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Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-62
23-11 16-20 18-16 19-15
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game91.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Svendborg v Vaerlose
08 Nov 2026
SVEN v VAER
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
SVEN100
VAER69
10 Oct 2024
SVEN76
VAER62
08 Apr 2024
SVEN88
VAER83
15 Jan 2024
SVEN98
VAER76
29 Dec 2022
SVEN83
VAER75
16 Feb 2022
SVEN97
VAER82
09 Jan 2022
SVEN108
VAER70
03 Oct 2020
SVEN116
VAER72
30 Nov 2019
SVEN82
VAER96
10 Oct 2018
SVEN85
VAER73
26 Feb 2015
SVEN85
VAER77
29 Oct 2014
SVEN78
VAER73
30 Nov 2013
SVEN95
VAER88
14 Mar 2013
SVEN98
VAER88
07 Mar 2013
SVEN86
VAER71
23 Feb 2013
SVEN89
VAER92
15 Mar 2012
SVEN100
VAER72
08 Mar 2012
SVEN99
VAER91
01 Feb 2012
SVEN81
VAER63
22 Oct 2011
SVEN75
VAER65
10 Mar 2011
SVEN78
VAER65
27 Nov 2010
SVEN89
VAER79
26 Oct 2010
SVEN70
VAER65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
54avg 77
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
95avg 77
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
78-97
78
97
-19
65avg 77
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 77
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
73avg 77
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 77
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
89avg 77
A21/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 77
H25/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 77
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 77
A05/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
14-19
14-24
17-28
21-19
25-25
22-24
25-16
23-30
13-19
15-24
27-24
27-25
21-23
16-21
16-24
25-28
17-35
17-33
28-28
23-20
28-29
19-17
17-28
22-22
21-7
29-18
21-17
12-14
23-27
21-21
20-12
12-14
18-17
29-13
21-26
25-17
17-23
20-15
25-23
168.7Avg total
82.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.071.5155.5+12.5100%
Season at home (2)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)90.071.0161.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.386.4168.7-4.150%
Last 5 (5)84.676.0160.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.494.2170.6-17.96%
vs Similar (5)83.679.4163.0+4.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)99.980.4180.3+19.4100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
79-103
79
103
-24
72avg 70
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 70
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 70
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 70
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 70
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-105
70
105
-35
54avg 70
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 70
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
65-106
65
106
-41
51avg 70
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 70
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
56avg 70
H03/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-24
13-28
24-28
31-23
17-18
17-14
27-31
23-21
15-11
17-16
23-22
24-27
26-27
23-22
14-27
16-25
23-11
21-20
23-32
21-26
19-18
9-28
21-33
20-25
19-19
29-26
18-33
18-25
20-25
18-27
9-29
25-23
22-14
22-26
22-19
15-16
21-20
15-28
20-22
173.4Avg total
80.2Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.791.3167.0-15.733%
Season at home (2)81.084.0165.0-3.050%
Season away (1)65.0106.0171.0-41.00%
Last 10 (10)80.293.2173.4-13.030%
Last 5 (5)76.696.4173.0-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.294.3173.5-15.014%
vs Similar (3)78.076.3154.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (5)85.677.0162.6+8.6100%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -7.5-7.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -7.5-7.5
SvendborgVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A15/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A22/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/10
Basketligaen
83.2Avg total
40.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.485.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.882.4+0.836%-
Last 30 away (16)42.145.687.8-3.544%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.883.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.947.686.5-8.812%-
vs Similar (5)42.242.684.8-0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.036.283.2+10.878%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H21/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A25/03
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A28/03
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/10
Basketligaen
83.8Avg total
41.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.184.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.687.8-1.431%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.379.7-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.183.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.282.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.545.085.5-4.533%-
vs Similar (3)39.735.074.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (5)44.838.883.6+6.060%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.321.6
48.8%
51.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.4
31.8%
32.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.915.7
63.1%
70.2%15.7
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.4
50.0%
51.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
32.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
70.2%14.1
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WWWWLLLLWL
Vaerlose
LWLLLLLWWL
#2
League position
#10
-5.6
Net rating
-16.7
100.1
Offensive rating
99.9
105.7
Defensive rating
116.6
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.8%
3-point %
30.2%
59.0%
Assist %
65.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 99.9Defence105.7 · 116.6Shooting48.4% · 48.2%3-point %31.8% · 30.2%Ball care20.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds33.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Svendborg   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Svendborg wins
2
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
08/04/24Svendborg v Vaerlose88-83
07/03/24Vaerlose v Svendborg95-98
15/01/24Svendborg v Vaerlose98-76
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
16/02/22Svendborg v Vaerlose97-82
09/01/22Svendborg v Vaerlose108-70
17/01/21Vaerlose v Svendborg79-89
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24ABears Academy87-78
28/09/24HHolbaek-Stenhus80-70
25/09/24HRanders76-74
21/09/24AHerlev Wolfpack93-64
10/05/24AHorsens87-94
29/04/24ABakken Bears87-124
25/04/24HBakken Bears80-93
22/04/24ABakken Bears78-97
15/04/24ARanders93-84
12/04/24HBakken Bears62-86
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack71-86
24/09/24HBears Academy91-82
21/09/24ARanders65-106
15/04/24ABakken Bears86-103
11/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved70-105
08/04/24ASvendborg83-88
04/04/24HRanders87-103
28/03/24AHorsens78-70
25/03/24ATeam FOG Naestved92-86
21/03/24HBakken Bears79-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.078.090.0
Allowed / game71.572.071.0
Point differential+12.5+6.0+19.0
Avg total155.5150.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.781.065.0
Allowed / game91.384.0106.0
Point differential-15.7-3.0-41.0
Avg total167.0165.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg440100%84.071.5+12.5
2 Horsens330100%89.377.0+12.3
3 Team FOG Naestved440100%95.086.8+8.2
4 Bakken Bears54180%88.882.6+6.2
5 Randers52340%92.684.2+8.4
6 Holbaek-Stenhus31233%84.393.7-9.3
7 Vaerlose31233%75.791.3-15.7
8 Amager41325%87.586.2+1.2
9 Herlev Wolfpack41325%78.086.8-8.8
10 Copenhagen3030%83.794.7-11.0
11 Bears Academy4040%76.290.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg2316181976
Vaerlose1120161562
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