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Split vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-75
25-19 26-20 15-14 13-22
Position#10
Record2-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game86.9
Split 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10
Domestic2022
Meetings · Split v Mega Basket
22 Mar 2026
SPL96
MEG74
19 Oct 2024
SPL90
MEG80
18 Dec 2023
SPL88
MEG73
11 Dec 2022
SPL79
MEG75
31 Mar 2022
SPL81
MEG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
96-62
96
62
+34
no box
H01/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#11
W
82-74 OT
82
74
+8
no box
H04/11
ABA League
Gorica
#13
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A06/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
H18/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
60avg 61
A20/11
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A25/11
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
74avg 61
H28/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
70-55
70
55
+15
no box
H02/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
88-104
88
104
-16
78avg 61
A05/12
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
no box
A07/12
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
30-15
24-10
23-21
20-19
12-11
18-23
17-14
20-23
22-23
21-21
31-21
25-19
29-25
16-22
14-15
19-20
19-19
15-29
17-21
19-21
27-26
23-23
25-18
22-14
29-20
14-22
17-29
24-13
15-16
16-10
15-16
22-24
26-28
19-25
21-27
23-25
20-22
25-26
20-17
166.4Avg total
84.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.086.9161.9-11.922%
Season at home (4)77.282.8160.0-5.525%
Season away (5)73.290.2163.4-17.020%
Last 10 (10)84.881.6166.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)84.484.4168.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.088.0156.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.479.0155.4-2.640%
vs Weaker (14)84.575.0159.5+9.586%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
FMP Beograd
#5
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 75
A03/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H09/10
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
90-96
90
96
-6
66avg 75
A17/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
no box
H23/10
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
75avg 75
A30/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
101avg 75
H06/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 75
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 75
H03/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
27-26
30-15
21-30
17-27
20-19
19-17
20-27
18-19
19-25
23-14
16-29
30-23
19-23
19-26
22-24
23-34
26-22
18-18
24-17
26-25
13-25
19-22
18-14
20-15
18-17
32-16
31-26
31-24
19-21
27-18
24-22
21-25
17-15
23-28
21-26
20-21
25-8
24-21
17-24
175.5Avg total
87.4Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.887.3174.1-0.633%
Season at home (4)89.083.8172.8+5.250%
Season away (5)85.090.2175.2-5.220%
Last 10 (10)87.488.1175.5-0.730%
Last 5 (5)89.282.6171.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.788.7162.3-15.08%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.578.0162.5+6.570%
vs Weaker (7)87.481.9169.3+5.657%
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
SplitMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H01/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H04/11
ABA League
Gorica
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H18/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A20/11
ABA League
Alkar
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A25/11
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H28/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A05/12
ABA League
Cibona
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A07/12
Croatian Cup
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.7+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.377.2+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.182.5+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.887.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.643.882.4-5.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.735.673.3+2.150%-
vs Weaker (14)44.338.282.5+6.164%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
FMP Beograd
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H09/10
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A17/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H23/10
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H03/12
ABA League
86.2Avg total
42.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.382.5-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.837.378.2+3.558%-
Last 30 away (18)41.344.085.3-2.739%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.281.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.483.3-9.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.737.581.2+6.260%-
vs Weaker (7)44.739.984.6+4.971%-
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.2
52.3%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.4
27.0%
35.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
75.8%14.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.1
55.2%
55.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.6
27.5%
35.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws25.118.3
72.9%
75.8%18.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LLWLWLWWWW
Mega Basket
WLWWLLLLLL
#10
League position
#6
-19.0
Net rating
-1.8
99.6
Offensive rating
106.2
118.6
Defensive rating
108.0
47.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
27.0%
3-point %
27.5%
56.6%
Assist %
66.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 106.2Defence118.6 · 108.0Shooting47.7% · 50.0%3-point %27.0% · 27.5%Ball care17.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.6% · 28.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Split   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Split wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
31/03/22Split v Mega Basket81-80
12/12/21Mega Basket v Split78-65
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22ACibona88-90
05/12/22AMornar Bar88-104
02/12/22HGKK Sibenka70-55
28/11/22HStudentski Centar82-85
25/11/22AAlkar94-88
20/11/22APartizan70-89
18/11/22HZabok84-81
06/11/22AGorica94-88
04/11/22HCibona82-74 OT
01/11/22HDinamo Zagreb96-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-74
27/11/22AMZT Skopje82-94
20/11/22AMornar Bar101-85
06/11/22HStudentski Centar101-74
30/10/22APartizan76-86
23/10/22HCibona93-100 OT
17/10/22AZadar90-96
09/10/22HIgokea76-87
03/10/22AFMP Beograd76-90
25/09/22ALokomotiv Kuban93-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL22%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game75.077.273.2
Allowed / game86.982.890.2
Point differential-11.9-5.5-17.0
Avg total161.9160.0163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game86.889.085.0
Allowed / game87.383.890.2
Point differential-0.6+5.2-5.2
Avg total174.1172.8175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan98189%89.774.9+14.8
2 Crvena zvezda98189%86.473.0+13.4
3 FMP Beograd97278%90.685.4+5.1
4 Cedevita Olimpija86275%89.679.0+10.6
5 Buducnost106460%88.682.8+5.8
6 Zadar106460%91.789.9+1.8
7 Igokea105550%83.883.8+0.0
8 Mornar Bar104640%86.388.3-2.0
9 Studentski Centar104640%81.588.5-7.0
10 Mega Basket93633%86.887.3-0.6
11 Cibona93633%80.492.1-11.7
12 Split92722%75.086.9-11.9
13 Borac Mozzart102820%81.087.3-6.3
14 MZT Skopje102820%80.389.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split2526151379
Mega Basket1920142275
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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