Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 91-87

25-19 24-22 16-20 26-26

Position#6

Record5-4

FormWWLWL

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game73.9

Virtus Roma 🏆

Varese

Position#2

Record9-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game76.1

Lega ARound 10

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

75-83

-8

A02/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

75-71

A30/09

Lega A

Cantu

70-84

-14

H07/10

Lega A

Reggiana

77-66

+11

H14/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-87

-5

A22/10

Lega A

Caserta

#12

86-57

+29

H28/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

75-67

A04/11

Lega A

Siena

70-81

-11

H12/11

Lega A

Venezia

75-67

A18/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

79-85

-6

A25/11

Lega A

20-22

18-20

20-16

17-25

22-27

17-7

13-19

23-18

15-16

22-21

19-21

14-26

19-9

21-17

31-14

6-26

18-25

21-22

21-26

22-14

25-21

17-11

11-13

33-12

20-19

20-15

21-18

14-15

11-25

16-18

22-17

21-21

9-6

21-22

27-19

18-20

20-24

18-19

17-24

24-18

151.2Avg total

76.4Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	76.6	73.9	150.4	+2.7	56%
Season at home (4)	75.8	72.0	147.8	+3.8	50%
Season away (5)	77.2	75.4	152.6	+1.8	60%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	74.8	151.2	+1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	71.4	148.4	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.5	80.8	156.2	-5.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	78.0	79.5	157.5	-1.5	48%
vs Weaker (3)	80.0	71.0	151.0	+9.0	67%

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

75-91

-16

H23/05

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

118-110 OT

118

110

A30/09

Lega A

Avellino

#11

91-83

H06/10

Lega A

Siena

74-67

H15/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

84-74

+10

A21/10

Lega A

Cantu

77-73

H29/10

Lega A

Caserta

#12

73-56

+17

A04/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

77-60

+17

A11/11

Lega A

Sassari

85-84

H18/11

Lega A

Reggiana

91-78

+13

H25/11

Lega A

21-28

14-17

16-23

24-23

17-29

23-11

18-22

35-31

23-22

26-28

13-13

29-20

27-15

10-14

20-16

17-22

25-15

17-18

22-20

20-21

27-22

18-18

20-19

12-14

19-19

21-15

14-14

19-8

21-13

18-25

20-4

18-18

22-18

23-19

23-18

17-29

24-20

22-21

21-19

24-18

162.1Avg total

84.5Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	85.6	76.1	161.7	+9.4	100%
Season at home (5)	83.6	77.0	160.6	+6.6	100%
Season away (4)	88.0	75.0	163.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	77.6	162.1	+6.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	70.2	150.8	+10.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	68.9	79.7	148.6	-10.9	29%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.1	72.7	149.8	+4.4	67%
vs Weaker (5)	88.6	76.6	165.2	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	21.2	39.7	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	21.5	41.2	-1.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.1	19.2	38.3	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	24.0	46.3	-1.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.3	40.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.1	42.7	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.4	23.4	38.9	-8.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.4	18.3	37.8	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.6	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	12.3	29.7	+5.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	18.7	35.7	-1.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	19.6	38.1	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	17.7	36.7	+1.2	39%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	40%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

38-42

-4

A02/05

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

39-34

A30/09

Lega A

Cantu

37-37

H07/10

Lega A

Reggiana

40-26

+14

H14/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

39-47

-8

A22/10

Lega A

Caserta

#12

42-32

+10

H28/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

40-34

A04/11

Lega A

Siena

27-43

-16

H12/11

Lega A

Venezia

30-28

A18/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

38-43

-5

A25/11

Lega A

73.6Avg total

37.0Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.3	38.1	76.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	40.1	76.8	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	36.6	73.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	36.0	71.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	44.2	82.0	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	37.0	38.7	75.7	-1.7	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.7	36.3	76.0	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

