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South Alabama vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-90 (OT)
0-0 33-40 0-0 42-35 7-15
Position#120
Record17-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game69.9
South Alabama
USA
vs
Texas State 🏆
USA
Position#125
Record17-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Alabama v Texas State
19 Feb 2026
SOUT82
TEXA90
15 Feb 2025
SOUT70
TEXA65
15 Feb 2024
SOUT72
TEXA55
07 Jan 2023
SOUT58
TEXA64
23 Feb 2022
SOUT52
TEXA55
14 Mar 2020
SOUT v TEXA
upcoming
03 Mar 2020
SOUT58
TEXA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-36
0-0
49-45
0-0
25-26
0-0
31-33
0-0
36-40
0-0
54-43
0-0
15-24
0-0
38-24
0-0
36-33
0-0
33-34
0-0
23-29
0-0
34-36
0-0
40-24
0-0
41-45
0-0
42-36
0-0
42-42
0-0
32-41
0-0
51-42
0-0
35-48
0-0
45-36
148.1Avg total
75.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.069.9143.9+4.263%
Season at home (13)73.664.9138.5+8.769%
Season away (14)74.474.4148.9+0.057%
Last 10 (10)75.372.8148.1+2.570%
Last 5 (5)78.876.8155.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.672.2145.8+1.453%
vs Weaker (10)72.366.4138.7+5.980%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
29-22
0-0
30-32
0-0
27-28
0-0
47-39
0-0
27-32
0-0
43-40
0-0
28-47
0-0
29-35
0-0
39-29
0-0
33-39
0-0
42-33
0-0
39-31
0-0
30-31
0-0
47-40
0-0
36-25
0-0
41-36
0-0
36-29
0-0
38-33
0-0
45-43
0-0
50-41
142.1Avg total
73.6Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.470.9145.3+3.661%
Season at home (17)77.765.4143.1+12.388%
Season away (11)69.479.3148.6-9.918%
Last 10 (10)73.668.5142.1+5.180%
Last 5 (5)80.868.4149.2+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.083.0131.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.777.2150.9-3.644%
vs Weaker (13)78.563.2141.7+15.285%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
South AlabamaTexas State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
15-24
15
24
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A17/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
31.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.732.666.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.230.564.7+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.767.9-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)31.633.765.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.670.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)32.232.864.9-0.635%-
vs Weaker (10)33.732.466.1+1.360%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
33.9Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.068.1+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.530.867.3+5.768%-
Last 30 away (11)32.536.969.5-4.418%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.965.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.270.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.836.267.9-4.412%-
vs Weaker (13)39.628.668.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South Alabama wins
5
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Texas State v South Alabama67-65
22/02/25Texas State v South Alabama93-92 OT
15/02/25South Alabama v Texas State70-65 OT
16/02/24South Alabama v Texas State72-55
02/02/24Texas State v South Alabama74-66
23/02/23Texas State v South Alabama67-76
07/01/23South Alabama v Texas State58-64
24/02/22South Alabama v Texas State52-55
04/03/20South Alabama v Texas State58-54
South Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26AMarshall80-84
14/02/26AArkansas State92-88 OT
13/02/26ASouthern Miss84-78
07/02/26HBuffalo81-69
04/02/26AAppalachian State57-65
01/02/26HGeorgia State69-67
30/01/26HCoastal Carolina53-48
23/01/26AJames Madison90-83
17/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette56-59
16/01/26HArkansas State91-87 OT
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HLouisiana Monroe95-84
12/02/26HTroy74-62
07/02/26HWestern Michigan77-61
05/02/26AGeorgia Southern77-71
31/01/26HOld Dominion81-64
29/01/26HMarshall72-68
24/01/26AJames Madison57-82
23/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-72
17/01/26HSouthern Miss74-67
15/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette59-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %63%69%57%
Points / game74.073.674.4
Allowed / game69.964.974.4
Point differential+4.2+8.7+0.0
Avg total143.9138.5148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW61%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281711
Win %61%88%18%
Points / game74.477.769.4
Allowed / game70.965.479.3
Point differential+3.6+12.3-9.9
Avg total145.3143.1148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy28181064%81.574.7+6.8
2 Marshall28181064%80.976.8+4.1
3 South Alabama27171063%74.069.9+4.2
4 Appalachian State29181162%71.965.3+6.6
5 Texas State28171161%74.470.9+3.6
6 Arkansas State27161159%82.577.5+5.0
7 Coastal Carolina28161257%73.271.9+1.3
8 Georgia Southern27151256%81.179.9+1.2
9 James Madison28151354%73.774.2-0.6
10 Southern Miss28141450%73.473.3+0.1
11 Old Dominion28101836%74.876.6-1.9
12 Georgia State2791833%70.574.3-3.8
13 Louisiana Lafayette2791833%62.969.6-6.6
14 Louisiana Monroe2842414%72.383.1-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
South Alabama033042782
Texas State0400351590
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