Svendborg vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 91-74

29-24 20-13 24-14 18-23

Position#3

Record8-3

FormLWWLW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game84.3

Svendborg 🏆

Aalborg

Position#10

Record0-12

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game97.1

BasketligaenRound 13

Other2014-15

Meetings · Svendborg v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

90-75

+15

A20/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

78-73

H29/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-82

A03/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

82-110

110

-28

A08/11

Basketligaen

BMI

78-71

A12/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

69-91

-22

H17/11

Basketligaen

Randers

95-92

A20/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

98-88

+10

A27/11

Basketligaen

Randers

92-93 OT

-1

H01/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

90-80

+10

A10/12

Basketligaen

17-14

34-28

18-15

21-18

23-17

14-20

24-17

17-19

21-17

20-23

20-17

27-25

14-29

26-25

23-26

19-30

–

20-22

9-24

21-23

19-22

28-23

19-17

25-27

23-25

26-19

26-24

30-20

16-25

17-25

25-19

25-23

18-18

29-14

21-29

16-15

24-22

171.5Avg total

86.0Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	84.8	84.3	169.1	+0.5	73%
Season at home (4)	79.2	81.2	160.5	-2.0	75%
Season away (7)	88.0	86.0	174.0	+2.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	85.5	171.5	+0.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.8	88.8	177.6	+0.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.5	95.5	172.0	-19.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	87.1	89.8	176.9	-2.6	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	88.8	79.9	168.7	+8.9	88%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

75-90

-15

H20/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

79-111

111

-32

A23/10

Denmark Cup

Bakken Bears

97-122

122

-25

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

80-96

-16

A01/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

73-93

-20

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

87-114

114

-27

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

62-93

-31

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

82-105

105

-23

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

67-90

-23

H03/12

Basketligaen

Randers

77-87

-10

H12/12

Basketligaen

14-17

28-34

15-18

18-21

–

21-28

16-35

26-31

34-28

20-26

10-29

19-23

31-18

16-18

17-25

21-26

19-24

22-24

16-35

29-30

20-25

17-28

12-26

16-25

17-14

24-33

17-22

11-24

30-26

15-26

12-24

20-14

20-26

13-19

16-16

33-25

15-27

178.0Avg total

77.9Scored

100.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	75.8	97.1	172.8	-21.3	0%
Season at home (7)	74.3	95.7	170.0	-21.4	0%
Season away (5)	77.8	99.0	176.8	-21.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	100.1	178.0	-22.2	0%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	97.8	172.8	-22.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	80.3	96.2	176.5	-15.9	9%
vs Similar (5)	82.4	81.8	164.2	+0.6	40%
vs Weaker (1)	96.0	87.0	183.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SvendborgAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	17.8	35.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	22.6	40.7	-4.4	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.9	18.4	41.4	+4.5	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.3	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	22.5	40.8	-4.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	23.5	44.5	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.0	24.3	42.3	-6.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	26.0	44.2	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.5	23.7	43.2	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	22.0	49.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.5	21.8	43.2	-0.3	64%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	22.1	44.9	+0.7	73%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	25.2	41.0	-9.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	25.1	19.4	44.6	+5.7	86%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	24.3	43.1	-5.6	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	24.5	43.5	-5.6	13%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	24.1	42.6	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.0	27.3	43.3	-11.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	24.6	39.2	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.0	25.3	44.4	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aalborg

#10

51-42

A20/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

37-37

H29/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

41-40

A03/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

40-54

-14

A08/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

29-46

-17

H17/11

Basketligaen

Randers

47-40

A20/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

52-43

A27/11

Basketligaen

Randers

42-44

-2

H01/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

50-43

A10/12

Basketligaen

86.4Avg total

43.2Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	42.5	41.1	83.6	+1.4	61%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.8	40.1	81.8	+1.7	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	42.0	85.1	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.2	43.2	86.4	+0.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	43.2	87.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.5	43.0	76.5	-9.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.3	42.0	85.3	+1.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.2	40.3	84.5	+3.9	65%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

