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Svendborg vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 100-69
28-16 28-17 23-19 21-17
Position#3
Record16-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game74.9
Svendborg 🏆
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose
Denmark
Position#6
Record10-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game89.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Svendborg
Other2025-26
Meetings · Svendborg v Vaerlose
08 Nov 2026
SVEN86
VAER59
14 Feb 2026
SVEN100
VAER69
10 Oct 2024
SVEN76
VAER62
08 Apr 2024
SVEN88
VAER83
15 Jan 2024
SVEN98
VAER76
29 Dec 2022
SVEN83
VAER75
16 Feb 2022
SVEN97
VAER82
09 Jan 2022
SVEN108
VAER70
03 Oct 2020
SVEN116
VAER72
30 Nov 2019
SVEN82
VAER96
10 Oct 2018
SVEN85
VAER73
26 Feb 2015
SVEN85
VAER77
29 Oct 2014
SVEN78
VAER73
30 Nov 2013
SVEN95
VAER88
14 Mar 2013
SVEN98
VAER88
07 Mar 2013
SVEN86
VAER71
23 Feb 2013
SVEN89
VAER92
15 Mar 2012
SVEN100
VAER72
08 Mar 2012
SVEN99
VAER91
01 Feb 2012
SVEN81
VAER63
22 Oct 2011
SVEN75
VAER65
10 Mar 2011
SVEN78
VAER65
27 Nov 2010
SVEN89
VAER79
26 Oct 2010
SVEN70
VAER65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
100-64
100
64
+36
90avg 85
H23/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
103-69
103
69
+34
103avg 85
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
69-62
69
62
+7
54avg 85
H18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
97-96
97
96
+1
85avg 85
H28/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
101-71
101
71
+30
97avg 85
A04/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
100-101
100
101
-1
102avg 85
A08/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
103-42
103
42
+61
no box
H16/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
90-69
90
69
+21
86avg 85
A30/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
111-61
111
61
+50
113avg 85
H02/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
119-71
119
71
+48
125avg 85
A07/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
28-14
19-13
27-20
25-17
31-16
15-24
32-12
21-8
20-18
9-18
19-18
25-22
25-32
21-26
26-16
26-22
30-16
25-21
20-12
26-27
28-22
18-25
28-27
22-14
21-7
33-8
27-13
24-22
24-14
26-16
16-17
35-14
33-14
13-18
30-15
25-14
25-21
33-24
36-12
169.9Avg total
99.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)96.274.9171.2+21.380%
Season at home (9)94.369.1163.4+25.289%
Season away (11)97.879.6177.5+18.273%
Last 10 (10)99.370.6169.9+28.790%
Last 5 (5)104.668.8173.4+35.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.598.5189.0-8.00%
vs Similar (11)82.086.5168.5-4.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)97.668.2165.9+29.494%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 71
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 71
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 71
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
67-99
67
99
-32
54avg 71
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 71
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 71
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 71
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
74avg 71
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
99avg 71
H04/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
31-22
28-18
19-24
17-21
32-18
26-20
20-28
20-27
15-24
16-21
22-19
18-22
16-27
19-19
14-31
14-29
18-14
14-24
24-20
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
16-22
19-20
21-17
20-16
18-31
19-29
19-28
17-15
23-18
22-34
19-25
16-29
27-19
18-21
25-24
30-29
173.0Avg total
79.5Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.589.6167.1-12.150%
Season at home (11)79.088.8167.8-9.855%
Season away (9)75.790.6166.2-14.944%
Last 10 (10)79.593.5173.0-14.040%
Last 5 (5)79.898.2178.0-18.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.697.0167.6-26.47%
vs Similar (15)86.483.2169.6+3.273%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +9.1+9.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +9.9+9.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +9.1+9.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +9.9+9.9Q4: -3.5-3.5
SvendborgVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H23/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A12/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H18/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H28/12
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A04/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A08/01
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H16/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A30/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
68-28
68
28
+40
H02/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A07/02
Basketligaen
87.1Avg total
52.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.939.086.0+7.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.934.280.1+11.780%-
Last 30 away (15)48.043.991.9+4.153%-
Last 10 (10)52.035.187.1+16.990%-
Last 5 (5)52.633.886.4+18.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.049.096.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (11)43.044.887.8-1.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)49.534.183.6+15.488%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A20/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A12/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H16/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/02
Basketligaen
86.3Avg total
39.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.185.6-6.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.846.387.1-5.550%-
Last 30 away (14)38.045.983.9-7.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.147.286.3-8.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.450.489.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.650.684.1-17.00%-
vs Similar (15)44.742.286.9+2.573%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.326.8
61.9%
54.6%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.7
37.8%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.5
72.3%
70.1%12.5
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.317.8
50.4%
54.6%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.9
34.3%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws27.718.0
65.0%
70.1%18.0
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WWWWLWWWWW
Vaerlose
WLLWLLLLWW
#3
League position
#6
+29.9
Net rating
-12.8
114.2
Offensive rating
89.4
84.3
Defensive rating
102.2
59.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
25.0%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.48
37.8%
3-point %
34.3%
58.4%
Assist %
66.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 89.4Defence84.3 · 102.2Shooting59.8% · 50.9%3-point %37.8% · 34.3%Ball care17.8% · 25.0%Off. rebounds34.5% · 23.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.48Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Svendborg   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Svendborg wins
2
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
09/10/25Vaerlose v Svendborg68-124
05/01/25Vaerlose v Svendborg70-86
10/10/24Svendborg v Vaerlose76-62
08/04/24Svendborg v Vaerlose88-83
07/03/24Vaerlose v Svendborg95-98
15/01/24Svendborg v Vaerlose98-76
22/10/23Vaerlose v Svendborg79-83
29/12/22Svendborg v Vaerlose83-75
14/10/22Vaerlose v Svendborg78-76
04/03/22Vaerlose v Svendborg96-83
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ABears Academy119-71
02/02/26HHerlev Wolfpack111-61
30/01/26ACopenhagen90-69
16/01/26HHolbaek-Stenhus103-42
08/01/26ABakken Bears100-101
04/01/26AHolbaek-Stenhus101-71
28/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved97-96
18/12/25HHorsens69-62
12/12/25AVejen103-69
23/11/25HAmager100-64
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HAmager100-93
29/01/26ARanders80-106
18/01/26HRanders73-103
09/01/26HCopenhagen76-75
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
29/12/25HBakken Bears70-87
16/12/25HTeam FOG Naestved67-99
12/12/25ACopenhagen73-91
22/11/25HBears Academy95-87
20/11/25AAmager91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %80%89%73%
Points / game96.294.397.8
Allowed / game74.969.179.6
Point differential+21.4+25.2+18.2
Avg total171.2163.4177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%56%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game77.579.075.7
Allowed / game89.688.890.6
Point differential-12.1-9.8-14.9
Avg total167.1167.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%9%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2019195%104.574.7+29.9
2 Team FOG Naestved2017385%107.685.7+21.9
3 Svendborg2016480%96.274.9+21.4
4 Randers2116576%94.683.6+11.0
5 Horsens2015575%86.775.8+10.9
6 Copenhagen21111052%87.985.6+2.3
7 Vaerlose20101050%77.589.6-12.1
8 Herlev Wolfpack42250%81.293.5-12.2
9 Bears Academy2161529%81.097.0-16.0
10 BMS Herlev1741324%78.294.1-15.9
11 Holbaek-Stenhus2131814%78.594.7-16.2
12 Amager2021810%79.897.5-17.6
13 Vejen2121910%74.592.2-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg28282321100
Vaerlose1617191769
← all games of the day
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