 67
H20/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
64avg 67
A26/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
68-67
68
67
+1
64avg 67
H12/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
62-80
62
80
-18
53avg 67
A14/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
65-62
65
62
+3
51avg 67
A21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 67
A24/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
61-66
61
66
-5
58avg 67
A26/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
65avg 67
H29/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 67
H31/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
16-13
15-21
23-14
16-15
20-19
9-19
11-11
17-26
8-15
15-20
30-24
24-23
16-12
15-15
13-17
13-29
13-24
18-13
18-14
10-10
17-16
11-14
27-22
14-13
21-8
28-31
17-15
22-16
15-16
15-12
9-22
17-18
12-26
20-17
18-16
18-25
16-24
20-13
21-27
139.6Avg total
67.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)68.372.6140.9-4.343%
Season at home (3)70.077.7147.7-7.733%
Season away (4)67.068.8135.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)67.672.0139.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)69.672.2141.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.976.4143.3-9.527%
vs Similar (8)72.974.5147.4-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.375.3154.6+4.057%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Sao PauloPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/05
NBB
Pato
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A17/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/10
NBB
Franca
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H22/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/10
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/11
NBB
80.9Avg total
39.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.381.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.538.381.8+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.181.4-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.980.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.478.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.742.283.9-0.543%-
vs Similar (10)41.040.181.1+0.940%-
vs Weaker (6)40.836.277.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#4
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H20/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A26/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/10
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A14/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A24/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A26/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H29/10
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H31/10
NBB
68.6Avg total
32.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.375.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.839.578.3-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)34.537.271.7-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.368.6-4.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.466.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.337.972.2-3.540%-
vs Similar (8)38.038.976.9-0.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.138.778.9+1.429%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.8
53.4%
50.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.8
35.6%
33.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
72.7%17.9
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.1
46.1%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.2
28.6%
33.0%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.013.8
69.0%
72.7%13.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Paulo
LWWWWWLLWW
Pinheiros
LLLWWLWLLW
#13
League position
#5
+1.1
Net rating
-6.9
111.1
Offensive rating
95.1
110.0
Defensive rating
102.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
44.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.6%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.6%
3-point %
28.6%
62.3%
Assist %
67.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 95.1Defence110.0 · 102.0Shooting53.4% · 44.9%3-point %35.6% · 28.6%Ball care18.4% · 20.6%Off. rebounds28.1% · 32.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Sao Paulo   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sao Paulo wins
1
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
29/02/24Sao Paulo v Pinheiros79-74
17/11/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo75-81
06/05/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros85-73
04/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo60-77
01/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo115-107
28/04/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros92-77
30/01/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo79-89
21/01/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros100-78
01/11/22Sao Paulo v Pinheiros76-72
15/02/22Pinheiros v Sao Paulo92-98
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24AMogi74-78
30/10/24HPaulistano86-84
26/10/24HBauru78-68
22/10/24HFranca82-66
19/10/24ACorinthians Paulista82-80
17/10/24APato88-81
13/05/24AMinas67-98
11/05/24AMinas79-104
08/05/24HMinas86-84
06/05/24HMinas105-74
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24HBrasilia75-89
29/10/24HMinas67-77
26/10/24AFlamengo61-66
24/10/24ABotafogo80-67
21/10/24AVasco65-62
14/10/24APaulistano62-80
12/10/24HPato68-67
26/04/24AVasco70-85
20/04/24HVasco56-64
13/04/24AVasco72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game81.782.081.3
Allowed / game76.272.779.7
Point differential+5.5+9.3+1.7
Avg total157.8154.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game68.370.067.0
Allowed / game72.677.768.8
Point differential-4.3-7.7-1.8
Avg total140.9147.7135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo87188%78.663.9+14.8
2 Minas76186%82.468.7+13.7
3 Sao Paulo65183%81.776.2+5.5
4 Uniao Corinthians43175%80.075.0+5.0
5 Bauru64267%79.077.8+1.2
6 Brasilia74357%84.682.3+2.3
7 Franca74357%81.079.1+1.9
8 Vasco63350%66.064.8+1.2
9 Corinthians Paulista73443%79.479.9-0.4
10 Botafogo73443%71.374.7-3.4
11 Pinheiros73443%68.372.6-4.3
12 Mogi73443%70.481.3-10.9
13 Caxias do Sul52340%72.478.4-6.0
14 Pato83538%78.979.2-0.4
15 Unifacisa62433%77.079.8-2.8
16 Paulistano72529%79.678.3+1.3
17 Cearense61517%63.776.8-13.2
18 Sao Jose71614%69.377.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo1020241569
Pinheiros2213221976
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