Stjarnan vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 19:15

Projected 102-98

Projected total 200.3

Final 113-94

25-29 30-22 35-18 23-25

Position#7

Record2-3

FormLLLWW

Points / game94.4

Allowed / game93.2

Stjarnan 🏆

64%

36%

■ STJA 64%■ KEFL 36%

Pythia win probability

Keflavik

Position#5

Record4-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game107.2

Allowed / game99.8

Premier leagueRound 6· Mathus Gardabaejar hollin

Other2026-27

Meetings · Stjarnan v Keflavik

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Stjarnan host Keflavik in the Premier league on 12 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 64% to win against Keflavik's 36% chance; the projected score is 102-98 and the total 200.3 points, a slight over of the 199.5 line with a 51% probability. Stjarnan finish the season 2-3, averaging 94.4 points and conceding 93.2, while Keflavik sit 4-1, 107.2 points for and 99.8 against; the home team's two-game home record is 1-1 with 100.0 points for and 99.5 against, and their last five games are 2-3. Keflavik's road record is 2-1, 106.0 points for and 103.3 against, and their last five are 4-1. Recent results show Stjarnan beating Njardvik 103-79 away, beating IR Reykjavik 102-96 at home, and losing to Grindavik 92-98 away, while Keflavik beat IR Reykjavik 100-90 away, beat Hottur 112-99 at home, and lost to Alftanes 110-130 away. The teams have split ten meetings, with the last encounter on 3 February 2026 ending 110-107 for Stjarnan. The spread of -4.0 gives Stjarnan a 51% chance to cover, and the over on 199.5 is also 51%, with a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan winWon

63.6%fair 1.57

Best odds1.53

Implied61.8%

Edge+1.8pp

Keflavik winLost

36.4%fair 2.74

Best odds2.50

Implied38.2%

Edge-1.8pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Stjarnan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormStjarnan

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

96-95

92avg 98

A21/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

105-103 OT

105

103

101avg 98

H25/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

88-103

103

-15

86avg 98

A29/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

97-103

103

-6

92avg 98

H03/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

91-100

100

-9

84avg 98

A06/05

Premier league

Valur

77-90

-13

63avg 98

A08/10

Premier league

Hottur

98-103

103

-5

86avg 98

H16/10

Premier league

Grindavik

92-98

-6

82avg 98

A22/10

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

102-96

102

101avg 98

H29/10

Premier league

Njardvik

103-79

103

+24

no box

A07/11

Premier league

25-27

23-17

21-24

27-27

22-30

17-28

29-8

19-21

23-30

13-27

25-22

27-24

26-20

29-26

21-27

21-30

22-30

17-29

26-21

26-20

22-22

19-24

18-23

18-21

18-23

28-27

20-31

32-22

24-29

22-23

22-25

24-21

21-22

23-15

37-26

21-33

27-22

25-13

24-22

27-22

191.9Avg total

94.9Scored

97.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	94.4	93.2	187.6	+1.2	40%
Season at home (2)	100.0	99.5	199.5	+0.5	50%
Season away (3)	90.7	89.0	179.7	+1.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	94.9	97.0	191.9	-2.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	94.4	93.2	187.6	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	84.0	100.0	184.0	-16.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	96.9	98.0	194.9	-1.1	40%
vs Weaker (18)	105.9	95.6	201.6	+10.3	83%

This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Keflavik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKeflavik

Date

Competition

Valur

78-75

68avg 90

A02/04

Premier league

Valur

82-87

-5

68avg 90

H07/04

Premier league

Valur

78-79

-1

69avg 90

A11/04

Premier league

Valur

88-81

82avg 90

H15/04

Premier league

Valur

76-90

-14

63avg 90

A19/04

Premier league

Armann

#12

108-90

108

+18

105avg 90

A08/10

Premier league

Sindri

#11

106-90

106

+16

101avg 90

H15/10

Premier league

Alftanes

110-130

110

130

-20

94avg 90

A23/10

Premier league

Hottur

112-99

112

+13

110avg 90

H29/10

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

100-90

100

+10

no box

A05/11

Premier league

14-21

18-21

25-19

21-14

26-33

13-15

24-20

19-19

18-16

22-17

12-22

26-24

28-22

19-17

16-15

25-27

22-17

16-27

25-21

13-25

31-23

31-29

33-15

13-23

31-24

25-30

26-14

24-22

32-29

29-34

32-32

17-35

35-28

25-29

18-17

34-25

24-22

16-28

29-17

31-23

184.9Avg total

93.8Scored

91.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	107.2	99.8	207.0	+7.4	80%
Season at home (2)	109.0	94.5	203.5	+14.5	100%
Season away (3)	106.0	103.3	209.3	+2.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	93.8	91.1	184.9	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	107.2	99.8	207.0	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	102.0	109.0	211.0	-7.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	92.1	92.1	184.2	-0.1	47%
vs Weaker (9)	99.4	89.7	189.1	+9.8	67%

