Virtus Roma vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Oct 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 86-57

25-21 17-11 11-13 33-12

Position#6

Record2-2

FormLWLWL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game77.0

Virtus Roma 🏆

Caserta

Position#12

Record2-2

FormLLWLW

Points / game69.2

Allowed / game76.5

Lega ARound 5

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

88-82

A07/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

85-93

-8

H16/04

Lega A

Venezia

69-83

-14

A22/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-91

-13

H25/04

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

70-76

-6

H29/04

Lega A

Pesaro

75-83

-8

A02/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

75-71

A30/09

Lega A

Cantu

70-84

-14

H07/10

Lega A

Reggiana

77-66

+11

H14/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-87

-5

A22/10

Lega A

16-18

23-15

23-34

26-15

21-15

26-29

17-20

21-29

22-27

19-15

10-28

18-13

18-18

22-30

17-26

21-17

20-23

17-16

20-16

13-21

20-22

18-20

20-16

17-25

22-27

17-7

13-19

23-18

15-16

22-21

19-21

14-26

19-9

21-17

31-14

6-26

18-25

21-22

21-26

22-14

158.5Avg total

76.9Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	76.0	77.0	153.0	-1.0	50%
Season at home (2)	73.5	75.0	148.5	-1.5	50%
Season away (2)	78.5	79.0	157.5	-0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	81.6	158.5	-4.7	30%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	78.2	154.0	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	78.6	79.4	158.0	-0.8	40%
vs Similar (24)	79.1	82.2	161.4	-3.1	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	75.0	71.0	146.0	+4.0	100%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

76-67

H15/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

66-84

-18

A22/04

Lega A

Venezia

83-80

H25/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

85-96

-11

A29/04

Lega A

Biella

#12

84-88

-4

A02/05

Lega A

Sassari

69-95

-26

H06/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-97

-26

A30/09

Lega A

Cremona

#10

63-60

H06/10

Lega A

Biella

#17

65-82

-17

A14/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

78-67

+11

H21/10

Lega A

–

17-25

19-14

10-25

20-20

17-21

17-16

20-20

29-23

31-22

22-29

17-17

15-28

29-21

14-20

23-29

18-18

21-30

18-18

11-22

19-25

17-24

20-29

19-24

15-20

17-25

19-17

14-10

13-8

16-24

18-18

15-19

16-21

18-23

22-14

17-11

21-19

155.6Avg total

74.0Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	69.2	76.5	145.8	-7.2	50%
Season at home (2)	70.5	63.5	134.0	+7.0	100%
Season away (2)	68.0	89.5	157.5	-21.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	81.6	155.6	-7.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	80.2	149.4	-11.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	75.0	81.2	156.2	-6.2	33%
vs Similar (23)	77.7	80.8	158.5	-3.1	39%
vs Weaker (1)	65.0	82.0	147.0	-17.0	0%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	17.9	38.9	+3.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	22.9	41.3	-4.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	20%	-
vs Similar (24)	19.6	20.1	39.8	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	22.0	27.0	49.0	-5.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	20.4	39.5	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	23.9	44.2	-3.6	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	25.2	43.0	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	19.8	37.2	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar (22)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	24.0	40.0	-8.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Similar (24)	17.8	19.3	37.1	-1.5	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	17.0	7.0	24.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.6	20.3	37.9	-2.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	22.5	39.8	-5.2	33%	-
vs Similar (22)	17.6	19.9	37.5	-2.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

39-33

A07/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

47-44

H16/04

Lega A

Venezia

41-42

-1

A22/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-48

-8

H25/04

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

37-39

-2

H29/04

Lega A

Pesaro

38-42

-4

A02/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

39-34

A30/09

Lega A

Cantu

37-37

H07/10

Lega A

Reggiana

40-26

+14

H14/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-47

-8

A22/10

Lega A

78.9Avg total

39.7Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.6	77.4	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	37.7	77.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	41.5	77.4	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.2	78.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.2	75.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.2	41.6	80.8	-2.4	20%	-
vs Similar (24)	37.5	39.4	76.9	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	39.0	34.0	73.0	+5.0	100%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

