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Sydney vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 98-104
20-34 37-24 21-22 20-24
Position#7
Record11-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game93.2
Sydney
Australia
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game90.9
AustraliaNBLRound 16· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v Perth
06 Dec 2026
SYDN v PERT
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
SYDN102
PERT81
11 Mar 2026
SYDN105
PERT104
15 Feb 2026
SYDN102
PERT84
19 Oct 2025
SYDN94
PERT72
02 Feb 2025
SYDN97
PERT104
21 Jan 2024
SYDN98
PERT104
15 Oct 2023
SYDN99
PERT86
07 Jan 2023
SYDN108
PERT87
19 Feb 2022
SYDN98
PERT95
30 Jan 2022
SYDN96
PERT81
08 Apr 2021
SYDN69
PERT73
28 Mar 2021
SYDN65
PERT89
23 Feb 2021
SYDN106
PERT113
15 Mar 2020
SYDN96
PERT111
08 Mar 2020
SYDN86
PERT88
28 Dec 2019
SYDN85
PERT98
10 Nov 2019
SYDN104
PERT85
27 Jan 2019
SYDN68
PERT88
06 Dec 2018
SYDN77
PERT72
21 Jan 2018
SYDN84
PERT56
06 Jan 2018
SYDN68
PERT76
07 Jan 2017
SYDN74
PERT80
19 Nov 2016
SYDN83
PERT72
10 Feb 2016
SYDN103
PERT77
13 Dec 2015
SYDN69
PERT87
18 Dec 2014
SYDN78
PERT74
16 Nov 2014
SYDN66
PERT85
02 Mar 2014
SYDN81
PERT85
27 Oct 2013
SYDN72
PERT82
24 Feb 2013
SYDN71
PERT97
30 Dec 2012
SYDN61
PERT95
20 Jan 2012
SYDN75
PERT76
11 Feb 2011
SYDN84
PERT98
29 Dec 2010
SYDN78
PERT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
89avg 89
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
94-104
94
104
-10
83avg 89
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 89
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
101-109
101
109
-8
97avg 89
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
90-94
90
94
-4
86avg 89
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
101-82
101
82
+19
93avg 89
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
81avg 89
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
93-101
93
101
-8
84avg 89
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
82-95
82
95
-13
64avg 89
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 89
H14/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-15
15-22
23-21
15-25
30-32
19-26
22-24
23-22
21-24
18-9
18-19
33-30
17-29
36-24
15-33
33-23
29-17
19-29
25-31
17-17
27-24
27-21
15-12
32-25
23-18
17-20
19-35
26-28
24-23
15-29
28-28
26-21
19-20
8-22
27-28
28-25
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
185.4Avg total
92.7Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)94.793.2187.9+1.550%
Season at home (11)96.593.5190.1+3.055%
Season away (11)92.892.8185.6+0.045%
Last 10 (10)92.792.7185.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)93.291.0184.2+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)90.488.2178.6+2.250%
vs Weaker (12)93.291.1184.2+2.158%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 83
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
114-105
114
105
+9
107avg 83
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 83
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-88
89
88
+1
76avg 83
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
no box
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 83
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
100-82
100
82
+18
92avg 83
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
108-102
108
102
+6
101avg 83
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
100-79
100
79
+21
83avg 83
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
118-86
118
86
+32
119avg 83
H19/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
18-17
18-20
29-23
23-26
27-31
33-26
31-22
18-38
25-20
22-15
17-27
23-26
17-22
28-23
21-17
26-21
24-21
21-21
21-29
26-17
28-26
22-24
29-35
34-29
20-19
28-9
18-25
24-35
29-23
34-19
21-25
28-19
28-20
14-22
30-18
31-13
26-25
28-23
33-25
192.7Avg total
99.8Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)94.690.9185.5+3.867%
Season at home (11)95.085.8180.8+9.282%
Season away (10)94.296.4190.6-2.250%
Last 10 (10)99.892.9192.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)106.290.2196.4+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.594.0197.5+9.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)94.596.4190.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (12)94.486.4180.8+8.075%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
SydneyPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H10/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A17/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A22/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H29/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A11/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
89.8Avg total
46.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.144.991.1+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.846.994.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)44.342.787.0+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)46.043.889.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.286.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)46.042.888.8+3.261%-
vs Weaker (12)46.348.294.5-1.842%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A08/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H15/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A23/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A26/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A07/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H19/01
NBL
95.3Avg total
48.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.646.193.7+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.843.591.3+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)47.349.196.4-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)48.946.495.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.845.2100.0+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.042.089.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)47.849.997.6-2.125%-
vs Weaker (12)47.441.889.2+5.775%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.4
56.1%
50.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.6
31.4%
33.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.518.5
78.7%
73.8%18.5
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.124.6
53.4%
50.9%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws29.323.4
79.9%
73.8%23.4
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WLLLWLLWLW
Perth
WWWWWLWLWW
#7
League position
#3
+0.7
Net rating
+10.2
112.0
Offensive rating
117.5
111.3
Defensive rating
107.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.0%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.4%
3-point %
33.2%
56.2%
Assist %
50.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 117.5Defence111.3 · 107.2Shooting52.2% · 52.1%3-point %31.4% · 33.2%Ball care17.2% · 14.0%Off. rebounds31.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Sydney   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sydney wins
5
Perth wins
DateGameScore
01/12/23Perth v Sydney114-105
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
26/03/22Perth v Sydney80-102
19/02/22Sydney v Perth98-95
30/01/22Sydney v Perth96-81
27/05/21Perth v Sydney81-67
08/04/21Sydney v Perth69-73
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
11/01/24AAdelaide82-95
07/01/24HBrisbane Bullets93-101
04/01/24HMelbourne United85-101
29/12/23HCairns Taipans101-82
25/12/23HIllawarra Hawks90-94
22/12/23ANew Zealand Breakers101-109
17/12/23ATasmania JackJumpers90-82
10/12/23HSouth East Melbourne94-104
07/12/23ACairns Taipans86-83
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HBrisbane Bullets118-86
13/01/24HSouth East Melbourne100-79
07/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers108-102
28/12/23AAdelaide100-82
26/12/23ACairns Taipans105-102
23/12/23AMelbourne United103-109 OT
15/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers89-88
08/12/23AIllawarra Hawks82-100
01/12/23HSydney114-105
18/11/23ABrisbane Bullets79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWLLW55%
AwayLWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game94.796.592.8
Allowed / game93.293.592.8
Point differential+1.5+3.0+0.0
Avg total187.9190.1185.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game94.695.094.2
Allowed / game90.985.896.4
Point differential+3.8+9.2-2.2
Avg total185.5180.8190.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2216673%93.887.8+6.0
2 Perth2114767%94.690.9+3.8
3 Tasmania JackJumpers23121152%91.085.8+5.2
4 Sydney22111150%94.793.2+1.5
5 Cairns Taipans23111248%90.491.3-0.9
6 Brisbane Bullets23111248%87.690.5-2.9
7 New Zealand Breakers2191243%89.989.7+0.2
8 Illawarra Hawks2191243%89.991.1-1.2
9 Adelaide2391439%88.692.7-4.1
10 South East Melbourne2391439%87.594.6-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2037212098
Perth34242224104
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