PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Southern Miss vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 78-74
33-38 45-36
Position#211
Record14-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#214
Record11-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Southern Miss v Texas State
08 Jan 2026
SOUT80
TEXA70
11 Jan 2025
SOUT92
TEXA88
07 Mar 2024
SOUT59
TEXA75
17 Feb 2024
SOUT78
TEXA74
28 Jan 2023
SOUT67
TEXA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#98
L
56-82
56
82
-26
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H20/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A27/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-35
35-47
31-33
38-33
33-34
31-29
44-26
35-37
33-41
34-42
37-36
34-42
24-31
31-29
33-34
45-39
40-33
46-21
21-33
38-35
137.4Avg total
68.4Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.170.0140.1+0.154%
Season at home (13)71.264.2135.4+6.969%
Season away (13)69.075.8144.8-6.838%
Last 10 (10)68.469.0137.4-0.650%
Last 5 (5)69.866.6136.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.771.3134.0-8.643%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.070.1142.1+1.950%
vs Weaker (5)74.274.6148.8-0.460%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
34-25
29-44
39-42
36-43
36-36
34-39
31-39
24-30
22-36
28-24
46-42
31-24
29-31
29-26
34-30
37-31
31-29
18-35
37-37
131.0Avg total
63.8Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.869.8137.6-2.042%
Season at home (13)72.867.2140.0+5.754%
Season away (13)62.872.4135.2-9.631%
Last 10 (10)63.867.2131.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)64.061.8125.8+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)58.272.7130.9-14.417%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.966.8137.6+4.164%
vs Weaker (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -0.8-0.8
Southern MissTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#98
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A27/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H16/02
NCAA
65.3Avg total
31.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.466.8+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.530.663.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.235.870.1-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)31.733.665.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.033.464.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.734.965.6-4.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.933.167.0+0.844%-
vs Weaker (5)36.033.669.6+2.440%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H02/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A16/02
NCAA
62.4Avg total
29.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.931.962.9-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.130.463.5+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)29.133.262.3-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)29.932.562.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)28.628.056.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.235.162.2-7.98%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.130.162.1+2.071%-
vs Weaker (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern Miss wins
1
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24HLouisiana Monroe59-68
10/02/24HWestern Michigan86-54
08/02/24HOld Dominion78-73
03/02/24ATexas State55-60
01/02/24AArkansas State71-78
27/01/24AMarshall67-83
25/01/24ACoastal Carolina79-63
20/01/24HTroy64-63
18/01/24HArkansas State69-66
13/01/24ATroy56-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24ASouth Alabama55-72
10/02/24HBall State68-60
08/02/24HAppalachian State63-56
03/02/24HSouthern Miss60-55
02/02/24HSouth Alabama74-66
28/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette46-66
25/01/24ATroy65-78
20/01/24HArkansas State72-79
18/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette68-86
13/01/24ALouisiana Monroe67-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%69%38%
Points / game70.171.269.0
Allowed / game70.064.275.8
Point differential+0.1+6.9-6.8
Avg total140.1135.4144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game67.872.862.8
Allowed / game69.867.272.4
Point differential-2.0+5.7-9.6
Avg total137.6140.0135.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2623388%84.768.6+16.1
2 Appalachian State2621581%78.466.5+11.8
3 Troy2617965%79.769.9+9.8
4 Louisiana Lafayette2617965%77.370.3+6.9
5 Southern Miss26141254%70.170.0+0.1
6 South Alabama26131350%73.475.8-2.4
7 Arkansas State26121446%79.778.6+1.1
8 Marshall27121544%74.776.2-1.5
9 Georgia State25111444%77.574.6+2.8
10 Texas State26111542%67.869.8-2.0
11 Louisiana Monroe24101442%70.874.0-3.2
12 Coastal Carolina2581732%74.979.2-4.2
13 Old Dominion2662023%70.776.2-5.5
14 Georgia Southern2652119%71.079.5-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss334578
Texas State383674
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.