PythiaBasketballBETA
Higher LeagueShymkent will host BC Almaty 2 on 20 November 2026 in the Higher League, with the Pythia model rating Shymkent as the clear favourite at 81% versus 19% for the visitors, a reflection of their dominant 5-0 record against the Almaty side and their superior points per game of 87 compared with BC Almaty 2's 77. Shymkent have played five games this season, winning all five, averaging 87 points scored and 77 allowed per game, and sit at the top of the league; they are 4-1 in their last five outings, including a 94-83 home win over Atyrau 2 on 29 April 2026, a 88-80 away victory over the same team on 30 April, and a 64-87 loss to Turan away on 2 May. BC Almaty 2 have also played five games, winning four and losing one, with 83.2 points scored and 72.6 allowed per game, holding a 2-0 road record with 75.0 points scored and 61.0 allowed per game; their last five games include a 107-79 home win over Pavlodar on 23 October, a 91-83 home win over Tulpar on 25 October, and a 71-58 away win over ChelSU Kostanay on 24 October. The two teams have met five times, all victories for Shymkent, most recently a 93-66 win on 25 October 2025. Pythia projects a final score of 87-77 for Shymkent, with a total of 164.5 points and a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 91.8 | 74.7 | 166.5 | +17.1 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.8 | 77.8 | 167.6 | +12.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (5) | 79.0 | 77.8 | 156.8 | +1.2 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (25) | 96.2 | 69.4 | 165.6 | +26.7 | 96% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 83.2 | 72.6 | 155.8 | +10.6 | 80% |
| Season at home (3) | 88.7 | 80.3 | 169.0 | +8.3 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 75.0 | 61.0 | 136.0 | +14.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.1 | 75.8 | 161.9 | +10.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 72.6 | 155.8 | +10.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 73.8 | 88.5 | 162.2 | -14.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar (3) | 87.0 | 94.3 | 181.3 | -7.3 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (23) | 90.9 | 67.5 | 158.4 | +23.4 | 96% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 50.0 | 35.0 | 85.0 | +15.0 | 87% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 50.1 | 34.9 | 85.1 | +15.2 | 81% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 49.9 | 35.1 | 84.9 | +14.8 | 93% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.2 | 36.6 | 83.8 | +10.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 40.8 | 85.0 | +3.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (5) | 41.4 | 40.6 | 82.0 | +0.8 | 40% | - |
| vs Weaker (25) | 51.7 | 33.9 | 85.6 | +17.8 | 96% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.7 | 35.7 | 81.4 | +10.1 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 47.5 | 35.2 | 82.6 | +12.3 | 76% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 43.5 | 36.3 | 79.8 | +7.2 | 54% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.0 | 35.5 | 77.5 | +6.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.6 | 36.0 | 73.6 | +1.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 41.5 | 41.5 | 83.0 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (3) | 43.7 | 44.0 | 87.7 | -0.3 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker (23) | 46.7 | 33.6 | 80.3 | +13.2 | 70% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 45.2 | 25.5 | 49.6% | 51.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.1 | 9.7 | 28.6% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.6 | 11.7 | 63.9% | 11.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 48.6 | 25.6 | 49.6% | 51.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.8 | 7.9 | 28.6% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.0 | 10.9 | 63.9% | 10.9 |
Shymkent
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25/10/25 | Shymkent v BC Almaty 2 | 93-66 |
| 23/10/25 | Shymkent v BC Almaty 2 | 96-64 |
| 08/04/23 | Shymkent v BC Almaty 2 | 102-77 |
| 17/11/22 | Shymkent v BC Almaty 2 | 83-79 |
| 22/10/22 | Shymkent v BC Almaty 2 | 98-96 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | A | Turan | 64-87 |
| 30/04/26 | A | Atyrau 2 | 88-80 |
| 29/04/26 | H | Atyrau 2 | 94-83 |
| 27/04/26 | A | ChelSU Kostanay | 88-75 |
| 26/04/26 | H | ChelSU Kostanay | 115-64 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Atyrau 2 | 85-64 |
| 15/04/26 | A | Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 87-86 |
| 14/04/26 | H | Atyrau 2 | 89-68 |
| 13/04/26 | A | Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 105-73 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Arlans | 103-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/26 | H | Tulpar | 91-83 |
| 24/10/26 | A | ChelSU Kostanay | 71-58 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Pavlodar | 107-79 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Tulpar | 68-79 |
| 21/10/26 | A | ChelSU Kostanay | 79-64 |
| 02/05/26 | H | Aktobe | 88-97 |
| 30/04/26 | A | CHAMP1ON | 103-55 |
| 29/04/26 | H | CHAMP1ON | 114-61 |
| 27/04/26 | H | Bars Petropavlovsk | 62-88 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Bars Petropavlovsk | 78-94 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Points / game | 83.2 | 88.7 | 75.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.6 | 80.3 | 61.0 |
| Point differential | +10.6 | +8.3 | +14.0 |
| Avg total | 155.8 | 169.0 | 136.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bars Petropavlovsk | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 88.1 | 63.3 | +24.8 |
| 2 | BC Almaty 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 83.2 | 72.6 | +10.6 |
| 3 |  Tigers-KazATU | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 87.9 | 71.6 | +16.3 |
| 4 | Tulpar | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 82.0 | 84.8 | -2.8 |
| 5 |  Karaganda | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 68.2 | 74.8 | -6.6 |
| 6 |  ChelSU Kostanay | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 70.1 | 82.1 | -12.0 |
| 7 |  Arlans | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 68.2 | 87.8 | -19.6 |
| 8 |  Pavlodar | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 62.4 | 94.2 | -31.8 |
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