PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shumen vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-82
24-24 19-15 26-15 17-28
Position#6
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game84.9
Shumen 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record12-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game77.9
BulgariaNBLRound 20· Arena Shumen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shumen v CSKA Sofia
13 Feb 2027
SHUM v CSKA
upcoming
03 Feb 2024
SHUM86
CSKA82
11 Mar 2023
SHUM77
CSKA102
13 Oct 2022
SHUM68
CSKA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 69
H02/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 69
A11/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H17/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
78avg 69
A23/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
87-98
87
98
-11
81avg 69
H29/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
69avg 69
A06/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
48avg 69
H13/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
76-61
76
61
+15
67avg 69
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
90-97
90
97
-7
78avg 69
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
76avg 69
A27/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-22
9-19
25-28
15-20
21-15
27-21
19-18
22-17
23-28
24-23
17-18
22-23
19-20
23-19
21-28
20-17
27-28
19-29
21-24
16-27
17-16
28-20
15-21
21-15
15-12
21-12
13-26
20-6
14-29
25-15
17-11
26-19
30-29
18-26
16-23
20-19
22-22
24-25
20-23
166.3Avg total
82.0Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.684.9167.5-2.332%
Season at home (9)81.385.9167.2-4.622%
Season away (10)83.784.0167.7-0.340%
Last 10 (10)82.084.3166.3-2.330%
Last 5 (5)79.679.2158.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)82.091.8173.8-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.080.9160.9-0.929%
vs Weaker (7)82.485.0167.4-2.643%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 81
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
92avg 81
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 81
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 81
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 81
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 81
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 81
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
87avg 81
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 81
H28/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-20
36-17
18-13
26-19
17-25
23-26
29-16
27-20
29-25
16-23
27-18
26-23
26-15
23-21
15-16
19-25
29-21
22-10
23-18
16-18
22-21
28-15
16-22
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
20-30
17-26
24-22
23-13
31-21
14-20
20-20
20-25
24-17
17-23
20-22
18-22
167.5Avg total
87.8Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.177.9164.1+8.267%
Season at home (10)86.775.9162.6+10.870%
Season away (8)85.480.5165.9+4.962%
Last 10 (10)87.879.7167.5+8.170%
Last 5 (5)82.280.8163.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.482.0163.4-0.636%
vs Similar ◀ (9)88.975.9164.8+13.0100%
vs Weaker (10)85.079.7164.7+5.360%
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
ShumenCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A11/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A06/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H13/01
NBL
Levski
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A20/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/01
NBL
81.8Avg total
41.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.384.6-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.643.381.9-4.727%-
Last 30 away (15)43.943.487.3+0.560%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.481.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.146.688.7-4.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.939.779.6+0.129%-
vs Weaker (7)40.639.680.1+1.057%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shumen
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/11
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/12
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/01
NBL
85.7Avg total
43.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.981.9+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.282.9+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.780.7-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)43.442.385.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.681.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.439.880.2+0.555%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.937.381.2+6.667%-
vs Weaker (10)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.9
51.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.8
31.2%
31.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.712.0
71.9%
71.1%12.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.6
56.4%
54.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.2
30.7%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
71.1%14.6
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
LLWWLLLLWL
CSKA Sofia
LLLWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#5
-5.3
Net rating
+11.6
101.9
Offensive rating
113.6
107.2
Defensive rating
102.0
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.2%
3-point %
30.7%
47.1%
Assist %
66.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 113.6Defence107.2 · 102.0Shooting49.5% · 51.9%3-point %31.2% · 30.7%Ball care18.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 36.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Shumen   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shumen wins
4
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23CSKA Sofia v Shumen90-72
11/03/23Shumen v CSKA Sofia77-102
28/12/22CSKA Sofia v Shumen79-58
13/10/22Shumen v CSKA Sofia68-70
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ASpartak Pleven86-89
20/01/24ACherno More90-97
17/01/24HLevski76-61
13/01/24HMinyor70-65
06/01/24AAcademic Plovdiv76-84
29/12/23HRilski Sportist87-98
23/12/23ABeroe85-90
17/12/23HBalkan90-96 OT
11/12/23AYambol82-74
02/12/23HChernomorets78-89
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HChernomorets79-84
17/01/24HRilski Sportist85-86
14/01/24ACherno More84-91
08/01/24HLevski81-67
29/12/23AMinyor82-76
22/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-74
17/12/23AYambol90-75
09/12/23HBeroe99-86
03/12/23ABalkan95-86
29/11/23HShumen90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLLLWW22%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%22%40%
Points / game82.681.383.7
Allowed / game84.985.984.0
Point differential-2.3-4.6-0.3
Avg total167.5167.2167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %11%22%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%70%62%
Points / game86.186.785.4
Allowed / game77.975.980.5
Point differential+8.2+10.8+4.9
Avg total164.1162.6165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1916384%84.673.5+11.1
2 Rilski Sportist1914574%82.273.9+8.3
3 Spartak Pleven1813572%85.879.2+6.6
4 CSKA Sofia1812667%86.177.9+8.2
5 Balkan1911858%80.678.4+2.2
6 Cherno More1991047%82.384.8-2.5
7 Beroe1981142%82.384.6-2.3
8 Yambol1971237%78.885.6-6.8
9 Shumen1961332%82.684.9-2.3
10 Academic Plovdiv1961332%76.883.4-6.6
11 Minyor1961332%74.785.2-10.5
12 Levski1951426%73.578.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shumen2419261786
CSKA Sofia2415152882
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.