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Sutjeska vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 101-87
18-25 33-14 24-25 26-23
Position#2
Record19-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#4
Record17-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game81.7
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 25· Sports center Niksic
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sutjeska v Mornar Bar
28 Mar 2026
SUT101
MBA87
02 Jun 2021
SUT76
MBA106
17 May 2019
SUT75
MBA73
09 May 2019
SUT90
MBA84
21 May 2018
SUT78
MBA100
15 May 2018
SUT70
MBA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Sutjeska
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 93.3
99.8▲ 6.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.3
93.2▲ 12.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 61%
61%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.1
19.2▼ 0.9
🔥 Form · Mornar Bar
3.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
83.8▲ 2.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.1
90.8▲ 6.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
56%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 14.3
17.0▲ 2.7
SutjeskaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
110-62
110
62
+48
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H04/03
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#9
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
111-106
111
106
+5
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
125-103
125
103
+22
H14/03
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
H18/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A22/03
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A25/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
29-21
26-11
28-16
24-12
19-20
32-16
35-14
18-20
29-17
26-24
20-22
20-24
15-16
25-17
18-25
19-18
22-25
22-22
27-23
34-27
25-29
21-20
31-30
30-21
27-27
26-29
42-26
18-23
24-20
28-24
15-18
17-22
22-29
25-23
25-18
17-22
16-16
22-19
23-14
183.3Avg total
97.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)98.681.8180.5+16.879%
Season at home (12)107.280.8188.1+26.492%
Season away (12)90.082.8172.8+7.267%
Last 10 (10)97.885.5183.3+12.380%
Last 5 (5)99.893.2193.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)82.884.8167.5-2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)98.881.0179.9+17.881%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
71-113
71
113
-42
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
101-89
101
89
+12
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H21/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-20
12-19
18-19
32-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
25-17
26-22
27-31
24-17
25-24
23-19
32-21
14-20
25-23
14-31
18-25
25-17
11-29
16-29
17-22
27-33
33-14
17-28
30-23
21-24
21-19
19-23
26-21
25-20
20-18
8-23
19-23
19-26
28-17
21-19
17-16
24-27
174.7Avg total
85.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.981.7167.6+4.271%
Season at home (12)88.279.3167.5+8.883%
Season away (12)83.784.1167.8-0.458%
Last 10 (10)85.789.0174.7-3.360%
Last 5 (5)83.890.8174.6-7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.389.4164.8-14.122%
vs Similar (8)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
vs Weaker (13)84.882.3167.1+2.569%
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
SutjeskaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SutjeskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H04/03
ABA League 2
Studentski Centar
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H14/03
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A22/03
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A25/03
ABA League 2
88.5Avg total
45.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.941.087.9+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.141.591.6+8.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.340.483.7+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.588.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.293.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.841.878.5-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)48.540.989.3+7.673%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/03
Prva A Liga
87.0Avg total
42.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.283.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.785.3+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.881.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.287.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.882.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (8)45.541.286.8+4.262%-
vs Weaker (13)42.840.583.3+2.454%-
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sutjeskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sutjeska: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.825.7
58.7%
58.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
31.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.6%
69.7%16.7
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.6
55.9%
58.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.4
27.8%
31.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.115.6
64.7%
69.7%15.6
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sutjeska
WLWWWWLWWW
Mornar Bar
WLWWLLWWWL
#2
League position
#4
+13.6
Net rating
-4.3
115.3
Offensive rating
104.1
101.7
Defensive rating
108.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
7.3%
Turnover %
4.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.4%
3-point %
27.8%
56.7%
Assist %
51.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 104.1Defence101.7 · 108.4Shooting56.6% · 50.3%3-point %35.4% · 27.8%Ball care7.3% · 4.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Sutjeska   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sutjeska wins
8
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Mornar Bar v Sutjeska90-88
02/06/21Sutjeska v Mornar Bar76-106
19/05/19Mornar Bar v Sutjeska83-75
17/05/19Sutjeska v Mornar Bar75-73
15/05/19Mornar Bar v Sutjeska88-74
09/05/19Sutjeska v Mornar Bar90-84
29/04/19Mornar Bar v Sutjeska106-87
21/05/18Sutjeska v Mornar Bar78-100
19/05/18Mornar Bar v Sutjeska97-73
15/05/18Sutjeska v Mornar Bar70-74
Sutjeskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26ASloboda78-71
22/03/26AJedinstvo89-92
18/03/26HSloboda96-94 OT
14/03/26HDecic125-103
11/03/26APrimorje111-106
07/03/26HStudentski Centar90-88
04/03/26HSloboda78-82
14/02/26ATivat93-83
11/02/26HVukovi Zeta110-62
07/02/26HIbar Rozaje108-74
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HKotor90-79
16/03/26ALovcen Cetinje66-90
11/03/26ADanilovgrad91-83
08/03/26HJedinstvo101-89
05/03/26AZlatibor71-113
14/02/26ADecic82-96
11/02/26HPrimorje94-84
07/02/26AStudentski Centar102-87
02/02/26HTivat90-85
27/01/26HVojvodina Novi Sad70-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %79%92%67%
Points / game98.6107.290.0
Allowed / game81.880.882.8
Point differential+16.8+26.4+7.2
Avg total180.5188.1172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%83%58%
Points / game85.988.283.7
Allowed / game81.779.384.1
Point differential+4.2+8.8-0.4
Avg total167.6167.5167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2419579%98.681.8+16.8
2 Primorje2418675%92.082.6+9.5
3 Mornar Bar2417771%85.981.7+4.2
4 Lovcen Cetinje2517868%79.675.0+4.6
5 Podgorica25141156%81.077.9+3.1
6 Jedinstvo25141156%86.585.8+0.7
7 Studentski Centar24111346%81.582.4-0.8
8 Kotor25111444%78.181.6-3.5
9 Decic25101540%86.590.3-3.8
10 Tivat2491538%89.994.3-4.4
11 Danilovgrad2491538%80.285.8-5.6
12 Ibar Rozaje2491538%76.282.7-6.5
13 Vukovi Zeta2481633%82.886.7-3.9
14 Ulcinj2552020%78.588.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sutjeska18332426101
Mornar Bar2514252387
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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