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Serbia vs Iceland Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-73
25-27 27-15 18-19 32-12
Position#21
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game81.3
Serbia 🏆
vs
Position#60
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game89.7
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Beogradska arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Latvia
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 86
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
82-60
82
60
+22
90avg 86
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
84avg 86
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 86
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
97-73
97
73
+24
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-20
25-18
17-24
27-5
18-18
16-20
21-17
18-19
31-27
24-28
17-21
24-28
24-16
18-24
20-24
20-30
14-27
25-13
31-16
13-15
22-24
16-19
23-14
13-22
18-24
23-11
24-25
21-28
23-20
19-28
23-18
30-27
19-17
17-13
31-16
27-15
27-20
21-24
19-22
167.6Avg total
86.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.581.3167.8+5.267%
Season at home (3)87.383.0170.3+4.367%
Season away (3)85.779.7165.3+6.067%
Last 10 (10)86.181.5167.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)85.880.4166.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.289.2176.5-2.025%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.573.5162.0+15.186%
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Belgium
#16
L
64-71
64
71
-7
60avg 66
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 66
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
79avg 66
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
74-114
74
114
-40
60avg 66
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
W
86-85
86
85
+1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
83-102
83
102
-19
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
A05/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
15-15
16-14
12-25
16-19
16-22
19-20
24-23
20-21
15-15
11-24
33-27
9-36
25-30
12-24
28-24
21-21
17-13
23-20
20-22
17-17
18-26
16-26
33-21
24-21
19-23
11-24
32-17
14-26
19-26
23-27
26-20
25-27
21-31
16-26
21-18
19-24
22-25
21-20
26-17
169.0Avg total
79.6Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.089.7173.7-5.750%
Season at home (3)84.392.3176.7-8.033%
Season away (3)83.787.0170.7-3.367%
Last 10 (10)79.689.4169.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)84.692.4177.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.087.2161.2-13.220%
vs Similar (10)85.285.5170.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (5)76.673.6150.2+3.080%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.1+4.1
SerbiaIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A30/11
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H27/02
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A02/03
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A02/07
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H06/07
World Cup
85.1Avg total
43.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.837.783.5+8.077%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.537.883.3+7.779%-
Last 30 away (16)46.037.783.7+8.375%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.085.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.044.888.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.036.181.0+8.982%-
This opponent (Iceland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#16
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H30/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/08
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
34-66
34
66
-32
A04/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#29
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A27/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H30/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H27/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#41
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/03
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H02/07
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A05/07
World Cup
82.8Avg total
37.3Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.042.378.2-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.941.178.0-4.129%-
Last 30 away (16)35.143.378.4-8.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.345.582.8-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.649.288.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.143.677.7-9.527%-
vs Similar (10)39.141.480.5-2.330%-
vs Weaker (5)35.440.075.4-4.640%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.921.9
62.8%
-43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.1
36.8%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.3
78.3%
-17.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.4
30.0%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws18.713.7
73.3%
-13.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia
WWLLWWLLWW
Iceland
WLLWLWLLLL
#21
League position
#60
+16.4
Net rating
-13.1
121.2
Offensive rating
100.0
104.7
Defensive rating
113.1
59.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
30.0%
72.9%
Assist %
70.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Serbia   ■ Iceland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Serbia wins
0
Iceland wins
No previous meetings.
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HBosnia & Herzegovina94-81
02/07/26ASwitzerland97-73
02/03/26ATurkey86-94
27/02/26HTurkey78-82
30/11/25ABosnia & Herzegovina74-72
27/11/25HSwitzerland90-86
06/09/25HFinland86-92
03/09/25ATurkey90-95
01/09/25HCzech Republic82-60
30/08/25ALatvia84-80
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26AGreat Britain88-86
02/07/26HItaly83-102
02/03/26ALithuania82-99
27/02/26HLithuania86-85
30/11/25HGreat Britain84-90
27/11/25AItaly81-76
04/09/25AFrance74-114
02/09/25HSlovenia79-87
31/08/25APoland75-84
30/08/25HBelgium64-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game86.587.385.7
Allowed / game81.383.079.7
Point differential+5.2+4.3+6.0
Avg total167.8170.3165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iceland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game84.084.383.7
Allowed / game89.792.387.0
Point differential-5.7-8.0-3.3
Avg total173.7176.7170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia770100%98.366.7+31.6
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Poland770100%96.080.3+15.7
5 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
6 Croatia1110191%99.171.2+27.9
7 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Lebanon76186%90.072.6+17.4
10 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
11 France76186%85.372.0+13.3
12 Germany76186%93.380.4+12.9
13 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
16 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
17 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
18 South Sudan86275%82.467.8+14.6
19 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
20 Jordan75271%84.463.1+21.3
21 Senegal75271%85.168.9+16.3
22 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
23 New Zealand75271%93.180.6+12.6
24 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
25 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
26 Iran75271%77.667.7+9.9
27 Tunisia75271%72.766.7+6.0
28 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Guinea85362%73.466.0+7.4
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Egypt74357%77.472.7+4.7
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
40 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Nigeria84450%77.476.0+1.4
44 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
45 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
46 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
47 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
48 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
49 Netherlands115645%80.579.3+1.3
50 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
51 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
52 Latvia73443%83.182.9+0.3
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Philippines73443%78.179.7-1.6
55 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
56 Slovenia73443%82.984.7-1.9
57 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
58 South Korea73443%77.480.1-2.7
59 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
60 Cape Verde83538%74.579.0-4.5
61 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
62 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 Israel72529%80.683.3-2.7
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
70 Syria72529%65.784.7-19.0
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia25271832102
Iceland2715191273
← all games of the day
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