Virtus Roma vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 85-80

26-19 14-24 21-23 24-14

Position#5

Record13-8

FormLLLWW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game75.4

Virtus Roma 🏆

Cremona

Position#14

Record7-14

FormWLLWL

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game82.0

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Cremona

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cremona winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

85-76

A29/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

87-92

-5

H05/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

86-78

A12/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

88-70

+18

H18/01

Lega A

Brindisi

62-72

-10

A26/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

72-80

-8

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

67-76

-9

A07/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

80-83

-3

A16/02

Lega A

Caserta

82-79

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

89-85 OT

A02/03

Lega A

19-18

32-18

19-9

15-31

16-26

25-22

20-24

26-20

20-25

19-16

23-3

24-34

23-18

22-19

23-9

20-24

18-19

10-9

14-20

20-24

19-28

17-22

24-11

12-19

15-24

22-23

14-11

16-18

17-23

23-22

19-23

21-15

22-12

19-22

18-18

23-27

22-18

18-16

23-22

10-17

158.9Avg total

79.8Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	77.2	75.4	152.7	+1.8	62%
Season at home (10)	76.2	74.1	150.3	+2.1	60%
Season away (11)	78.2	76.6	154.8	+1.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	79.1	158.9	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	80.6	158.6	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	74.4	75.4	149.8	-1.0	40%
vs Similar (14)	78.3	78.9	157.2	-0.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	79.2	70.4	149.6	+8.8	80%

This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cremona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

66-81

-15

A26/12

Lega A

Varese

#10

75-94

-19

H29/12

Lega A

Caserta

69-64

H05/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

95-90

A12/01

Lega A

Siena

72-68

H19/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

90-85

A26/01

Lega A

Brindisi

53-64

-11

H02/02

Lega A

Sassari

61-95

-34

A16/02

Lega A

Pistoia

81-76

H23/02

Lega A

Cantu

72-87

-15

A02/03

Lega A

24-15

11-21

11-23

20-22

24-27

12-29

17-17

22-21

17-13

18-19

15-17

19-15

24-24

24-20

28-15

19-31

18-14

11-17

19-18

24-19

23-20

25-21

19-20

23-24

17-16

5-15

14-15

17-18

16-22

19-26

16-22

10-25

22-20

19-21

15-18

25-17

26-25

4-27

18-20

24-15

153.8Avg total

73.4Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	75.0	82.0	157.0	-7.0	33%
Season at home (11)	75.3	77.7	153.0	-2.5	45%
Season away (10)	74.7	86.6	161.3	-11.9	20%
Last 10 (10)	73.4	80.4	153.8	-7.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	81.4	152.8	-10.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	76.7	81.4	158.1	-4.7	43%
vs Similar (7)	80.1	84.0	164.1	-3.9	29%
vs Weaker (2)	84.0	78.0	162.0	+6.0	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaCremona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.1	36.3	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	17.9	36.9	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	18.3	35.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.6	18.3	34.9	-1.7	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.0	15.8	35.8	+4.2	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	20.5	47.5	+6.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	60%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	23.5	42.1	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.8	21.6	36.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	22.0	36.4	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.9	20.5	39.3	-1.6	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.1	23.3	42.4	-4.1	14%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	0%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pistoia

51-36

+15

A29/12

Lega A

Venezia

#11

41-48

-7

H05/01

Lega A

Varese

#10

39-41

-2

A12/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

45-37

H18/01

Lega A

Brindisi

28-28

A26/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

36-50

-14

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

37-47

-10

A07/02

Italian Cup

Cantu

40-45

-5

A16/02

Lega A

Caserta

41-34

H23/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

40-34

A02/03

Lega A

79.8Avg total

39.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	38.1	75.2	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.2	38.0	75.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	38.2	75.2	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.7	35.9	71.6	-0.2	30%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.7	39.0	75.7	-2.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	41.0	38.4	79.4	+2.6	60%	-