This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 199.5Actual: Over 199.5

Over 199.5

50.5%

@ 1.91+1.6pp

Under 199.5

49.5%

@ 2.05-1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.91

Pinnacle

1.91

Bet365

1.83

SBO

1.75

1xBet

1.74

Under

Betano

2.05

SBO

1.91

Pinnacle

1.83

Bet365

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

Over/Under 204.5 · main lineActual: Over 204.5

Over 204.5

38.8%

@ 2.35-11.2pp

Under 204.5

61.2%

@ 1.88+11.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Betano

2.07

Pinnacle

1.83

SBO

1.78

1xBet

1.75

Under

SBO

1.88

1xBet

1.83

Pinnacle

1.83

Betano

1.65

Bet365

1.54

Over/Under 209.5Actual: Under 209.5

Over 209.5

28.1%

@ 3.10-3.9pp

Under 209.5

71.9%

@ 1.39+3.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.10

Betano

2.70

Under

Betano

1.39

Bet365

1.33

📊 3. Team Totals

Stjarnan total 98.5Actual: Stjarnan over 98.5

Over 98.5

63.2%

@ 1.45+0.6pp

Under 98.5

36.8%

@ 2.65-0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.45

Betano

1.40

Under

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.16

Stjarnan total 102.5 · main lineActual: Stjarnan over 102.5

Over 102.5

48.0%

@ 1.84-2.0pp

Under 102.5

52.0%

@ 1.88+2.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

Under

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.63

Stjarnan total 106.5Actual: Stjarnan over 106.5

Over 106.5

33.1%

@ 2.55-3.0pp

Under 106.5

66.9%

@ 1.47+3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.55

Betano

2.42

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.34

Keflavik total 95.5Actual: Keflavik under 95.5

Over 95.5

59.3%

@ 1.49-1.1pp

Under 95.5

40.7%

@ 2.45+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.49

Betano

1.47

Under

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.08

Keflavik total 99.5 · main lineActual: Keflavik under 99.5

Over 99.5

44.1%

@ 1.90-4.9pp

Under 99.5

55.9%

@ 1.83+4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.90

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Under

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.58

Keflavik total 103.5Actual: Keflavik under 103.5

Over 103.5

29.9%

@ 2.65-4.3pp

Under 103.5

70.1%

@ 1.42+4.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.65

Betano

2.60

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.32

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Stjarnan -7Actual: Stjarnan -7

