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South Korea vs Japan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 81-79
25-25 10-12 20-17 26-25
Position#46
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#16
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· Goyang Gymnasium
Other2027
Meetings · South Korea v Japan
06 Jul 2026
SOUT81
JAPA79
06 Oct 2023
SOUT74
JAPA55
01 Oct 2014
SOUT71
JAPA63
25 Nov 2010
SOUT55
JAPA51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Korea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South KoreaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKorea
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 76
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 76
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 76
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
99-66
99
66
+33
95avg 76
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
56avg 76
A14/08
Asia Cup
China
#30
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A28/11
World Cup
China
#30
W
90-76
90
76
+14
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
65-77
65
77
-12
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
14-23
16-20
14-29
25-22
28-16
22-23
22-22
26-17
26-19
22-20
23-30
17-18
33-10
26-17
23-21
24-25
11-21
20-18
16-15
24-16
23-18
14-18
19-24
28-13
24-16
28-23
10-24
18-21
15-22
18-17
14-17
16-15
22-27
17-12
17-24
25-17
16-13
24-19
10-26
161.2Avg total
81.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.477.8155.2-0.440%
Season at home (2)85.079.0164.0+6.050%
Season away (3)72.377.0149.3-4.733%
Last 10 (10)81.280.0161.2+1.250%
Last 5 (5)77.477.8155.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.688.6162.2-15.010%
vs Similar (5)83.680.6164.2+3.060%
vs Weaker (15)85.371.8157.1+13.580%
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
99-68
99
68
+31
95avg 82
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 82
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
102-63
102
63
+39
109avg 82
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
73-97
73
97
-24
64avg 82
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
90-64
90
64
+26
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
H01/03
World Cup
China
#30
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-22
21-18
22-17
18-13
14-28
28-10
39-17
13-16
21-18
24-24
12-20
27-15
25-18
26-19
24-11
19-23
22-30
23-28
9-16
23-10
22-12
20-20
25-22
17-22
25-14
15-21
23-16
21-11
26-22
9-25
24-29
15-16
27-22
12-17
24-17
22-21
28-19
24-19
18-14
160.7Avg total
85.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.073.8157.8+10.280%
Season at home (3)82.774.3157.0+8.367%
Season away (2)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.375.4160.7+9.970%
Last 5 (5)84.073.8157.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.684.6155.1-14.029%
vs Similar (5)79.485.2164.6-5.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.169.3156.3+17.894%
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +4.1+4.1
South KoreaJapan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South KoreaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A06/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H08/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A14/08
Asia Cup
China
#30
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A28/11
World Cup
China
#30
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H01/12
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A26/02
World Cup
Japan
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A01/03
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/07
World Cup
80.6Avg total
43.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.781.7+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.036.382.3+9.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.181.1-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.480.6+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.745.783.4-8.030%-
vs Similar (5)44.437.281.6+7.260%-
vs Weaker (15)46.134.580.6+11.573%-
This opponent (Japan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mongolia
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A23/02
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H06/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#14
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H12/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H28/11
World Cup
Chinese Taipei
#62
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/12
World Cup
China
#30
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H26/02
World Cup
South Korea
#46
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/03
World Cup
China
#30
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/07
World Cup
80.5Avg total
43.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.680.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.237.479.7+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.980.3+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.480.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.879.0+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.144.378.4-10.114%-
vs Similar (5)34.845.880.6-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.034.480.4+11.689%-
This opponent (South Korea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
South Koreatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South Korea: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.1
54.3%
-44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.7
32.6%
-29.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.4
72.1%
-12.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.014.2
52.6%
-28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.212.6
33.9%
-37.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
-14.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
South Korea
LLLWWLWWWL
Japan
WWLWWLWLWW
#46
League position
#16
+8.5
Net rating
+6.7
108.4
Offensive rating
106.5
99.9
Defensive rating
99.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
33.9%
73.0%
Assist %
73.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ South Korea   ■ Japan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
South Korea wins
2
Japan wins
DateGameScore
01/03/26Japan v South Korea78-72
06/10/23South Korea v Japan74-55
30/09/23Japan v South Korea83-77
14/08/17Japan v South Korea68-81
01/10/14South Korea v Japan71-63
25/11/10South Korea v Japan55-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HChinese Taipei80-82 OT
01/03/26AJapan72-78
26/02/26AChinese Taipei65-77
01/12/25HChina90-76
28/11/25AChina80-76
14/08/25AChina71-79
12/08/25HGuam99-66
10/08/25HLebanon97-86
08/08/25HQatar97-83
06/08/25AAustralia61-97
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26AChina92-73
01/03/26HSouth Korea78-72
26/02/26HChina80-87
01/12/25AChinese Taipei80-73
28/11/25HChinese Taipei90-64
12/08/25HLebanon73-97
10/08/25AGuam102-63
08/08/25AIran70-78
06/08/25HSyria99-68
23/02/25AMongolia89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Korea
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game77.485.072.3
Allowed / game77.879.077.0
Point differential-0.4+6.0-4.7
Avg total155.2164.0149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Japan
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game84.082.786.0
Allowed / game73.874.373.0
Point differential+10.2+8.3+13.0
Avg total157.8157.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
8 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
9 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
12 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
13 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
14 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
15 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
16 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
17 Mali65183%80.774.3+6.3
18 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
19 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
20 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
21 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
22 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
23 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
24 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
25 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
26 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
27 Angola64267%84.772.5+12.2
28 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
29 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
30 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
31 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
32 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
33 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
34 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
35 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
36 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
39 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
40 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
46 China63350%84.084.8-0.8
47 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
48 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
49 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
50 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
51 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
52 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
53 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
54 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
55 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
56 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
57 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
58 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
59 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
60 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
61 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
62 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
63 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
64 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
67 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
68 D.R. Congo62433%66.382.5-16.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Korea2510202681
Japan2512172579
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