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Syracuse vs Mercyhurst Lakers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#148
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#317
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Syracuse v Mercyhurst Lakers
12 Dec 2026
SYRA v MERC
upcoming
17 Dec 2025
SYRA76
MERC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syracuse win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
69-71 OT
69
71
-2
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
102-49
102
49
+53
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-39
44-39
24-40
40-61
28-33
36-44
46-42
37-46
21-39
41-38
31-28
34-37
38-39
31-47
39-17
35-41
47-23
55-26
38-34
42-49
151.4Avg total
74.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.363.3148.7+22.067%
Season at home (2)88.053.5141.5+34.5100%
Season away (1)80.083.0163.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)74.676.8151.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)78.869.4148.2+9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.779.4146.1-12.614%
vs Similar (11)81.874.6156.5+7.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)84.468.6153.0+15.880%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#146
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
89-50
89
50
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-38
30-34
48-46
30-30
32-32
35-28
35-33
23-19
33-32
40-42
30-37
14-36
29-42
23-38
33-45
44-25
45-25
29-33
28-39
139.4Avg total
68.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.270.8132.0-9.525%
Season at home (1)89.050.0139.0+39.0100%
Season away (3)52.077.7129.7-25.70%
Last 10 (10)68.570.9139.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)63.072.4135.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.077.7129.7-25.70%
vs Similar (16)67.867.6135.4+0.250%
vs Weaker (10)74.968.6143.5+6.360%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -1.0-1.0
SyracuseMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A17/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A04/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/03
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#291
W
39-17
39
17
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#247
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Indiana
#49
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A09/11
NCAA
68.1Avg total
34.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.569.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.867.3+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)35.037.272.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.468.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.266.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.637.168.7-5.614%-
vs Similar (11)39.132.571.5+6.691%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.825.866.6+15.0100%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#146
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A12/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
31.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.163.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.663.8+8.579%-
Last 30 away (16)28.934.162.9-5.219%-
Last 10 (10)31.333.064.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.864.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)22.035.757.7-13.70%-
vs Similar (16)30.631.662.2-1.138%-
vs Weaker (10)36.929.466.3+7.570%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Syracuse wins
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Syracuse v Mercyhurst Lakers76-62
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AIndiana80-83
06/11/26HCentral Connecticut State102-49
03/11/26HNew Haven Chargers74-58
10/03/26ASMU Mustangs69-86
07/03/26HPittsburgh69-71 OT
04/03/26ALouisville62-77
28/02/26AWake Forest83-88
21/02/26HNorth Carolina64-77
17/02/26ADuke64-101
14/02/26HSMU Mustangs79-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26APenn State57-72
07/11/26HPenn State-Shenango89-50
06/11/26ANotre Dame56-83
03/11/26AMarquette43-78
10/03/26ALIU Sharks70-79
07/03/26HStonehill56-51
05/03/26HFairleigh Dickinson70-61
28/02/26AStonehill75-72 OT
27/02/26ACentral Connecticut State78-80
21/02/26HLIU Sharks91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Syracuse
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.388.080.0
Allowed / game63.353.583.0
Point differential+22.0+34.5-3.0
Avg total148.7141.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game61.289.052.0
Allowed / game70.850.077.7
Point differential-9.5+39.0-25.7
Avg total132.0139.0129.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
2 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
3 Boston College330100%76.353.0+23.3
4 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
5 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
6 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
7 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
8 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
9 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
10 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
11 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
12 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
13 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
14 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
15 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
16 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
17 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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