35-45

-10

H23/05

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

40-40

A30/09

Lega A

Avellino

#11

49-50

-1

H06/10

Lega A

Siena

37-29

H15/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

42-33

A21/10

Lega A

Cantu

45-40

H29/10

Lega A

Caserta

#12

40-34

A04/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

39-38

A11/11

Lega A

Sassari

45-37

H18/11

Lega A

Reggiana

46-41

H25/11

Lega A

80.5Avg total

41.8Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.2	76.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	38.5	80.4	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.0	37.9	71.9	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	38.7	80.5	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.0	43.0	77.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.4	36.1	74.4	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	60%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	21.2	39.8	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	61%	-
vs Weaker (3)	13.7	18.7	32.3	-5.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	15.9	32.9	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	14.8	34.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.4	18.4	35.9	-1.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.4	16.7	35.1	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.4	14.6	32.0	+2.8	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	20.4	38.2	-2.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	18.2	39.6	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	15.2	34.5	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.5	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.7	16.0	42.7	+10.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.1	38.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	18.5	35.9	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.7	41.1	+1.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.4	18.3	35.7	-0.9	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	19.2	38.2	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.2	19.6	43.8	+4.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	38.6	78.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	38.4	76.5	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	38.7	79.4	+2.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	38.2	77.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.4	77.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	36.5	74.2	+1.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	34.7	75.0	+5.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	35.8	73.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	36.1	72.5	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	35.6	74.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.2	77.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	32.2	69.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	34.9	36.7	71.6	-1.9	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.3	35.9	73.3	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	41.6	34.2	75.8	+7.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
12/02/12	Varese v Virtus Roma	76-78
30/10/11	Virtus Roma v Varese	74-76 OT
27/03/11	Varese v Virtus Roma	84-78
05/12/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	89-92
17/04/10	Virtus Roma v Varese	64-71
20/12/09	Varese v Virtus Roma	67-84

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/12	A	Virtus Bologna	79-85
18/11/12	A	Venezia	75-67
12/11/12	H	Siena	70-81
04/11/12	A	Cremona	75-67
28/10/12	H	Caserta	86-57
22/10/12	A	Olimpia Milano	82-87
14/10/12	H	Reggiana	77-66
07/10/12	H	Cantu	70-84
30/09/12	A	Pesaro	75-71
02/05/12	A	Pesaro	75-83

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/12	H	Reggiana	91-78
18/11/12	H	Sassari	85-84
11/11/12	A	Biella	77-60
04/11/12	A	Caserta	73-56
29/10/12	H	Cantu	77-73
21/10/12	A	Virtus Bologna	84-74
15/10/12	H	Siena	74-67
06/10/12	H	Avellino	91-83
30/09/12	A	Brindisi	118-110 OT
23/05/12	H	Siena	75-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	56%
Home	LWWL	50%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	50%	60%
Points / game	76.6	75.8	77.2
Allowed / game	73.9	72.0	75.4
Point differential	+2.7	+3.8	+1.8
Avg total	150.4	147.8	152.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.6	83.6	88.0
Allowed / game	76.1	77.0	75.0
Point differential	+9.4	+6.6	+13.0
Avg total	161.7	160.6	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	20%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	11%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Varese	9	9	0	100%	85.6	76.1	+9.4
2	Siena	9	7	2	78%	74.0	63.6	+10.4
3	Sassari	9	7	2	78%	85.1	80.7	+4.4
4	Cantu	9	6	3	67%	75.8	68.1	+7.7
5	Reggiana	9	5	4	56%	73.7	68.7	+5.0
6	Virtus Roma	9	5	4	56%	76.6	73.9	+2.7
7	Olimpia Milano	9	5	4	56%	78.1	76.0	+2.1
8	Virtus Bologna	9	5	4	56%	74.4	74.1	+0.3
9	Brindisi	9	4	5	44%	80.7	81.9	-1.2
10	Caserta	9	4	5	44%	66.4	74.4	-8.0
11	Avellino	9	3	6	33%	78.9	81.8	-2.9
12	Venezia	9	3	6	33%	76.0	79.4	-3.4
13	Biella	9	3	6	33%	69.3	76.8	-7.4
14	Pesaro	9	2	7	22%	70.4	76.6	-6.1
15	Sutor Montegranaro	9	2	7	22%	77.6	83.7	-6.1
16	Cremona	9	2	7	22%	70.0	76.9	-6.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	25	24	16	26	91
Varese	19	22	20	26	87

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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