36-39

-3

A22/04

Lega A

Venezia

34-37

-3

H25/04

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

53-51

A29/04

Lega A

Biella

#12

43-41

A02/05

Lega A

Sassari

39-48

-9

H06/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-53

-16

A30/09

Lega A

Cremona

#10

36-42

-6

H06/10

Lega A

Biella

#17

34-42

-8

A14/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

40-37

H21/10

Lega A

82.4Avg total

39.1Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.6	40.8	77.4	-4.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	40.5	77.8	-3.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.1	43.3	82.4	-4.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	44.4	81.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	34.7	42.3	77.0	-7.7	17%	-
vs Similar (22)	37.3	40.3	77.5	-3.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	42.0	76.0	-8.0	0%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.7	39.3	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.0	41.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar (24)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	13.0	19.0	32.0	-6.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.7	40.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	19.7	35.9	-3.4	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	17.2	32.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	19.1	19.0	38.2	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	22.3	40.1	-4.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.8	38.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	80%	-
vs Similar (24)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	21.3	41.6	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.4	20.2	38.7	-1.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.6	35.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.8	19.8	40.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	40.3	80.0	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	41.1	79.3	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	39.5	80.6	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	42.4	79.6	-5.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	41.0	78.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.4	37.8	77.2	+1.6	80%	-
vs Similar (24)	39.9	40.9	80.8	-1.0	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	36.0	37.0	73.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.3	40.3	79.7	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	38.5	77.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.5	42.1	81.5	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.7	39.9	74.6	-5.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	35.8	67.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	40.3	38.8	79.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	39.4	40.8	80.2	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	40.0	71.0	-9.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/12	Caserta v Virtus Roma	80-90
03/12/11	Virtus Roma v Caserta	82-89
23/04/11	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-68
02/01/11	Caserta v Virtus Roma	68-60
25/05/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-83
23/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	78-76
21/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	70-65
16/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	85-69
24/01/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	83-64
25/01/09	Caserta v Virtus Roma	74-79

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/12	A	Olimpia Milano	82-87
14/10/12	H	Reggiana	77-66
07/10/12	H	Cantu	70-84
30/09/12	A	Pesaro	75-71
02/05/12	A	Pesaro	75-83
29/04/12	H	Casale Monferrato	70-76
25/04/12	H	Olimpia Milano	78-91
22/04/12	A	Venezia	69-83
16/04/12	H	Teramo	85-93
07/04/12	A	Avellino	88-82

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/10/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	78-67
14/10/12	A	Biella	65-82
06/10/12	H	Cremona	63-60
30/09/12	A	Olimpia Milano	71-97
06/05/12	H	Sassari	69-95
02/05/12	A	Biella	84-88
29/04/12	A	Sutor Montegranaro	85-96
25/04/12	H	Venezia	83-80
22/04/12	A	Virtus Bologna	66-84
15/04/12	H	Avellino	76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	76.0	73.5	78.5
Allowed / game	77.0	75.0	79.0
Point differential	-1.0	-1.5	-0.5
Avg total	153.0	148.5	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLW	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	69.2	70.5	68.0
Allowed / game	76.5	63.5	89.5
Point differential	-7.2	+7.0	-21.5
Avg total	145.8	134.0	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Varese	4	4	0	100%	91.8	83.5	+8.2
2	Sassari	4	4	0	100%	80.5	75.5	+5.0
3	Cantu	4	3	1	75%	78.2	69.0	+9.2
4	Siena	4	3	1	75%	71.2	63.8	+7.5
5	Virtus Bologna	4	3	1	75%	73.8	71.0	+2.8
6	Pesaro	4	2	2	50%	75.2	73.2	+2.0
7	Olimpia Milano	4	2	2	50%	76.5	75.0	+1.5
8	Virtus Roma	4	2	2	50%	76.0	77.0	-1.0
9	Caserta	4	2	2	50%	69.2	76.5	-7.2
10	Venezia	5	2	3	40%	74.0	76.6	-2.6
11	Reggiana	4	1	3	25%	66.2	63.5	+2.8
12	Avellino	4	1	3	25%	80.0	81.2	-1.2
13	Cremona	4	1	3	25%	71.5	74.5	-3.0
14	Sutor Montegranaro	4	1	3	25%	75.2	79.2	-4.0
15	Biella	4	1	3	25%	70.8	77.8	-7.0
16	Brindisi	5	1	4	20%	79.2	89.0	-9.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	25	17	11	33	86
Caserta	21	11	13	12	57

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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