This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

35-36

-1

A26/12

Lega A

Varese

#10

36-56

-20

H29/12

Lega A

Caserta

35-32

H05/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

48-44

A12/01

Lega A

Siena

29-31

-2

H19/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

48-41

A26/01

Lega A

Brindisi

22-31

-9

H02/02

Lega A

Sassari

35-48

-13

A16/02

Lega A

Pistoia

41-41

H23/02

Lega A

Cantu

30-52

-22

A02/03

Lega A

77.1Avg total

35.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	38.2	78.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	41.2	77.1	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.6	77.8	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.3	39.6	78.9	-0.3	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.0	43.3	82.3	-4.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	42.0	89.5	+5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	16.7	36.3	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.9	35.7	+2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	16.6	36.9	+3.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	15.0	34.7	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	15.7	35.9	+4.5	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	20.0	14.4	34.4	+5.6	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.5	35.7	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.1	21.7	38.8	-4.6	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	20.5	36.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.9	41.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.8	39.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.6	40.8	-0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	52%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	22.1	41.9	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.0	15.5	36.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	36.8	75.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	35.2	73.2	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	38.2	77.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	37.9	76.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	36.2	72.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.5	38.1	75.6	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.1	38.1	78.2	+1.9	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	38.2	32.0	70.2	+6.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	40.7	78.5	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	39.8	78.1	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	41.6	79.1	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	39.2	76.7	-1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.8	75.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	36.9	41.1	78.0	-4.2	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.1	40.7	81.9	+0.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	36.0	72.5	+0.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Cremona wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/13	Cremona v Virtus Roma	68-78
03/03/13	Virtus Roma v Cremona	79-71
04/11/12	Cremona v Virtus Roma	67-75
04/03/12	Cremona v Virtus Roma	87-71
13/11/11	Virtus Roma v Cremona	85-78
20/03/11	Cremona v Virtus Roma	83-70
28/11/10	Virtus Roma v Cremona	70-84
31/01/10	Cremona v Virtus Roma	75-79
11/10/09	Virtus Roma v Cremona	94-79

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/14	A	Virtus Bologna	89-85 OT
23/02/14	H	Caserta	82-79
16/02/14	A	Cantu	80-83
07/02/14	A	Siena	67-76
02/02/14	H	Avellino	72-80
26/01/14	A	Brindisi	62-72
18/01/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-70
12/01/14	A	Varese	86-78
05/01/14	H	Venezia	87-92
29/12/13	A	Pistoia	85-76

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/14	A	Cantu	72-87
23/02/14	H	Pistoia	81-76
16/02/14	A	Sassari	61-95
02/02/14	H	Brindisi	53-64
26/01/14	A	Virtus Bologna	90-85
19/01/14	H	Siena	72-68
12/01/14	A	Sutor Montegranaro	95-90
05/01/14	H	Caserta	69-64
29/12/13	H	Varese	75-94
26/12/13	A	Olimpia Milano	66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	62%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	WWLLW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	62%	60%	64%
Points / game	77.2	76.2	78.2
Allowed / game	75.4	74.1	76.6
Point differential	+1.8	+2.1	+1.5
Avg total	152.7	150.3	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	10%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (11)	60% (5)	67% (6)
Overtime %	10%	10%	9%

Cremona

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	33%
Home	LWWLW	45%
Away	LWWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	33%	45%	20%
Points / game	75.0	75.3	74.7
Allowed / game	82.0	77.7	86.6
Point differential	-7.0	-2.5	-11.9
Avg total	157.0	153.0	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	9%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	60% (5)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	21	16	5	76%	79.9	70.1	+9.8
2	Brindisi	21	15	6	71%	78.1	74.0	+4.1
3	Siena	22	15	7	68%	75.1	68.2	+6.9
4	Cantu	22	15	7	68%	81.6	77.8	+3.9
5	Sassari	22	14	8	64%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
6	Virtus Roma	21	13	8	62%	77.2	75.4	+1.8
7	Reggiana	21	10	11	48%	75.2	72.5	+2.7
8	Caserta	21	10	11	48%	73.9	72.9	+1.0
9	Avellino	22	10	12	45%	75.1	79.3	-4.2
10	Venezia	21	9	12	43%	78.4	79.2	-0.8
11	Pistoia	21	9	12	43%	76.7	79.2	-2.5
12	Virtus Bologna	21	8	13	38%	79.1	80.9	-1.8
13	Varese	21	8	13	38%	80.6	83.5	-2.9
14	Cremona	21	7	14	33%	75.0	82.0	-7.0
15	Sutor Montegranaro	21	6	15	29%	78.2	87.7	-9.5
16	Pesaro	21	5	16	24%	79.7	89.0	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	26	14	21	24	85
Cremona	19	24	23	14	80

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Cremona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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