42-51

-9

H20/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-63

-26

H29/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

30-55

-25

A01/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

33-43

-10

H06/11

Basketligaen

Sisu

38-59

-21

A16/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

29-54

-25

H19/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

41-55

-14

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

27-50

-23

H03/12

Basketligaen

Randers

29-35

-6

H12/12

Basketligaen

85.7Avg total

34.0Scored

51.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.3	47.3	85.7	-9.0	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	47.0	84.3	-9.7	7%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	47.6	87.1	-8.1	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	34.0	51.7	85.7	-17.7	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	50.6	83.4	-17.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	38.5	49.0	87.6	-10.5	9%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	40.2	76.8	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	0%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.8	21.9	44.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	20.7	43.9	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.4	20.3	42.8	+2.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	27.2	50.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.9	23.4	45.3	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.1	19.9	43.1	+3.2	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	22.7	42.3	-3.0	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.4	42.1	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	26%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	24.4	44.2	-4.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.4	39%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.8	40.2	+0.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	23.3	45.3	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.4	22.7	43.1	-2.2	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	25.2	45.5	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	24.6	45.9	-3.3	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.5	19.6	41.1	+1.8	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.2	22.9	45.1	-0.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	22.9	45.5	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	22.9	44.7	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.7	23.2	45.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.5	24.5	46.0	-3.0	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.4	15.4	38.8	+8.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	23.0	57.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	44.0	43.5	87.5	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.6	43.0	85.6	-0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.2	44.0	89.2	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.9	43.0	85.9	-0.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	44.0	87.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.0	52.5	95.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.1	48.0	91.1	-4.9	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.6	39.6	84.2	+5.0	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	45.6	87.5	-3.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.4	45.7	88.1	-3.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.4	45.4	86.8	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.8	47.2	91.0	-3.4	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	47.2	89.4	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	41.2	46.9	88.0	-5.7	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	53.0	44.0	97.0	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Svendborg wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/14	Aalborg v Svendborg	75-90
12/02/14	Aalborg v Svendborg	85-98
15/01/14	Svendborg v Aalborg	99-110
15/12/13	Svendborg v Aalborg	104-95
28/09/13	Aalborg v Svendborg	70-94
30/01/13	Aalborg v Svendborg	71-82
10/11/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	93-84
05/11/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	94-68
06/10/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	102-81
01/03/12	Aalborg v Svendborg	91-83

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/14	A	Horsholm	90-80
01/12/14	H	Randers	92-93 OT
27/11/14	A	Sisu	98-88
20/11/14	A	Randers	95-92
17/11/14	H	Horsens	69-91
12/11/14	A	BMI	78-71
08/11/14	A	Herlev Wolfpack	82-110
03/11/14	A	Team FOG Naestved	88-82
29/10/14	H	Vaerlose	78-73
20/10/14	A	Aalborg	90-75

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/14	H	Randers	77-87
03/12/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	67-90
27/11/14	A	Horsens	82-105
19/11/14	H	Vaerlose	62-93
16/11/14	A	Sisu	87-114
06/11/14	H	Team FOG Naestved	73-93
01/11/14	A	Horsholm	80-96
29/10/14	H	Bakken Bears	97-122
23/10/14	A	Horsens	79-111
20/10/14	H	Svendborg	75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	73%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WLWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	73%	75%	71%
Points / game	84.8	79.2	88.0
Allowed / game	84.3	81.2	86.0
Point differential	+0.5	-2.0	+2.0
Avg total	169.1	160.5	174.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	0%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2014-15

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	75.8	74.3	77.8
Allowed / game	97.1	95.7	99.0
Point differential	-21.3	-21.4	-21.2
Avg total	172.8	170.0	176.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	11	10	1	91%	97.8	84.2	+13.6
2	Horsens	13	10	3	77%	83.9	75.5	+8.5
3	Svendborg	11	8	3	73%	84.8	84.3	+0.5
4	Randers	12	8	4	67%	93.2	85.6	+7.7
5	Herlev Wolfpack	12	8	4	67%	89.2	81.6	+7.6
6	Sisu	12	6	6	50%	87.7	85.6	+2.1
7	Team FOG Naestved	13	6	7	46%	80.1	81.9	-1.8
8	Vaerlose	12	3	9	25%	72.0	77.2	-5.2
9	Horsholm	12	1	11	8%	80.4	91.3	-10.9
10	Aalborg	12	0	12	0%	75.8	97.1	-21.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Svendborg	29	20	24	18	91
Aalborg	24	13	14	23	74

← all games of the day

Svendborg vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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