PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sencur vs Helios Domzale Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 88-77
Projected total 164.7
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game79.6
Vs
85%
15%
■ SENC 85%■ HDO 15%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.8
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 9· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sencur v Helios Domzale
21 Nov 2026
SENC v HDO
upcoming
09 May 2026
SENC75
HDO65
25 Oct 2025
SENC87
HDO80
09 Dec 2024
SENC94
HDO77
09 Jan 2024
SENC68
HDO77
10 Nov 2023
SENC82
HDO70
04 Dec 2022
SENC76
HDO85
17 Oct 2022
SENC79
HDO89
02 Apr 2022
SENC67
HDO69
08 Oct 2021
SENC93
HDO72
06 May 2021
SENC70
HDO56
26 Apr 2021
SENC58
HDO92
27 Jan 2021
SENC70
HDO64
07 Dec 2019
SENC67
HDO71
26 Jan 2019
SENC90
HDO101
30 Apr 2018
SENC75
HDO86
02 Dec 2017
SENC62
HDO66
23 Oct 2016
SENC58
HDO84
30 Jan 2016
SENC79
HDO84
22 Apr 2015
SENC67
HDO74
10 Jan 2015
SENC77
HDO66
03 Mar 2010
SENC53
HDO63
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Sencur host Helios Domzale in the Liga Nova KBM. Pythia makes Sencur the favourite at 85% and projects 88-77, about 165 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Sencur are 5-2 this season (85.9 scored, 79.6 allowed a game), form WLWWL; Helios Domzale are 1-7 this season (71.8 scored, 79.8 allowed a game), form LLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur win
84.7%fair 1.18
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Helios Domzale win
15.3%fair 6.56
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
59avg 79
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 79
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 79
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
90avg 79
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
74avg 79
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
73avg 79
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
69avg 79
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
27-20
26-29
21-24
18-2
25-15
21-19
30-24
23-16
29-25
22-20
20-14
25-22
21-23
16-19
23-14
16-23
18-12
22-18
18-10
18-30
18-29
21-20
22-28
17-21
19-21
25-20
21-13
16-17
23-21
19-17
16-8
15-14
20-27
25-14
17-27
25-31
162.4Avg total
82.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.979.6165.4+6.371%
Season at home (3)85.380.0165.3+5.367%
Season away (4)86.279.2165.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)82.380.1162.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.990.1165.0-15.212%
vs Similar (4)86.596.5183.0-10.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.573.4158.9+12.194%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 70
A09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 70
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
59-74
59
74
-15
41avg 70
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
L
69-88
69
88
-19
56avg 70
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
L
60-79
60
79
-19
47avg 70
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
68-92
68
92
-24
55avg 70
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
64avg 70
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 70
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-77
99
77
+22
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-12
16-26
14-18
21-18
19-21
19-24
16-19
20-20
21-24
12-17
6-13
18-19
20-22
15-24
16-23
15-16
21-25
7-22
17-16
14-15
16-23
15-30
23-24
25-26
17-13
7-22
24-14
25-19
20-23
13-26
15-11
32-19
21-18
29-24
17-16
22-13
10-29
15-17
26-15
150.9Avg total
71.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.879.8151.5-8.012%
Season at home (4)76.075.0151.0+1.025%
Season away (4)67.584.5152.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)71.479.5150.9-8.110%
Last 5 (5)77.279.4156.6-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.686.9159.5-14.20%
vs Similar (8)78.078.8156.8-0.838%
vs Weaker (8)85.281.5166.8+3.862%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
74.5%
Under 154
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
63.5%
Under 159
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
51.2%
Under 164
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sencur total 77.5
Over 77.5
85.8%
Under 77.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sencur total 81.5
Over 81.5
74.9%
Under 81.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sencur total 85.5
Over 85.5
60.7%
Under 85.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helios Domzale total 73.5
Over 73.5
61.0%
Under 73.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helios Domzale total 77.5
Over 77.5
45.4%
Under 77.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helios Domzale total 81.5
Over 81.5
30.7%
Under 81.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sencur -3
SENC -3
79.6%
HDO +3
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
SENC
No market prices yet.
HDO
No market prices yet.
Spread Sencur 0
SENC 0
84.7%
HDO 0
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
SENC
No market prices yet.
HDO
No market prices yet.
Spread Sencur +3
SENC +3
89.5%
HDO -3
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
SENC
No market prices yet.
HDO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
SencurHelios Domzale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
85.0Avg total
43.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.083.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.783.9+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.383.3+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.685.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.845.285.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (4)42.245.287.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.938.282.1+5.867%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H14/11
Liga Nova KBM
78.6Avg total
39.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.082.6-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.881.9+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.383.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.478.6-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.944.682.5-6.821%-
vs Similar (8)43.640.484.0+3.262%-
vs Weaker (8)42.139.181.2+3.062%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.9
54.3%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.8
33.5%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
70.0%16.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.7
48.7%
53.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.6
28.5%
30.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
70.0%12.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWWLWLWWWL
Helios Domzale
LWLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#9
+2.4
Net rating
-12.2
95.3
Offensive rating
80.0
92.9
Defensive rating
92.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
46.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.5%
3-point %
28.5%
65.3%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 80.0Defence92.9 · 92.2Shooting53.0% · 46.1%3-point %33.5% · 28.5%Ball care17.6% · 18.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Sencur   ■ Helios Domzale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sencur wins
4
Helios Domzale wins
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija87-99
07/11/26HZlatorog Lasko73-60
30/10/26HMornar Bar81-71
27/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto78-98
17/10/26AGorica76-70
14/10/26AVojvodina Novi Sad76-79
09/10/26HPolzela96-81
03/10/26ATajfun Sentjur99-74
26/09/26ARogaska92-75
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRogaska73-74
07/11/26HTajfun Sentjur99-77
28/10/26APerspektiva Ilirija73-79
24/10/26HZlatorog Lasko73-75
14/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto68-92
09/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj60-79
03/10/26AGorica69-88
26/09/26HPolzela59-74
12/05/26HSencur75-82
09/05/26ASencur65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game85.985.386.2
Allowed / game79.680.079.2
Point differential+6.3+5.3+7.0
Avg total165.4165.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game71.876.067.5
Allowed / game79.875.084.5
Point differential-8.0+1.0-17.0
Avg total151.5151.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.