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Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game81.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 11· Dvorana KK Split
Other2026-27
Meetings · Split v Dinamo Zagreb
11 Dec 2026
SPL v DINA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SPL94
DINA99
31 May 2025
SPL89
DINA69
25 May 2025
SPL82
DINA86
09 Apr 2025
SPL94
DINA86
06 Mar 2025
SPL79
DINA61
02 Apr 2024
SPL74
DINA51
15 Oct 2023
SPL74
DINA60
01 Nov 2022
SPL96
DINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#9
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 81
A26/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#3
W
94-73
94
73
+21
90avg 81
H02/10
Premijer liga
Opava
#38
W
74-68
74
68
+6
64avg 81
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dubrava
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
91avg 81
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#10
L
69-78
69
78
-9
51avg 81
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
62avg 81
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
70avg 81
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
71avg 81
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#22
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 81
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#2
L
81-93 OT
81
93
-12
no box
H31/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
23-16
22-19
21-7
28-24
18-14
26-20
22-15
17-13
24-19
14-21
19-15
19-15
18-17
21-16
28-14
22-19
6-19
23-18
18-22
24-16
19-18
14-23
16-27
32-22
10-31
16-26
22-21
20-24
16-23
21-16
19-12
19-22
19-18
31-21
19-21
19-20
19-19
17-22
20-14
158.3Avg total
80.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.875.5157.3+6.367%
Season at home (3)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
Season away (3)81.067.7148.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)80.278.1158.3+2.160%
Last 5 (5)79.686.8166.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.885.2163.1-7.433%
vs Similar (5)80.079.8159.8+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.375.2165.5+15.2100%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
82-97
82
97
-15
77avg 78
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
91-110
91
110
-19
93avg 78
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 78
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
104avg 78
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 78
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
86avg 78
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#3
L
55-100
55
100
-45
33avg 78
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
85-62
85
62
+23
85avg 78
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
55avg 78
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 78
H30/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
19-21
19-27
25-28
25-26
21-25
23-31
22-28
29-15
16-18
21-7
31-21
39-23
18-29
31-13
13-17
24-27
17-18
17-10
22-23
25-23
21-20
23-17
25-25
17-30
8-16
18-21
12-33
23-16
19-18
24-7
19-21
17-26
15-21
17-19
12-21
26-17
20-16
19-20
20-22
166.8Avg total
83.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.781.2157.8-4.567%
Season at home (4)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)58.093.5151.5-35.50%
Last 10 (10)83.183.7166.8-0.660%
Last 5 (5)76.081.8157.8-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.298.6179.8-17.420%
vs Similar (14)85.088.8173.8-3.843%
vs Weaker (6)85.374.7160.0+10.767%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -3.8-3.8
SplitDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/09
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/10
Premijer liga
Opava
#38
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dubrava
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A10/10
Premijer liga
Trepca
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/10
Premijer liga
Trier
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#10
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/10
Premijer liga
Promitheas
#22
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H31/10
Premijer liga
78.0Avg total
38.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.581.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.978.2+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.284.9+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.378.0-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.682.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.241.080.2-1.833%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.484.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.237.581.7+6.877%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/05
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A09/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#3
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/10
Premijer liga
84.4Avg total
41.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.385.1-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.142.682.6-2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)39.647.887.3-8.212%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.684.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.249.989.1-10.710%-
vs Similar (14)40.444.484.8-3.929%-
vs Weaker (6)39.340.079.3-0.750%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.6
53.7%
54.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.9
34.9%
34.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
71.8%14.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
54.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
34.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
71.8%14.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWWLLLWWWW
Dinamo Zagreb
WLWLWWWWLL
#4
League position
#5
+4.2
Net rating
-1.0
96.3
Offensive rating
96.0
92.1
Defensive rating
97.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
34.5%
66.5%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 96.0Defence92.1 · 97.1Shooting53.0% · 54.5%3-point %34.9% · 34.5%Ball care15.5% · 16.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Split   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Split wins
2
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
29/04/26Dinamo Zagreb v Split89-96
09/03/26Split v Dinamo Zagreb94-99
13/12/25Dinamo Zagreb v Split103-116
31/05/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb89-69
28/05/25Dinamo Zagreb v Split55-88
25/05/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb82-86
09/04/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb94-86
06/03/25Split v Dinamo Zagreb79-61
25/10/24Dinamo Zagreb v Split111-121 OT
02/04/24Split v Dinamo Zagreb74-51
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HCibona81-93 OT
28/10/26HPromitheas88-82
25/10/26AAlkar76-75
21/10/26ATrier80-100
18/10/26HZadar73-84
14/10/26HTrepca69-78
10/10/26ADubrava86-62
07/10/26AOpava74-68
02/10/26HKvarner94-73
26/09/26ADubrovnik81-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAlkar85-75
23/10/26AZadar61-87
17/10/26HDubrava85-62
11/10/26AKvarner55-100
03/10/26HDubrovnik94-85
26/09/26HZabok80-78
20/05/26AKastela101-82
16/05/26HKastela97-61
09/05/26ASamobor91-110
03/05/26HDubrovnik82-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game81.882.781.0
Allowed / game75.583.367.7
Point differential+6.3-0.7+13.3
Avg total157.3166.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game76.786.058.0
Allowed / game81.275.093.5
Point differential-4.5+11.0-35.5
Avg total157.8161.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar660100%91.864.8+27.0
2 Cibona660100%90.777.2+13.5
3 Kvarner64267%90.379.7+10.7
4 Split64267%81.875.5+6.3
5 Dinamo Zagreb64267%76.781.2-4.5
6 Skrljevo63350%80.785.0-4.3
7 Cedevita Junior63350%80.089.5-9.5
8 Zabok62433%79.283.7-4.5
9 Dubrovnik62433%79.888.3-8.5
10 Alkar61517%79.084.5-5.5
11 Samobor61517%76.884.3-7.5
12 Dubrava6060%73.586.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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