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Sencur vs Helios Domzale Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#9
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game81.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 9· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sencur v Helios Domzale
21 Nov 2026
SENC v HDO
upcoming
09 May 2026
SENC75
HDO65
25 Oct 2025
SENC87
HDO80
09 Dec 2024
SENC94
HDO77
09 Jan 2024
SENC68
HDO77
10 Nov 2023
SENC82
HDO70
04 Dec 2022
SENC76
HDO85
17 Oct 2022
SENC79
HDO89
02 Apr 2022
SENC67
HDO69
08 Oct 2021
SENC93
HDO72
06 May 2021
SENC70
HDO56
26 Apr 2021
SENC58
HDO92
27 Jan 2021
SENC70
HDO64
07 Dec 2019
SENC67
HDO71
26 Jan 2019
SENC90
HDO101
30 Apr 2018
SENC75
HDO86
02 Dec 2017
SENC62
HDO66
23 Oct 2016
SENC58
HDO84
30 Jan 2016
SENC79
HDO84
22 Apr 2015
SENC67
HDO74
10 Jan 2015
SENC77
HDO66
03 Mar 2010
SENC53
HDO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#8
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H30/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
21-19
24-19
19-16
26-24
14-24
15-22
24-16
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
27-20
26-29
21-24
18-2
25-15
21-19
30-24
23-16
29-25
22-20
20-14
25-22
21-23
16-19
23-14
16-23
18-12
22-18
18-10
18-30
18-29
21-20
22-28
17-21
19-21
25-20
21-13
16-17
162.7Avg total
82.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.279.6167.8+8.680%
Season at home (1)96.081.0177.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)86.279.2165.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)82.480.3162.7+2.160%
Last 5 (5)81.479.8161.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.390.2159.5-20.80%
vs Similar (6)91.392.7184.0-1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.375.8162.1+10.489%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#7
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
26-21
20-27
14-22
24-28
14-18
18-14
14-16
19-19
16-12
16-26
14-18
21-18
19-21
19-24
16-19
20-20
21-24
12-17
6-13
18-19
20-22
15-24
16-23
15-16
21-25
7-22
17-16
14-15
16-23
15-30
23-24
25-26
17-13
7-22
24-14
25-19
20-23
13-26
15-11
150.8Avg total
69.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)67.081.2148.2-14.20%
Season at home (2)66.074.5140.5-8.50%
Season away (4)67.584.5152.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)69.181.7150.8-12.60%
Last 5 (5)68.682.6151.2-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.685.8159.4-12.26%
vs Similar (5)83.680.4164.0+3.260%
vs Weaker (8)84.282.8167.0+1.562%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -9.0-9.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
SencurHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/10
ABA League 2
85.1Avg total
42.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.984.8+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.240.884.1+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)42.842.685.4+0.141%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.585.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.046.083.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (6)44.346.791.0-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.538.983.4+5.667%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
79.9Avg total
39.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.583.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.341.482.6-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.543.584.0-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.979.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.278.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.544.282.6-5.724%-
vs Similar (5)47.840.288.0+7.680%-
vs Weaker (8)41.640.482.0+1.262%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.9
54.3%
53.2%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.8
33.5%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
70.0%16.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.7
48.7%
53.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.6
28.5%
30.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
70.0%12.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WLWLWWWLLW
Helios Domzale
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#9
+2.4
Net rating
-12.2
95.3
Offensive rating
80.0
92.9
Defensive rating
92.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
46.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.5%
3-point %
28.5%
65.3%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 80.0Defence92.9 · 92.2Shooting53.0% · 46.1%3-point %33.5% · 28.5%Ball care17.6% · 18.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Sencur   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sencur wins
4
Helios Domzale wins
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HMornar Bar81-71
27/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto78-98
17/10/26AGorica76-70
14/10/26AVojvodina Novi Sad76-79
09/10/26HPolzela96-81
03/10/26ATajfun Sentjur99-74
26/09/26ARogaska92-75
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94
20/05/26HCedevita Olimpija79-86
12/05/26AHelios Domzale82-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26APerspektiva Ilirija73-79
24/10/26HZlatorog Lasko73-75
14/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto68-92
09/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj60-79
03/10/26AGorica69-88
26/09/26HPolzela59-74
12/05/26HSencur75-82
09/05/26ASencur65-75
04/05/26HSencur70-76
30/04/26ARogaska79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %80%100%75%
Points / game88.296.086.2
Allowed / game79.681.079.2
Point differential+8.6+15.0+7.0
Avg total167.8177.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.066.067.5
Allowed / game81.274.584.5
Point differential-14.2-8.5-17.0
Avg total148.2140.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto660100%89.067.7+21.3
2 Perspektiva Ilirija65183%84.570.8+13.7
3 Polzela54180%80.067.6+12.4
4 Sencur54180%88.279.6+8.6
5 Zlatorog Lasko53260%72.677.0-4.4
6 Gorica52340%72.874.4-1.6
7 KK Triglav Kranj41325%74.873.8+1.0
8 Rogaska51420%65.485.6-20.2
9 Helios Domzale6060%67.081.2-14.2
10 Tajfun Sentjur5050%66.286.8-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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