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Sydney vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 94-72
15-22 35-23 24-21 20-6
Position#1
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game84.8
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.8
AustraliaNBLRound 5· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sydney v Perth
06 Dec 2026
SYDN v PERT
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
SYDN102
PERT81
11 Mar 2026
SYDN105
PERT104
15 Feb 2026
SYDN102
PERT84
19 Oct 2025
SYDN94
PERT72
02 Feb 2025
SYDN97
PERT104
21 Jan 2024
SYDN98
PERT104
15 Oct 2023
SYDN99
PERT86
07 Jan 2023
SYDN108
PERT87
19 Feb 2022
SYDN98
PERT95
30 Jan 2022
SYDN96
PERT81
08 Apr 2021
SYDN69
PERT73
28 Mar 2021
SYDN65
PERT89
23 Feb 2021
SYDN106
PERT113
15 Mar 2020
SYDN96
PERT111
08 Mar 2020
SYDN86
PERT88
28 Dec 2019
SYDN85
PERT98
10 Nov 2019
SYDN104
PERT85
27 Jan 2019
SYDN68
PERT88
06 Dec 2018
SYDN77
PERT72
21 Jan 2018
SYDN84
PERT56
06 Jan 2018
SYDN68
PERT76
07 Jan 2017
SYDN74
PERT80
19 Nov 2016
SYDN83
PERT72
10 Feb 2016
SYDN103
PERT77
13 Dec 2015
SYDN69
PERT87
18 Dec 2014
SYDN78
PERT74
16 Nov 2014
SYDN66
PERT85
02 Mar 2014
SYDN81
PERT85
27 Oct 2013
SYDN72
PERT82
24 Feb 2013
SYDN71
PERT97
30 Dec 2012
SYDN61
PERT95
20 Jan 2012
SYDN75
PERT76
11 Feb 2011
SYDN84
PERT98
29 Dec 2010
SYDN78
PERT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
103-92
103
92
+11
103avg 81
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
82avg 81
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-104
97
104
-7
97avg 81
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 81
A07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
88-95
88
95
-7
82avg 81
H13/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
55avg 81
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
97-75
97
75
+22
88avg 81
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
93-107
93
107
-14
77avg 81
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 81
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 81
A15/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
36-23
17-23
24-24
23-34
32-18
18-26
23-27
21-32
27-24
26-29
23-19
24-29
15-21
22-15
14-30
22-23
19-28
30-18
17-26
18-22
27-18
13-21
16-16
22-15
17-19
31-18
27-23
25-29
27-21
19-31
22-26
29-19
25-22
25-23
24-15
19-29
13-21
18-19
20-17
181.1Avg total
89.6Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.484.8172.2+2.640%
Season at home (3)88.086.3174.3+1.733%
Season away (2)86.582.5169.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)89.691.5181.1-1.930%
Last 5 (5)87.484.8172.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.397.3184.7-10.00%
vs Similar (8)92.191.4183.5+0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.884.5174.3+5.463%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
112-104
112
104
+8
108avg 93
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
122-105
122
105
+17
124avg 93
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-105
93
105
-12
77avg 93
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 93
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
112-113
112
113
-1
105avg 93
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-84
92
84
+8
86avg 93
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 93
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
93-110
93
110
-17
82avg 93
H15/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
29-29
32-22
31-26
29-28
33-39
34-23
26-15
17-23
33-26
21-32
22-24
21-36
20-19
22-19
33-15
37-26
25-32
22-29
28-26
21-13
14-20
14-21
23-21
25-17
19-25
18-17
27-19
10-20
34-23
23-13
25-28
23-23
18-20
20-17
19-17
21-26
27-30
23-24
22-30
190.1Avg total
96.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.284.8170.0+0.460%
Season at home (3)85.789.7175.3-4.033%
Season away (2)84.577.5162.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.194.0190.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)85.284.8170.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)99.5120.5220.0-21.00%
vs Similar (10)99.099.7198.7-0.750%
vs Weaker (18)102.793.2195.8+9.578%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
SydneyPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H13/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H08/10
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A15/10
NBL
93.6Avg total
46.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.647.091.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.047.292.2-2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)44.146.890.8-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.993.6-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.050.794.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (8)45.850.896.5-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.244.989.1-0.753%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H15/10
NBL
97.8Avg total
47.6Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.949.7101.6+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.750.0100.7+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)53.149.5102.5+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)47.650.297.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)50.559.0109.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (10)53.052.5105.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (18)51.447.298.6+4.256%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.724.1
62.3%
54.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.515.7
73.0%
74.8%15.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 100.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.925.3
57.6%
54.6%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.320.6
81.4%
74.8%20.6
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
LWLWLLLLLW
Perth
LWWWLLWLWW
#1
League position
#5
-3.1
Net rating
+3.6
118.7
Offensive rating
124.5
121.8
Defensive rating
120.9
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.3%
3-point %
35.4%
53.4%
Assist %
52.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 124.5Defence121.8 · 120.9Shooting56.1% · 55.9%3-point %31.3% · 35.4%Ball care13.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds26.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sydney   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sydney wins
6
Perth wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Sydney v Perth97-104
25/10/24Perth v Sydney87-84
27/09/24Perth v Sydney87-88
21/01/24Sydney v Perth98-104
01/12/23Perth v Sydney114-105
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
26/03/22Perth v Sydney80-102
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers70-86
11/10/25AAdelaide103-79
08/10/25HMelbourne United93-107
04/10/25HNew Zealand Breakers97-75
28/09/25HCairns Taipans74-77
13/02/25HAdelaide88-95
07/02/25AIllawarra Hawks75-95
02/02/25HPerth97-104
24/01/25HAdelaide96-105
22/01/25ASouth East Melbourne103-92
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25HBrisbane Bullets93-110
10/10/25ACairns Taipans80-77
02/10/25HIllawarra Hawks92-84
27/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers89-78
20/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers72-75
04/03/25AMelbourne United112-113
01/03/25HMelbourne United96-89
27/02/25AMelbourne United93-105
11/02/25HSouth East Melbourne122-105
07/02/25HAdelaide112-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game87.488.086.5
Allowed / game84.886.382.5
Point differential+2.6+1.7+4.0
Avg total172.2174.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game85.285.784.5
Allowed / game84.889.777.5
Point differential+0.4-4.0+7.0
Avg total170.0175.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United770100%100.982.3+18.6
2 Adelaide65183%92.284.7+7.5
3 South East Melbourne53260%94.285.0+9.2
4 Perth53260%85.284.8+0.4
5 Tasmania JackJumpers74357%82.082.6-0.6
6 Sydney52340%87.484.8+2.6
7 Brisbane Bullets72529%90.493.3-2.9
8 Cairns Taipans72529%77.092.3-15.3
9 New Zealand Breakers82625%87.293.5-6.2
10 Illawarra Hawks51420%90.0101.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney1535242094
Perth222321672
← all games of the day
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