STJA -7

39.4%

@ 2.25-2.2pp

KEFL +7

60.6%

@ 1.60+2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

STJA

Bet365

2.25

KEFL

Bet365

1.60

Spread Stjarnan -4 · main lineActual: Stjarnan -4

STJA -4

51.2%

@ 1.89+1.7pp

KEFL +4

48.8%

@ 1.86-1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

STJA

Pinnacle

1.89

SBO

1.85

Bet365

1.83

KEFL

Bet365

1.86

Pinnacle

1.85

SBO

1.83

Spread Stjarnan -1Actual: Stjarnan -1

STJA -1

62.5%

@ 1.52+1.3pp

KEFL +1

37.5%

@ 2.40-1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

STJA

Bet365

1.52

KEFL

Bet365

2.40

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

StjarnanKeflavik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	26.8	24.8	51.6	+2.0	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	28.2	24.4	52.7	+3.8	62%	75%
Last 30 away (14)	25.1	25.2	50.3	-0.1	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	23.0	25.5	48.5	-2.5	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.6	46.0	-1.2	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	29.0	51.0	-7.0	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	25.6	25.0	50.6	+0.6	40%	70%
vs Weaker (18)	27.7	24.7	52.4	+3.1	61%	67%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	24.2	23.6	47.8	+0.6	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	24.8	22.1	46.9	+2.8	77%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	23.7	24.8	48.5	-1.1	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	26.1	23.5	49.6	+2.6	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	30.6	25.2	55.8	+5.4	100%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	24.7	49.0	-0.3	67%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	22.8	22.5	45.2	+0.3	59%	29%
vs Weaker (9)	26.3	26.1	52.4	+0.2	56%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	25.1	23.3	48.4	+1.8	50%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	25.9	22.9	48.8	+2.9	56%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	24.2	23.8	48.0	+0.4	43%	29%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.9	44.5	-1.3	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	27.0	48.0	-6.0	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	30%	10%
vs Weaker (18)	27.9	22.7	50.6	+5.2	67%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	22.5	24.3	46.8	-1.9	40%	30%
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	24.6	47.0	-2.2	38%	46%
Last 30 away (17)	22.5	24.1	46.6	-1.6	41%	18%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	24.7	46.1	-3.3	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	25.2	30.0	55.2	-4.8	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	28.3	31.7	60.0	-3.3	33%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.7	23.5	44.2	-2.8	41%	18%
vs Weaker (9)	24.1	24.1	48.2	+0.0	33%	44%

StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tindastoll

48-44

A21/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

39-58

-19

H25/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

36-57

-21

A29/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

55-46

H03/05

Premier league

Tindastoll

39-59

-20

A06/05

Premier league

Valur

41-46

-5

A08/10

Premier league

Hottur

46-50

-4

H16/10

Premier league

Grindavik

46-52

-6

A22/10

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

44-37

H29/10

Premier league

Njardvik

52-35

+17

A07/11

Premier league

93.0Avg total

44.6Scored

48.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 101.5
Last 30 (30)	51.9	48.1	100.0	+3.7	63%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	54.1	47.4	101.5	+6.8	69%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	49.3	49.0	98.3	+0.3	57%	14%
Last 10 (10)	44.6	48.4	93.0	-3.8	40%	0%
Last 5 (5)	45.8	44.0	89.8	+1.8	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	56.0	99.0	-13.0	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	46.7	49.0	95.7	-2.3	50%	10%
vs Weaker (18)	55.6	47.3	102.9	+8.3	78%	44%

This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valur

32-42

-10

A02/04

Premier league

Valur

39-48

-9

H07/04

Premier league

Valur

40-33

A11/04

Premier league

Valur

47-39

H15/04

Premier league

Valur

38-44

-6

A19/04

Premier league

Armann

#12

62-52

+10

A08/10

Premier league

Sindri

#11

56-54

H15/10

Premier league

Alftanes

61-63

-2

A23/10

Premier league

Hottur

60-57

H29/10

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

#10

40-50

-10

A05/11

Premier league

95.7Avg total

47.5Scored

48.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 101.5
Last 30 (30)	46.7	48.0	94.6	-1.3	40%	17%
Last 30 at home (13)	47.2	46.7	93.9	+0.5	54%	15%
Last 30 away (17)	46.2	48.9	95.2	-2.7	29%	18%
Last 10 (10)	47.5	48.2	95.7	-0.7	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	55.8	55.2	111.0	+0.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	52.7	56.3	109.0	-3.7	33%	67%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	43.5	46.0	89.5	-2.5	29%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	50.4	50.2	100.7	+0.2	56%	33%

This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Stjarnan win

STJA win

no forecast

@ 1.64

KEFL win

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Spread Stjarnan -1.5 · main lineActual: Stjarnan -1.5

STJA -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

KEFL +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 101.5 · main lineActual: Over 101.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Stjarnan 1st half total 51.5 · main lineActual: Stjarnan over 51.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

Keflavik 1st half total 50.5 · main lineActual: Keflavik over 50.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.02

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: STJA + total 101.5

STJA & over

no forecast

@ 3.25

STJA & under

no forecast

@ 3.30

1st half: Draw + total 101.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: KEFL + total 101.5

KEFL & over

no forecast

@ 4.20

KEFL & under

no forecast

@ 4.25

1st half Spread Stjarnan -2.5Actual: Stjarnan -2.5

STJA -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

KEFL +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Stjarnan -0.5Actual: Stjarnan -0.5

STJA -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.74

KEFL +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 99.5Actual: Over 99.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 103.5Actual: Over 103.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.66

1st half Spread Stjarnan -3.5Actual: Stjarnan -3.5

STJA -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

KEFL +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.70

1st half Over/Under 97.5Actual: Over 97.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.47

