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Serbia vs Lithuania Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 01 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#21
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#41
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 6
Other2027
Meetings · Serbia v Lithuania
01 Mar 2027
SERB v LITH
upcoming
12 Sep 2010
SERB88
LITH99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A30/11
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A02/03
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
97-73
97
73
+24
A02/07
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H06/07
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#29
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
31-27
24-28
17-21
24-28
24-16
18-24
20-24
20-30
14-27
25-13
31-16
13-15
22-24
16-19
23-14
13-22
18-24
23-11
24-25
21-28
23-20
19-28
23-18
30-27
19-17
17-13
31-16
27-15
27-20
21-24
19-22
25-27
27-15
18-19
32-12
20-19
20-12
17-23
19-10
168.5Avg total
87.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.178.1165.2+9.075%
Season at home (4)91.080.5171.5+10.575%
Season away (4)83.275.8159.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)87.381.2168.5+6.160%
Last 5 (5)91.077.0168.0+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.790.3175.0-5.70%
vs Similar (4)80.571.8152.2+8.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.773.0165.7+19.796%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#11
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H30/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A27/02
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H02/03
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
W
105-85
105
85
+20
H02/07
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A05/07
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A28/08
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
19-19
19-17
22-25
19-24
19-20
14-20
24-23
16-21
22-30
30-16
21-21
19-16
20-18
15-20
27-28
21-24
23-19
24-11
17-32
26-14
26-19
27-23
20-26
36-28
23-13
21-24
25-20
25-22
12-18
24-19
23-28
13-27
21-28
13-20
19-19
20-23
22-23
19-12
17-15
169.4Avg total
85.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.984.6170.5+1.250%
Season at home (4)90.880.5171.2+10.275%
Season away (4)81.088.8169.8-7.825%
Last 10 (10)85.184.3169.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)86.484.2170.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.892.5172.2-12.80%
vs Similar (4)80.879.2160.0+1.575%
vs Weaker (22)89.974.3164.2+15.586%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: -2.2-2.2
SerbiaLithuania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A03/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H06/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#43
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H27/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A30/11
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H27/02
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A02/03
World Cup
Switzerland
#43
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A02/07
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H06/07
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#29
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A31/08
World Cup
86.8Avg total
43.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.937.483.4+8.579%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.638.686.2+8.979%-
Last 30 away (15)44.436.380.7+8.180%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.286.8+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.087.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.346.788.0-5.333%-
vs Similar (4)43.235.278.5+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.036.683.6+10.582%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H06/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H09/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#81
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A27/11
World Cup
Italy
#29
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H30/11
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
World Cup
Iceland
#60
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H02/03
World Cup
Great Britain
#81
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H02/07
World Cup
Italy
#29
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A05/07
World Cup
Turkey
#4
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A28/08
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#57
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H31/08
World Cup
85.4Avg total
43.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.383.7+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)46.438.985.3+7.468%-
Last 30 away (11)41.139.981.0+1.255%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.485.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.087.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.246.085.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (4)43.040.883.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (22)45.637.883.5+7.873%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.223.3
66.2%
-46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.0
40.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws22.318.0
80.7%
-18.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.6
56.3%
-47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.4
34.3%
-22.2
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
-17.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia
WWWWLLWWLL
Lithuania
WLLWWLLWLW
#21
League position
#41
+27.4
Net rating
+10.1
127.0
Offensive rating
112.3
99.6
Defensive rating
102.2
63.7%
Effective FG%
54.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
40.2%
3-point %
34.3%
76.6%
Assist %
72.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Serbia   ■ Lithuania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Serbia wins
1
Lithuania wins
DateGameScore
05/09/23Lithuania v Serbia68-87
12/09/10Serbia v Lithuania88-99
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26AItaly76-64
28/08/26HIceland102-73
06/07/26HBosnia & Herzegovina94-81
02/07/26ASwitzerland97-73
02/03/26ATurkey86-94
27/02/26HTurkey78-82
30/11/25ABosnia & Herzegovina74-72
27/11/25HSwitzerland90-86
06/09/25HFinland86-92
03/09/25ATurkey90-95
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/26HBosnia & Herzegovina78-73
28/08/26ATurkey66-94
05/07/26AItaly84-87
02/07/26HGreat Britain105-85
02/03/26HIceland99-82
27/02/26AIceland85-86
30/11/25HItaly81-82
27/11/25AGreat Britain89-88
09/09/25HGreece76-87
06/09/25HLatvia88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game87.191.083.2
Allowed / game78.180.575.8
Point differential+9.0+10.5+7.5
Avg total165.2171.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game85.990.881.0
Allowed / game84.680.588.8
Point differential+1.2+10.2-7.8
Avg total170.5171.2169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada880100%100.981.1+19.8
4 Turkey880100%91.972.6+19.2
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Dominican Republic65183%93.377.8+15.5
10 Mexico65183%93.781.8+11.8
11 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
12 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
13 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
14 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
15 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
16 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
17 Argentina86275%87.271.5+15.8
18 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
19 Brazil86275%90.878.1+12.6
20 Uruguay86275%84.473.4+11.0
21 Serbia86275%87.178.1+9.0
22 Ukraine129375%83.275.9+7.3
23 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
24 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
25 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
26 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
27 Spain85362%90.178.8+11.4
28 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
29 Italy85362%83.076.9+6.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Georgia85362%85.582.6+2.9
32 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
33 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
34 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
35 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
36 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
37 Portugal84450%83.879.5+4.2
38 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
39 Greece84450%77.174.5+2.6
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Bahamas84450%93.292.1+1.1
43 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
44 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
45 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
46 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
47 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
50 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
51 Montenegro84450%71.879.1-7.4
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
58 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
59 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
60 Iceland83538%81.293.8-12.5
61 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
62 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
65 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
66 Chile72529%71.380.6-9.3
67 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
68 Puerto Rico82625%85.990.2-4.4
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Panama82625%75.488.9-13.5
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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