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St. Marys (CA) vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-69
32-31 32-38
Position#24
Record8-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game58.7
St. Marys (CA)
USA
vs
Missouri State 🏆
USA
Position#198
Record8-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · St. Marys (CA) v Missouri State
23 Dec 2023
ST. 64
MISS69
07 Dec 2022
ST. 66
MISS46
22 Dec 2021
ST. 75
MISS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Marys (CA) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Marys (CA)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
54-79
54
79
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
49-66
49
66
-17
H20/11
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H28/11
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A02/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A09/12
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
71-34
71
34
+37
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
21-45
18-28
31-38
44-20
45-35
38-38
33-40
24-34
36-29
43-23
27-34
33-32
31-29
20-14
30-36
33-16
38-18
38-29
54-27
130.5Avg total
68.9Scored
61.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.258.7129.8+12.562%
Season at home (10)74.756.0130.7+18.770%
Season away (3)59.367.7127.0-8.333%
Last 10 (10)68.961.6130.5+7.360%
Last 5 (5)73.255.0128.2+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)63.069.0132.0-6.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)72.059.6131.6+12.476%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
28-32
33-27
23-25
45-37
42-32
44-32
48-42
44-30
46-48
25-36
32-38
27-32
39-34
31-23
38-37
37-36
35-37
34-16
45-41
142.0Avg total
74.5Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.067.6141.6+6.467%
Season at home (7)79.665.6145.1+14.0100%
Season away (5)66.270.4136.6-4.220%
Last 10 (10)74.567.5142.0+7.070%
Last 5 (5)70.068.2138.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)61.264.8126.0-3.660%
vs Similar (15)68.866.3135.1+2.553%
vs Weaker (10)73.365.6138.9+7.770%
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +1.0+1.0
St. Marys (CA)Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Marys (CA)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A18/11
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
18-28
18
28
-10
H20/11
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H28/11
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A02/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H06/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A09/12
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
20-14
20
14
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H20/12
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H22/12
NCAA
59.2Avg total
32.4Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.626.960.4+6.769%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.625.359.8+9.378%-
Last 30 away (11)31.929.561.5+2.455%-
Last 10 (10)32.426.859.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.422.856.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)25.633.459.0-7.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)35.225.560.8+9.779%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H20/12
NCAA
66.0Avg total
36.2Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.930.664.5+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.229.665.8+6.781%-
Last 30 away (14)31.331.863.1-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.229.866.0+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)30.828.659.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)28.232.660.8-4.440%-
vs Similar (15)36.531.668.1+4.973%-
vs Weaker (10)33.028.161.1+4.970%-
This opponent (St. Marys (CA)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
St. Marys (CA) wins
0
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22St. Marys (CA) v Missouri State66-46
23/12/21St. Marys (CA) v Missouri State75-58
St. Marys (CA)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HNorthern Kentucky92-56
20/12/23HMiddle Tenn. St.71-34
17/12/23HUNLV69-67 OT
09/12/23AColorado State64-61
06/12/23HCleveland State70-57
02/12/23ABoise State60-63
28/11/23HUtah Utes71-78
24/11/23HDavidson89-55
20/11/23HXavier49-66
18/11/23ASan Diego State54-79
Missouri Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HLindenwood79-57
16/12/23ATulsa72-73
10/12/23HSam Houston St.69-60
06/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.73-77 OT
02/12/23ADrake57-74
30/11/23HEvansville90-78
25/11/23HSouth Carolina St92-74
21/11/23HAbilene Christian87-69
20/11/23HKent State56-52
18/11/23AFlorida Gulf Coast70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Marys (CA)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %62%70%33%
Points / game71.274.759.3
Allowed / game58.756.067.7
Point differential+12.5+18.7-8.3
Avg total129.8130.7127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%10%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%100%20%
Points / game74.079.666.2
Allowed / game67.665.670.4
Point differential+6.4+14.0-4.2
Avg total141.6145.1136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Washington State119282%77.462.5+14.9
2 Gonzaga129375%84.367.1+17.2
3 Oregon State118373%71.569.1+2.5
4 San Francisco1410471%76.160.5+15.6
5 San Diego Toreros139469%72.972.4+0.5
6 Santa Clara149564%78.572.9+5.6
7 St. Marys (CA)138562%71.258.7+12.5
8 Seattle127558%76.066.2+9.8
9 Loyola Marymount137654%75.368.8+6.5
10 Pepperdine146843%71.471.9-0.5
11 Portland146843%75.679.4-3.9
12 Pacific145936%63.874.4-10.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1310377%79.259.5+19.8
2 Western Kentucky1310377%79.972.8+7.1
3 Louisiana Tech139469%75.863.5+12.3
4 Kennesaw State139469%85.476.3+9.1
5 Delaware128467%76.870.3+6.5
6 Missouri State128467%74.067.6+6.4
7 UTEP138562%77.969.5+8.4
8 Jacksonville State136746%68.462.5+5.9
9 Sam Houston St.136746%71.171.8-0.8
10 Middle Tenn. St.135838%63.467.4-4.0
11 Florida International145936%76.975.6+1.2
12 New Mexico State145936%71.273.6-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Marys (CA)323264
Missouri State313869
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