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Szczecin vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 77-86
19-19 17-21 16-22 25-24
Position#38
Record1-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#33
Record2-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Netto Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szczecin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SzczecinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSzczecin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
92-90
92
90
+2
90avg 79
H20/09
Super Cup
Lancut
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
87avg 79
H24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
101-103
101
103
-2
11avg 79
A01/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
112-86
112
86
+26
118avg 79
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
83-60
83
60
+23
80avg 79
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Sassari
#37
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 79
H17/10
Champions League
Gdynia
#14
W
103-84
103
84
+19
98avg 79
A20/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 79
A24/10
Champions League
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 79
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
18-22
29-28
21-20
21-25
25-24
21-20
18-10
25-23
21-22
27-37
28-21
28-16
35-25
27-13
22-32
20-16
24-18
22-13
17-13
28-22
30-21
27-17
8-25
21-23
20-19
26-17
36-25
27-23
20-22
20-14
11-23
13-16
24-16
25-18
18-30
23-25
17-15
22-27
19-18
176.7Avg total
92.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)93.085.0178.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)92.084.7176.7+7.360%
Last 5 (5)89.485.8175.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
vs Similar (19)83.179.5162.6+3.663%
vs Weaker (8)91.682.1173.8+9.575%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
51-91
51
91
-40
39avg 73
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
73-87
73
87
-14
61avg 73
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
99-113 OT
99
113
-14
no box
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 73
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
66avg 73
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 73
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
100-70
100
70
+30
104avg 73
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 73
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 73
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
103-88
103
88
+15
104avg 73
H04/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-18
15-25
14-16
15-32
20-27
21-24
22-13
10-23
27-18
14-36
27-21
19-12
26-28
13-24
25-24
29-22
12-16
21-20
21-23
17-20
24-25
20-18
17-18
23-18
31-16
17-25
26-18
26-11
20-33
12-13
26-15
25-18
15-22
9-9
20-21
20-23
34-26
25-15
27-20
17-27
168.0Avg total
82.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.579.0162.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.185.9168.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)86.878.2165.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.282.1156.2-7.933%
vs Similar (12)78.677.4156.0+1.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.380.3167.7+7.067%
This opponent (Szczecin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
SzczecinAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SzczecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/09
Super Cup
Lancut
#16
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A01/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H07/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Sassari
#37
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H17/10
Champions League
Gdynia
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/10
Champions League
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
87.7Avg total
46.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.479.8+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.538.682.1+4.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.038.177.1+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)46.441.387.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.485.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.543.585.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.036.876.8+3.263%-
vs Weaker (8)44.640.485.0+4.238%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A19/04
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H27/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H17/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/11
Basket League
82.1Avg total
38.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.478.7-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.583.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)35.039.374.3-4.313%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.882.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.481.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.040.976.9-4.917%-
vs Similar (12)39.939.879.8+0.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.840.380.2-0.550%-
This opponent (Szczecin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Szczecintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Szczecin: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.9
54.4%
51.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.8
41.0%
34.9%32.2
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.7%
74.5%16.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.3
54.3%
51.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.016.2
70.4%
74.5%16.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Szczecin
LLLWWWWLWW
AEK Athens
WLWWWLLLLL
#38
League position
#33
+13.1
Net rating
-0.8
118.4
Offensive rating
108.7
105.3
Defensive rating
109.5
57.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
41.0%
3-point %
33.9%
63.2%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 108.7Defence105.3 · 109.5Shooting57.3% · 53.0%3-point %41.0% · 33.9%Ball care18.1% · 19.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Szczecin   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Szczecin wins
0
AEK Athens wins
No previous meetings.
Szczecinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HLublin81-85
28/10/23HAnwil Wloclawek92-93 OT
24/10/23ALudwigsburg78-82
20/10/23AGdynia103-84
17/10/23HSassari93-85
15/10/23ASlask Wroclaw83-60
07/10/23HGTK Gliwice112-86
01/10/23ADabrowa Gornicza101-103
24/09/23HLancut85-79
20/09/23HTrefl Sopot92-90
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HAS Karditsas103-88
29/10/23AAris64-75
25/10/23ASassari83-79
21/10/23HApollon Patras100-70
17/10/23HLudwigsburg84-79
15/10/23AOlympiacos71-79
07/10/23HLavrio93-98
27/04/23HPeristeri99-113 OT
23/04/23APeristeri73-87
19/04/23AHapoel Jerusalem51-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Szczecin
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.593.078.0
Allowed / game83.585.082.0
Point differential+2.0+8.0-4.0
Avg total169.0178.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.584.083.0
Allowed / game79.079.079.0
Point differential+4.5+5.0+4.0
Avg total162.5163.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica440100%96.566.5+30.0
2 Promitheas220100%96.571.0+25.5
3 Dijon220100%95.575.0+20.5
4 Breogan110100%68.048.0+20.0
5 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
6 Karsiyaka220100%89.580.0+9.5
7 Tortona220100%83.077.0+6.0
8 Strasbourg550100%82.076.2+5.8
9 AEK Athens220100%83.579.0+4.5
10 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%99.096.0+3.0
11 Hapoel Holon110100%75.074.0+1.0
12 Cholet65183%82.079.5+2.5
13 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
16 Darussafaka32167%84.083.3+0.7
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Murcia21150%73.062.5+10.5
19 Bonn21150%82.574.0+8.5
20 Tenerife21150%89.581.5+8.0
21 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
22 Szczecin21150%85.583.5+2.0
23 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Tofas21150%92.095.0-3.0
27 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
28 PAOK21150%80.085.5-5.5
29 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
30 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
31 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
32 Szombathely31233%76.379.0-2.7
33 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
34 Peristeri31233%73.082.3-9.3
35 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
36 Oldenburg2020%83.085.0-2.0
37 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
38 Rytas2020%79.582.5-3.0
39 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
40 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
41 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
42 VEF Riga2020%74.079.0-5.0
43 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
44 Galatasaray2020%86.593.5-7.0
45 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
46 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
47 Igokea2020%74.588.0-13.5
48 Oostende2020%72.587.5-15.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava2020%66.5109.5-43.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Szczecin1917162577
AEK Athens1921222486
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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