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Sassari vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-97
18-24 23-30 11-21 28-22
Position#37
Record1-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#26
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
European cup2023
Meetings · Sassari v Ludwigsburg
22 Nov 2023
SAS80
LUD97
08 Nov 2021
SAS82
LUD75
22 Nov 2016
SAS79
LUD80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 78
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 78
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 78
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 78
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 78
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 78
H28/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 78
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 78
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 78
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 78
A19/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
16-19
18-26
19-24
15-15
21-19
21-21
23-21
22-28
21-30
17-27
25-8
20-18
15-27
15-19
16-16
33-20
13-12
15-26
18-25
20-22
12-27
19-31
23-14
17-28
23-24
22-19
17-19
23-24
22-14
23-21
21-20
15-22
30-6
27-24
8-21
17-24
17-18
15-10
14-16
159.1Avg total
76.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.385.0169.3-0.733%
Season at home (1)79.083.0162.0-4.00%
Season away (2)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)76.982.2159.1-5.330%
Last 5 (5)77.080.8157.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.284.4156.6-12.112%
vs Similar (19)82.080.8162.8+1.258%
vs Weaker (3)86.078.3164.3+7.767%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
78-60
78
60
+18
77avg 73
A06/10
BBL
Bonn
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
70avg 73
H14/10
German Cup
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 73
A17/10
Champions League
Bonn
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
78avg 73
H21/10
BBL
Szczecin
#38
W
82-78
82
78
+4
67avg 73
H24/10
Champions League
Ulm
#5
W
99-70
99
70
+29
94avg 73
A28/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 73
H05/11
BBL
Sassari
#37
L
79-89
79
89
-10
62avg 73
H07/11
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
W
102-90
102
90
+12
90avg 73
A12/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
72avg 73
A19/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
19-24
22-15
20-11
22-13
24-21
16-21
17-25
25-24
18-20
18-17
18-23
11-22
26-23
26-30
23-16
23-27
22-20
14-20
23-11
14-20
25-15
26-21
34-14
31-22
24-25
25-14
16-16
24-23
14-22
21-23
20-21
25-28
27-21
29-18
21-23
11-20
16-19
32-29
25-24
167.5Avg total
86.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.083.7163.7-3.733%
Season at home (2)80.583.5164.0-3.050%
Season away (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)86.481.1167.5+5.350%
Last 5 (5)92.083.6175.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.987.3161.1-13.40%
vs Similar (14)81.980.5162.4+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.485.0174.4+4.475%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
SassariLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H28/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/11
Lega A
80.7Avg total
39.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.581.1+0.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.538.781.2+3.871%-
Last 30 away (16)38.942.080.9-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.480.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.839.677.4-1.950%-
vs Similar (19)41.141.282.2-0.158%-
vs Weaker (3)45.338.383.7+7.0100%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/10
BBL
Bonn
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/10
German Cup
AEK Athens
#33
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/10
Champions League
Bonn
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H21/10
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/10
Champions League
Ulm
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H05/11
BBL
Sassari
#37
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H07/11
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A12/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/11
BBL
83.7Avg total
41.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.282.4+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.141.384.4+1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)39.841.180.8-1.341%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.983.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.640.475.0-5.90%-
vs Similar (14)40.940.581.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.043.990.9+3.162%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.1
50.0%
51.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.3
32.7%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.615.8
80.6%
74.5%15.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.8
50.9%
51.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.1
34.4%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.913.5
79.9%
74.5%13.5
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LWWLLLLLWL
Ludwigsburg
LWLWWWLLLW
#37
League position
#26
-7.7
Net rating
+7.0
102.5
Offensive rating
112.1
110.2
Defensive rating
105.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.7%
3-point %
34.4%
63.3%
Assist %
53.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 112.1Defence110.2 · 105.1Shooting49.7% · 51.1%3-point %32.7% · 34.4%Ball care19.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 35.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sassari   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sassari wins
2
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
07/11/23Ludwigsburg v Sassari79-89
08/11/21Sassari v Ludwigsburg82-75
05/10/21Ludwigsburg v Sassari94-81
17/01/17Ludwigsburg v Sassari75-78
22/11/16Sassari v Ludwigsburg79-80
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23APistoia63-68
12/11/23HTrento80-73
07/11/23ALudwigsburg89-79
05/11/23AVarese79-90
28/10/23HTortona74-94
25/10/23HAEK Athens79-83
22/10/23AVirtus Bologna66-80
17/10/23ASzczecin85-93
14/10/23HTreviso80-76
08/10/23ACremona74-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ABayern84-92
12/11/23ABamberg102-90
07/11/23HSassari79-89
05/11/23HRostock96-77
28/10/23AUlm99-70
24/10/23HSzczecin82-78
21/10/23HBonn86-91
17/10/23AAEK Athens79-84
14/10/23HBonn79-80
06/10/23AWurzburg78-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game84.379.087.0
Allowed / game85.083.086.0
Point differential-0.7-4.0+1.0
Avg total169.3162.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game80.080.579.0
Allowed / game83.783.584.0
Point differential-3.7-3.0-5.0
Avg total163.7164.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
3 AEK Athens440100%84.874.8+10.0
4 Strasbourg660100%81.774.3+7.3
5 Tortona330100%85.779.3+6.3
6 Hapoel Holon220100%79.576.5+3.0
7 Tenerife43175%81.870.2+11.5
8 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
9 Murcia32167%87.071.3+15.7
10 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
11 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
12 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
13 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%86.780.3+6.3
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Karsiyaka32167%81.380.0+1.3
16 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
17 PAOK32167%79.782.7-3.0
18 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
19 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
20 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
26 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
29 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
30 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
31 Breogan31233%72.772.7+0.0
32 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
33 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
34 Oostende31233%77.786.0-8.3
35 Bursaspor31233%71.080.3-9.3
36 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
37 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
38 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
39 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
40 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
41 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
42 Oldenburg3030%83.086.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Igokea3030%77.789.0-11.3
49 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari1823112880
Ludwigsburg2430212297
← all games of the day
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