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Sydney vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 97-104
21-32 27-24 26-29 23-19
Position#4
Record16-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game87.3
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record16-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game96.7
AustraliaNBLRound 19· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sydney v Perth
06 Dec 2026
SYDN v PERT
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
SYDN102
PERT81
11 Mar 2026
SYDN105
PERT104
15 Feb 2026
SYDN102
PERT84
19 Oct 2025
SYDN94
PERT72
02 Feb 2025
SYDN97
PERT104
21 Jan 2024
SYDN98
PERT104
15 Oct 2023
SYDN99
PERT86
07 Jan 2023
SYDN108
PERT87
19 Feb 2022
SYDN98
PERT95
30 Jan 2022
SYDN96
PERT81
08 Apr 2021
SYDN69
PERT73
28 Mar 2021
SYDN65
PERT89
23 Feb 2021
SYDN106
PERT113
15 Mar 2020
SYDN96
PERT111
08 Mar 2020
SYDN86
PERT88
28 Dec 2019
SYDN85
PERT98
10 Nov 2019
SYDN104
PERT85
27 Jan 2019
SYDN68
PERT88
06 Dec 2018
SYDN77
PERT72
21 Jan 2018
SYDN84
PERT56
06 Jan 2018
SYDN68
PERT76
07 Jan 2017
SYDN74
PERT80
19 Nov 2016
SYDN83
PERT72
10 Feb 2016
SYDN103
PERT77
13 Dec 2015
SYDN69
PERT87
18 Dec 2014
SYDN78
PERT74
16 Nov 2014
SYDN66
PERT85
02 Mar 2014
SYDN81
PERT85
27 Oct 2013
SYDN72
PERT82
24 Feb 2013
SYDN71
PERT97
30 Dec 2012
SYDN61
PERT95
20 Jan 2012
SYDN75
PERT76
11 Feb 2011
SYDN84
PERT98
29 Dec 2010
SYDN78
PERT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 83
A20/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
108-111
108
111
-3
100avg 83
H25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-111
96
111
-15
80avg 83
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
110-101
110
101
+9
106avg 83
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-86
91
86
+5
88avg 83
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
78avg 83
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
80avg 83
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-77
88
77
+11
73avg 83
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
103avg 83
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 83
H24/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
29-32
23-18
25-15
31-23
27-35
23-30
27-23
12-32
31-30
25-28
28-21
28-30
19-30
25-25
38-16
28-29
17-19
24-23
22-15
16-32
25-25
23-13
24-20
17-19
22-19
25-24
27-25
16-15
22-19
18-21
32-22
26-22
36-23
17-23
24-24
23-34
32-18
18-26
23-27
190.7Avg total
96.3Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)91.087.3178.4+3.759%
Season at home (13)93.088.8181.8+4.254%
Season away (14)89.286.0175.2+3.264%
Last 10 (10)96.394.4190.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)93.290.2183.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.097.7189.7-5.70%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.990.3180.2-0.440%
vs Weaker (17)92.783.4176.1+9.376%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
128-92
128
92
+36
122avg 88
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 88
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
116-92
116
92
+24
116avg 88
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
83avg 88
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-73
105
73
+32
106avg 88
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
98avg 88
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
110-103
110
103
+7
101avg 88
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
75avg 88
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
90avg 88
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
101avg 88
H31/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
32-29
39-18
35-17
28-37
20-26
15-26
25-31
26-26
29-16
23-21
38-29
30-24
25-20
19-28
22-14
29-22
35-20
28-18
13-13
27-27
38-15
20-24
27-19
22-24
30-17
24-32
34-30
23-21
20-25
25-25
25-28
18-22
29-34
35-17
18-27
27-26
22-23
17-28
34-22
203.8Avg total
106.4Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)99.596.7196.2+2.959%
Season at home (14)101.199.0200.1+2.164%
Season away (13)97.894.2191.9+3.654%
Last 10 (10)106.497.4203.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)106.2102.2208.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.894.8184.7-5.042%
vs Weaker (15)104.393.9198.2+10.373%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +4.1+4.1
SydneyPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H25/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H02/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A04/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H09/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H12/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/01
NBL
97.7Avg total
47.2Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.646.291.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.347.893.1-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)45.944.790.6+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)47.250.597.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.045.292.2+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.750.096.7-3.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.448.794.1-3.340%-
vs Weaker (17)45.644.189.7+1.553%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/01
NBL
101.4Avg total
53.2Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.848.199.0+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.448.999.4+1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)51.347.298.5+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)53.248.2101.4+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)51.246.898.0+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.948.896.7-0.842%-
vs Weaker (15)52.545.998.3+6.660%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.3
52.1%
52.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
35.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws27.120.9
77.1%
74.7%20.9
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.7
54.5%
52.3%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.0
37.4%
35.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.319.8
78.3%
74.7%19.8
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWWWLWWLLW
Perth
WLLWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#3
+3.1
Net rating
+9.9
117.4
Offensive rating
124.5
114.4
Defensive rating
114.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.2%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
11.8%
Turnover %
11.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.1%
3-point %
37.4%
52.6%
Assist %
54.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 124.5Defence114.4 · 114.6Shooting52.3% · 55.2%3-point %35.1% · 37.4%Ball care11.8% · 11.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 32.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Sydney   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sydney wins
5
Perth wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24Perth v Sydney87-84
27/09/24Perth v Sydney87-88
21/01/24Sydney v Perth98-104
01/12/23Perth v Sydney114-105
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
26/03/22Perth v Sydney80-102
19/02/22Sydney v Perth98-95
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HAdelaide96-105
22/01/25ASouth East Melbourne103-92
19/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers88-77
12/01/25HCairns Taipans91-87
09/01/25HMelbourne United88-90
04/01/25ABrisbane Bullets91-86
02/01/25HSouth East Melbourne110-101
30/12/24HAdelaide96-111
25/12/24HIllawarra Hawks108-111
20/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers92-84
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25HSouth East Melbourne100-99
25/01/25HCairns Taipans116-125 OT
22/01/25HMelbourne United93-99
17/01/25HAdelaide110-103
15/01/25ABrisbane Bullets112-85
12/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-73
05/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers96-86
28/12/24AAdelaide116-92
22/12/24AIllawarra Hawks88-120
14/12/24ACairns Taipans128-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%54%64%
Points / game91.093.089.2
Allowed / game87.388.886.0
Point differential+3.7+4.2+3.2
Avg total178.4181.8175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)40% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%64%54%
Points / game99.5101.197.8
Allowed / game96.799.094.2
Point differential+2.9+2.1+3.6
Avg total196.2200.1191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%21%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2718967%101.992.1+9.7
2 Melbourne United28181064%95.391.4+3.9
3 Sydney27161159%91.087.3+3.7
4 Perth27161159%99.596.7+2.9
5 South East Melbourne27151256%95.990.9+5.0
6 Adelaide27131448%93.895.5-1.7
7 Tasmania JackJumpers28121643%83.888.2-4.5
8 Brisbane Bullets28121643%92.597.8-5.3
9 New Zealand Breakers28101836%85.891.2-5.4
10 Cairns Taipans2772026%88.196.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2127262397
Perth32242919104
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