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Sebastiani Rieti vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 87-74
23-14 23-27 25-15 16-18
Position#4
Record17-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#19
Record7-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.2
ItalySerie A2Round 27· PalaSojourner
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Nardo
15 Feb 2025
SEBA87
NARD74
03 Mar 2024
SEBA77
NARD46
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
76-65
76
65
+11
77avg 68
H22/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
86avg 68
A29/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
65-64
65
64
+1
60avg 68
A05/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
56-66
56
66
-10
50avg 68
H11/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
67-72
67
72
-5
55avg 68
A15/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 68
A19/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 68
H25/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 68
A29/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
88avg 68
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 68
A09/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-15
9-14
16-16
19-20
21-24
23-16
30-27
22-24
17-17
7-18
17-13
24-16
9-21
16-15
11-12
20-18
13-20
11-17
28-12
15-23
22-24
15-17
23-9
17-20
17-10
30-22
24-14
19-25
25-11
24-23
22-18
13-29
23-18
23-11
24-14
14-26
27-14
27-27
23-22
14-17
151.5Avg total
78.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.873.1148.9+2.765%
Season at home (13)75.869.3145.2+6.577%
Season away (13)75.876.8152.6-1.154%
Last 10 (10)78.672.9151.5+5.780%
Last 5 (5)85.274.2159.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.376.3151.7-1.033%
vs Similar (22)73.071.4144.5+1.659%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.073.2151.2+4.880%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 63
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 63
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
50avg 63
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 63
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 63
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 63
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 63
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 63
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
78avg 63
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 63
H09/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-18
5-23
16-17
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
13-19
16-20
13-13
18-17
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
17-25
30-13
13-28
10-18
20-17
20-21
14-19
27-21
25-24
24-16
19-29
19-22
17-19
27-23
8-29
27-10
154.3Avg total
72.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.581.2154.7-7.727%
Season at home (13)78.080.1158.1-2.146%
Season away (13)69.082.4151.4-13.48%
Last 10 (10)72.781.6154.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.381.2155.5-7.032%
vs Similar (8)74.979.8154.6-4.938%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -6.4-6.4Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
Sebastiani RietiNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H22/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A29/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A05/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H11/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A15/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A09/02
Serie A2
74.5Avg total
39.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.772.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.834.671.4+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)36.736.673.3+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.474.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.635.482.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.336.071.3-0.733%-
vs Similar (22)36.035.771.8+0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.635.275.8+5.480%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
79.8Avg total
37.8Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.777.3-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.177.7-0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)34.542.376.8-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.079.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.740.777.4-4.041%-
vs Similar (8)36.240.877.0-4.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.9
50.5%
50.1%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.0
37.7%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.8
76.6%
74.4%12.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.7
47.7%
50.1%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.4
37.3%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws13.99.5
68.3%
74.4%9.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWWWLLWWW
Nardo
LLWLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#19
+7.7
Net rating
-11.5
109.3
Offensive rating
97.8
101.6
Defensive rating
109.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.7%
3-point %
37.3%
58.4%
Assist %
50.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 97.8Defence101.6 · 109.4Shooting53.4% · 51.5%3-point %37.7% · 37.3%Ball care18.2% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.1% · 21.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Nardo v Sebastiani Rieti81-71
03/03/24Sebastiani Rieti v Nardo77-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25ALibertas Livorno91-80
02/02/25HBasket Torino84-69
29/01/25ACento84-81
25/01/25HCividale90-71
19/01/25ACantu77-70
15/01/25ABrindisi67-72
11/01/25HUrania Milano56-66
05/01/25AForli65-64
29/12/24ARimini96-91
22/12/24HCento76-65
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HUrania Milano79-81
01/02/25ACividale87-91
29/01/25HVerona81-78
26/01/25APesaro70-84
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
05/01/25ACantu60-69
29/12/24HForli75-84
21/12/24AUrania Milano62-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%77%54%
Points / game75.875.875.8
Allowed / game73.169.376.8
Point differential+2.7+6.5-1.1
Avg total148.9145.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLWLWL46%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%46%8%
Points / game73.578.069.0
Allowed / game81.280.182.4
Point differential-7.7-2.1-13.4
Avg total154.7158.1151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2720774%83.474.9+8.5
2 Rimini2720774%81.877.4+4.4
3 Sebastiani Rieti2617965%75.873.1+2.7
4 Cantu27171063%76.672.8+3.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna26161062%76.272.9+3.3
6 Cividale28171161%79.978.5+1.4
7 Urania Milano27161159%77.676.3+1.3
8 Avellino Basket27161159%79.178.9+0.2
9 Pesaro26151158%81.679.2+2.5
10 Forli26151158%77.775.5+2.2
11 Verona26141254%77.275.0+2.2
12 Brindisi26131350%76.775.7+0.9
13 Basket Torino26111542%75.376.6-1.3
14 JuVi Cremona26101638%80.683.0-2.3
15 Orzinuovi2691735%77.181.9-4.8
16 Cento2691735%72.577.7-5.2
17 Libertas Livorno2791833%74.776.2-1.5
18 Vigevano2681831%75.681.0-5.4
19 Nardo2671927%73.581.2-7.7
20 Assigeco Piacenza2652119%75.881.8-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti2323251687
Nardo1427151874
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