Under

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half Over/Under 105.5Actual: Over 105.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.50

Under

no forecast

@ 1.50

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Stjarnan (regulation)

STJA

no forecast

@ 1.68

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

KEFL

no forecast

@ 2.32

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.0	21.5	47.5	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	24.7	48.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	22.9	47.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.4	49.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.2	22.7	46.9	+1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	25.6	23.9	49.5	+1.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.2	22.4	47.6	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.3	20.7	46.0	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 away (17)	25.2	23.7	48.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	19.0	46.6	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	27.0	27.7	54.7	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	24.6	22.9	47.5	+1.7	76%	-
vs Weaker (9)	26.2	19.9	46.1	+6.3	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	23.0	45.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	22.6	46.4	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	23.4	45.4	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	24.1	48.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.8	48.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.7	23.5	46.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.2	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	21.5	44.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.8	21.7	45.5	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.9	21.4	44.3	+1.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	23.7	46.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	25.6	49.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	25.0	47.3	-2.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	23.3	22.4	45.6	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.8	19.6	42.3	+3.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.0	46.0	94.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	49.8	44.1	93.9	+5.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.9	48.1	94.0	-2.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.5	47.0	95.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.6	49.2	97.8	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	44.0	85.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	46.9	46.2	93.1	+0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	48.9	47.0	95.9	+1.9	39%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.5	43.9	92.4	+4.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	49.1	42.4	91.5	+6.7	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	48.1	45.1	93.2	+3.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	42.9	89.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	44.6	96.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	49.3	52.7	102.0	-3.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	47.9	45.2	93.1	+2.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (9)	49.0	39.4	88.4	+9.6	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

STJA win + total 203.5

🔒 Pro

KEFL win + total 203.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: STJA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: KEFL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Keflavik under 105.5	76.1%	1.38	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	-	+12.6pp	Won
Stjarnan under 108.5	73.5%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Lost
Stjarnan over 79.5	98.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Stjarnan over 80.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Keflavik +24.5	95.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Stjarnan over 83.5	96.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Keflavik over 78.5	97.1%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Keflavik over 76.5	98.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Keflavik over 80.5	95.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Stjarnan over 81.5	97.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Stjarnan over 89.5	88.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Keflavik over 82.5	93.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Stjarnan over 85.5	94.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Keflavik over 86.5	86.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Keflavik +14.5	82.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Keflavik over 77.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Stjarnan +20.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Keflavik over 84.5	90.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Keflavik +19.5	91.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Stjarnan over 87.5	92.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Stjarnan over 82.5	97.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Stjarnan over 84.5	95.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Stjarnan +15.5	94.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Stjarnan over 91.5	84.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Keflavik over 90.5	76.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Keflavik over 79.5	96.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Over 174.5	93.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Stjarnan over 86.5	93.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Stjarnan over 93.5	79.5%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Keflavik over 81.5	94.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Stjarnan +10.5	89.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Over 184.5	82.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Stjarnan over 88.5	90.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Keflavik under 103.5	70.1%	1.37	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Stjarnan over 95.5	73.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.34	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Stjarnan over 96.5	70.3%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Over 179.5	89.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Under 209.5	71.9%	1.36	Betano 1.39	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Stjarnan +3.5	72.7%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Keflavik over 83.5	92.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Stjarnan over 90.5	86.8%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Stjarnan +4.5	75.8%	1.27	Betano 1.28	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.9%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Keflavik +11.5	74.8%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Lost
Keflavik over 92.5	70.1%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Stjarnan over 92.5	82.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Over 189.5	73.2%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Keflavik under 104.5	73.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.32	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Stjarnan under 107.5	70.3%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
Keflavik +10.5	71.9%	1.33	Betano 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
Under 214.5	80.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Keflavik over 85.5	88.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Keflavik over 88.5	82.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Keflavik over 87.5	84.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Keflavik over 89.5	79.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 96.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game

50%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	20.2	52.1%	56.2%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.6	11.6	32.6%	33.0%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	29.2	21.2	72.6%	73.9%	21.2

They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game

50%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	22.7	55.2%	56.2%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	8.4	29.5%	33.0%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	27.3	21.4	78.4%	73.9%	21.4

