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Varese vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 90-79
28-17 24-23 19-22 19-17
Position#12
Record1-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game92.8
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game89.4
ItalyLega ARound 6· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Sassari
12 Apr 2026
VAR91
SAS90
19 Apr 2025
VAR89
SAS84
05 Nov 2023
VAR90
SAS79
02 Oct 2022
VAR87
SAS81
08 May 2022
VAR96
SAS110
08 Sep 2021
VAR82
SAS92
06 Mar 2021
VAR89
SAS74
26 Sep 2019
VAR52
SAS74
30 Jan 2019
VAR69
SAS79
27 Jan 2019
VAR84
SAS73
19 Nov 2017
VAR61
SAS82
22 Jan 2017
VAR76
SAS83
26 Oct 2015
VAR70
SAS86
26 Dec 2014
VAR113
SAS117
23 Feb 2014
VAR91
SAS112
18 Nov 2012
VAR85
SAS84
01 Apr 2012
VAR85
SAS79
06 Jan 2011
VAR84
SAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 83
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 83
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 83
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 83
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 83
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 83
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 83
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 83
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 83
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 83
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
23-24
17-17
18-20
20-19
23-15
28-16
15-25
29-24
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
174.6Avg total
86.1Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.492.8176.2-9.420%
Season at home (3)81.782.3164.0-0.733%
Season away (2)86.0108.5194.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)86.188.5174.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)91.088.2179.2+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.699.6182.2-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.288.3173.5-3.133%
vs Weaker (8)99.987.9187.8+12.0100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
63avg 78
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
131avg 78
A29/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-93
61
93
-32
48avg 78
H01/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
90-111
90
111
-21
82avg 78
H01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 78
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 78
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 78
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 78
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 78
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 78
H28/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
17-27
19-26
24-17
19-13
19-26
18-21
19-20
16-22
20-19
17-25
8-27
19-27
21-28
22-31
28-25
21-17
16-19
18-26
19-24
15-15
21-19
21-21
23-21
22-28
21-30
17-27
25-8
20-18
15-27
15-19
16-16
33-20
13-12
15-26
18-25
20-22
12-27
19-31
23-14
164.7Avg total
75.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.889.4166.2-12.620%
Season at home (3)81.393.7175.0-12.333%
Season away (2)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)75.689.1164.7-13.510%
Last 5 (5)76.885.2162.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.985.1155.0-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.182.2167.3+2.965%
vs Weaker (6)91.079.8170.8+11.267%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
VareseSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/10
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
91.3Avg total
46.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.146.891.9-1.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.944.791.6+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.648.692.1-5.012%-
Last 10 (10)46.245.191.3+1.130%-
Last 5 (5)52.042.894.8+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.452.293.6-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.146.190.1-2.033%-
vs Weaker (8)51.946.097.9+5.950%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H28/10
Lega A
81.3Avg total
37.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.340.783.0+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.783.9+4.473%-
Last 30 away (15)40.441.782.1-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.244.181.3-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.682.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.976.6-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.941.583.4+0.465%-
vs Weaker (6)49.839.589.3+10.383%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.116.4
54.5%
53.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.3
36.7%
35.7%39.9
🏀 Free throws15.112.4
82.1%
76.3%12.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.8
50.7%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.3
31.6%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.415.1
77.8%
76.3%15.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLLWLLWLW
Sassari
LLLLWLLLLL
#12
League position
#8
-3.5
Net rating
-18.7
106.7
Offensive rating
102.0
110.2
Defensive rating
120.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
60.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.7%
3-point %
31.6%
67.7%
Assist %
65.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 102.0Defence110.2 · 120.7Shooting54.8% · 49.4%3-point %36.7% · 31.6%Ball care16.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds20.3% · 24.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Varese   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
8
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Sassari v Varese102-73
02/10/22Varese v Sassari87-81
08/05/22Varese v Sassari96-110
19/12/21Sassari v Varese104-99
14/09/21Sassari v Varese77-61
08/09/21Varese v Sassari82-92
06/03/21Varese v Sassari89-74
01/11/20Sassari v Varese104-82
12/01/20Sassari v Varese93-87
26/09/19Varese v Sassari52-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85
18/10/23AKeravnos95-80
15/10/23HTortona78-80
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HTortona74-94
25/10/23HAEK Athens79-83
22/10/23AVirtus Bologna66-80
17/10/23ASzczecin85-93
14/10/23HTreviso80-76
08/10/23ACremona74-86
01/10/23HBasket Napoli90-111
01/06/23HOlimpia Milano61-93
29/05/23AOlimpia Milano75-80
27/05/23AOlimpia Milano72-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game83.481.786.0
Allowed / game92.882.3108.5
Point differential-9.4-0.7-22.5
Avg total176.2164.0194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game76.881.370.0
Allowed / game89.493.783.0
Point differential-12.6-12.3-13.0
Avg total166.2175.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%90.875.0+15.8
2 Brescia65183%85.573.7+11.8
3 Venezia65183%82.075.0+7.0
4 Trento65183%86.283.5+2.7
5 Basket Napoli64267%86.879.0+7.8
6 Olimpia Milano64267%80.274.5+5.7
7 Reggiana64267%85.581.8+3.7
8 Scafati63350%92.292.5-0.3
9 Tortona63350%72.877.0-4.2
10 Cremona52340%91.890.2+1.6
11 Pistoia62433%77.879.8-2.0
12 Pesaro62433%82.385.2-2.8
13 Varese51420%83.492.8-9.4
14 Sassari51420%76.889.4-12.6
15 Treviso6060%79.089.0-10.0
16 Brindisi6060%66.582.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2824191990
Sassari1723221779
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