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Cedevita Olimpija vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-85
22-22 19-23 19-21 11-19
Position#5
Record16-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#4
Record17-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Quarter-finals· Arena Sto
Domestic2023
Meetings · Cedevita Olimpija v Mega Basket
05 Oct 2025
COL117
MEG81
16 Nov 2024
COL93
MEG82
21 Apr 2024
COL71
MEG85
30 Sep 2023
COL89
MEG87
15 Apr 2023
COL85
MEG70
13 Mar 2022
COL92
MEG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
90avg 80
H12/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#16
W
95-81
95
81
+14
100avg 80
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
77avg 80
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Partizan
#3
L
102-110
102
110
-8
98avg 80
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 80
H09/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
62avg 80
A16/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
105-89
105
89
+16
113avg 80
H23/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
78-92
78
92
-14
63avg 80
A30/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
97-72
97
72
+25
106avg 80
A05/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
98-119
98
119
-21
95avg 80
A15/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
14-23
31-22
18-14
21-17
30-23
17-19
27-22
22-28
23-23
25-16
17-19
24-42
33-28
20-17
25-23
14-18
23-23
17-15
18-24
13-23
18-24
17-25
17-16
30-28
17-18
28-15
30-28
19-21
22-30
13-19
24-22
24-20
28-13
22-19
23-20
23-27
29-30
22-37
24-25
178.9Avg total
89.2Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.485.3171.7+1.159%
Season at home (13)91.082.2173.2+8.885%
Season away (14)82.188.1170.3-6.036%
Last 10 (10)89.289.7178.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)88.692.0180.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.896.2182.0-10.410%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.295.4178.6-12.20%
vs Weaker (15)92.679.0171.6+13.687%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 81
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
101avg 81
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 81
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
105avg 81
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
80avg 81
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
85avg 81
H17/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
60avg 81
A25/03
ABA League
Split
#8
W
92-78
92
78
+14
87avg 81
H31/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
96avg 81
A06/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 81
H15/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
14-23
21-16
19-18
26-27
24-21
22-17
29-22
15-26
23-31
30-29
24-14
27-29
25-20
27-22
27-20
20-17
20-21
24-17
16-21
22-23
18-29
24-19
24-8
24-18
17-30
22-21
26-14
22-25
27-17
25-19
18-17
23-17
24-28
20-15
25-18
27-23
30-29
37-22
25-24
177.4Avg total
93.0Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.682.9170.5+4.763%
Season at home (14)89.684.0173.6+5.671%
Season away (13)85.481.7167.1+3.754%
Last 10 (10)93.084.4177.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)96.083.2179.2+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.390.7172.0-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.785.6172.3+1.143%
vs Weaker (16)88.279.1167.4+9.175%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +5.7+5.7
Cedevita OlimpijaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H12/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#16
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Partizan
#3
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A03/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/03
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A16/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H23/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A30/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A05/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A15/04
ABA League
93.7Avg total
45.7Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.790.1+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.441.786.1+2.850%-
Last 30 away (18)46.146.792.8-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.748.093.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.891.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.450.094.4-5.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.845.688.4-2.840%-
vs Weaker (15)47.040.887.8+6.273%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H17/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/03
ABA League
Split
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H15/04
ABA League
91.6Avg total
44.5Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.285.3-1.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.486.3+1.669%-
Last 30 away (14)40.044.284.2-4.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.191.6-2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.847.894.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.883.3-8.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.943.785.6-1.943%-
vs Weaker (16)44.241.285.4+3.088%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.6
57.2%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
34.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.7
70.1%
73.8%11.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.726.2
61.4%
54.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.4
34.4%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws25.017.8
71.2%
73.8%17.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Olimpija
LWLWLLLWWW
Mega Basket
WWWWWWWLWL
#5
League position
#4
-2.2
Net rating
+11.9
117.9
Offensive rating
118.3
120.0
Defensive rating
106.4
57.2%
Effective FG%
58.1%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
38.1%
3-point %
34.4%
63.7%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 118.3Defence120.0 · 106.4Shooting57.2% · 58.1%3-point %38.1% · 34.4%Ball care16.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds33.7% · 32.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Cedevita Olimpija   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cedevita Olimpija wins
3
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/24AMega Basket98-119
05/04/24ACibona97-72
30/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto78-92
23/03/24HMornar Bar105-89
16/03/24AZadar65-88
09/03/24HBuducnost72-80
03/03/24APartizan102-110
16/02/24AKK Krka Novo mesto87-86
15/02/24AHelios Domzale95-81
12/02/24HKK Triglav Kranj93-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/24HCedevita Olimpija119-98
06/04/24AIgokea92-78
31/03/24HSplit92-78
25/03/24ACrvena zvezda89-83
17/03/24HStudentski Centar88-79
11/03/24HCibona80-76
03/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto106-91
15/02/24HVojvodina Novi Sad92-100
11/02/24HMornar Bar101-87
06/02/24AZadar71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL59%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%85%36%
Points / game86.491.082.1
Allowed / game85.382.288.1
Point differential+1.1+8.8-6.0
Avg total171.7173.2170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%71%54%
Points / game87.689.685.4
Allowed / game82.984.081.7
Point differential+4.7+5.6+3.7
Avg total170.5173.6167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2723485%88.672.5+16.1
2 Partizan2822679%93.576.1+17.4
3 Buducnost2821775%85.276.6+8.6
4 Mega Basket27171063%87.682.9+4.7
5 Cedevita Olimpija27161159%86.485.3+1.1
6 Zadar28141450%78.378.1+0.1
7 Igokea28131546%78.882.6-3.8
8 Split26111542%76.480.4-4.0
9 Studentski Centar27111641%84.786.1-1.4
10 Borac Mozzart26101638%79.483.9-4.5
11 FMP Beograd26101638%78.284.4-6.3
12 Cibona2691735%78.284.2-6.0
13 Mornar Bar2662023%77.890.3-12.5
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2652119%75.487.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Olimpija2219191171
Mega Basket2223211985
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