They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.4	23.2	53.5%	56.2%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.9	11.9	37.3%	33.0%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	25.5	18.4	72.2%	73.9%	18.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	23.1	54.6%	56.2%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	9.4	31.0%	33.0%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.6	73.9%	73.9%	15.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.2	25.6	56.6%	56.2%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.5	33.5%	33.0%	31.4
🏀 Free throws	25.9	19.3	74.6%	73.9%	19.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	22.5	54.7%	56.2%	44.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	9.6	32.8%	33.0%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	26.3	20.9	79.7%	73.9%	20.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	22.0	50.1%	56.2%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	11.0	34.3%	33.0%	32.9
🏀 Free throws	24.4	17.8	72.9%	73.9%	17.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	23.0	55.0%	56.2%	46.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	9.8	31.3%	33.0%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.9	73.1%	73.9%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Stjarnan

WWLLLLLLWW

Keflavik

WWLWWLWLLW

League position

-4.1

Net rating

+2.1

96.2

Offensive rating

98.9

100.3

Defensive rating

96.7

50.5%

Effective FG%

50.7%

54.5%

Opp. effective FG%

51.2%

13.4%

Turnover %

11.7%

0.39

Free-throw rate

0.39

32.6%

3-point %

29.5%

65.7%

Assist %

55.9%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Stjarnan ■ Keflavik

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Stjarnan wins

Keflavik wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/26	Keflavik v Stjarnan	107-110 OT
15/01/26	Stjarnan v Keflavik	116-98
17/10/25	Keflavik v Stjarnan	92-71
14/03/25	Keflavik v Stjarnan	107-98
12/12/24	Stjarnan v Keflavik	97-93
19/03/24	Keflavik v Stjarnan	113-94
26/01/24	Keflavik v Stjarnan	97-89
26/10/23	Stjarnan v Keflavik	87-81
20/01/23	Keflavik v Stjarnan	115-87
11/01/23	Stjarnan v Keflavik	89-83

Stjarnanlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Njardvik	103-79
29/10/26	H	IR Reykjavik	102-96
22/10/26	A	Grindavik	92-98
16/10/26	H	Hottur	98-103
08/10/26	A	Valur	77-90
06/05/26	A	Tindastoll	91-100
03/05/26	H	Tindastoll	97-103
29/04/26	A	Tindastoll	88-103
25/04/26	H	Tindastoll	105-103 OT
21/04/26	A	Tindastoll	96-95

Keflaviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/26	A	IR Reykjavik	100-90
29/10/26	H	Hottur	112-99
23/10/26	A	Alftanes	110-130
15/10/26	H	Sindri	106-90
08/10/26	A	Armann	108-90
19/04/26	A	Valur	76-90
15/04/26	H	Valur	88-81
11/04/26	A	Valur	78-79
07/04/26	H	Valur	82-87
02/04/26	A	Valur	78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan

Premier league 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	40%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	94.4	100.0	90.7
Allowed / game	93.2	99.5	89.0
Point differential	+1.2	+0.5	+1.7
Avg total	187.6	199.5	179.7
Over 204.5	0%	0%	0%
Win by 10+	20%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Keflavik

Premier league 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	100%	67%
Points / game	107.2	109.0	106.0
Allowed / game	99.8	94.5	103.3
Point differential	+7.4	+14.5	+2.7
Avg total	207.0	203.5	209.3
Over 204.5	40%	50%	33%
Win by 10+	80%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KR Basket	5	5	0	100%	98.4	84.6	+13.8
2	Valur	5	5	0	100%	87.4	78.6	+8.8
3	Tindastoll	6	5	1	83%	91.8	83.7	+8.2
4	Alftanes	5	4	1	80%	112.4	96.4	+16.0
5	Keflavik	5	4	1	80%	107.2	99.8	+7.4
6	Grindavik	5	3	2	60%	91.2	89.6	+1.6
7	Stjarnan	5	2	3	40%	94.4	93.2	+1.2
8	Hottur	5	2	3	40%	92.0	99.4	-7.4
9	IR Reykjavik	6	1	5	17%	92.3	102.3	-10.0
10	Sindri	5	0	5	0%	85.4	94.8	-9.4
11	Njardvik	5	0	5	0%	83.4	93.8	-10.4
12	Armann	5	0	5	0%	83.0	102.4	-19.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Stjarnan	25	30	35	23	113
Keflavik	29	22	18	25	94

← all games of the day

Stjarnan vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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