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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 104-103 (OT)
30-22 11-31 24-21 30-21 9-8
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game84.6
Tasmania JackJumpers 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide
Australia
Position#6
Record9-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game96.8
AustraliaNBLRound 16· MyState Bank Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide
16 Jan 2027
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
TASM88
ADEL94
13 Nov 2025
TASM86
ADEL97
10 Jan 2025
TASM104
ADEL103
04 Feb 2024
TASM109
ADEL86
02 Dec 2023
TASM94
ADEL59
12 Jan 2023
TASM98
ADEL82
28 Jan 2022
TASM76
ADEL71
09 Dec 2021
TASM80
ADEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJackJumpers
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
83-64
83
64
+19
71avg 78
H09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
95-92
95
92
+3
89avg 78
H15/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 78
A30/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-90
99
90
+9
95avg 78
H05/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
100avg 78
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
97-91
97
91
+6
86avg 78
A23/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-82
97
82
+15
88avg 78
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
95-86
95
86
+9
86avg 78
H29/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
91-105
91
105
-14
84avg 78
H05/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 78
A07/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
25-14
19-3
19-20
20-31
23-15
25-14
27-32
29-23
14-19
17-11
17-20
31-30
21-24
23-19
24-17
29-19
30-23
19-21
22-13
36-26
15-21
17-20
29-24
20-18
22-21
22-19
33-24
22-21
30-23
18-14
25-28
16-26
33-30
23-28
19-21
18-20
18-29
22-14
26-26
176.6Avg total
91.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.184.6168.7-0.552%
Season at home (10)87.382.9170.2+4.470%
Season away (11)81.286.2167.4-5.036%
Last 10 (10)91.884.8176.6+7.080%
Last 5 (5)92.890.6183.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.288.0168.2-7.827%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.183.4171.4+4.775%
vs Weaker (3)78.370.0148.3+8.367%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-113
93
113
-20
84avg 83
A17/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
56avg 83
H30/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
83-102
83
102
-19
69avg 83
A06/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-115
105
115
-10
98avg 83
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
111-94
111
94
+17
108avg 83
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-106
86
106
-20
74avg 83
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
90-111
90
111
-21
76avg 83
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-116
92
116
-24
74avg 83
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-96
111
96
+15
106avg 83
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
100-81
100
81
+19
92avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
24-30
27-26
20-28
23-29
19-14
11-17
20-17
24-34
23-19
17-22
19-27
32-29
28-25
22-25
23-36
22-22
36-27
20-27
33-18
22-26
16-30
33-27
15-23
23-24
25-27
22-27
20-33
26-26
16-29
21-23
29-38
32-12
30-31
28-25
21-28
27-17
28-25
22-20
23-19
195.5Avg total
94.4Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)92.596.8189.2-4.345%
Season at home (12)93.091.9184.9+1.158%
Season away (8)91.6104.1195.8-12.525%
Last 10 (10)94.4101.1195.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)95.8102.0197.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)92.994.8187.6-1.959%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.593.9182.4-5.440%
vs Weaker (3)102.093.0195.0+9.067%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -4.4-4.4
Tasmania JackJumpersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A30/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H05/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A12/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A23/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H29/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H05/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/01
NBL
93.2Avg total
47.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.385.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.840.583.3+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)42.843.886.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)47.246.093.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.093.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.143.585.6-1.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.643.287.8+1.450%-
vs Weaker (3)36.033.369.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A17/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A06/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/01
NBL
100.3Avg total
49.8Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.947.195.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.643.590.1+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)49.651.8101.5-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)49.850.5100.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)49.049.498.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)47.846.394.1+1.553%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.046.992.9-0.940%-
vs Weaker (3)55.052.3107.3+2.733%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.6
53.0%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.112.1
38.9%
35.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.413.9
71.6%
74.7%13.9
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.6
52.4%
52.3%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.1
36.1%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.519.3
75.7%
74.7%19.3
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tasmania JackJumpers
LLWWWWWWWW
Adelaide
WWLLLWLLLL
#7
League position
#6
+9.8
Net rating
-7.7
117.6
Offensive rating
114.5
107.8
Defensive rating
122.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.0%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.9%
3-point %
36.1%
63.3%
Assist %
51.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 114.5Defence107.8 · 122.2Shooting55.4% · 53.1%3-point %38.9% · 36.1%Ball care14.9% · 12.0%Off. rebounds30.6% · 23.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Tasmania JackJumpers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
2
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers73-77
20/10/24Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers77-73
04/02/24Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide109-86
02/12/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide94-59
11/11/23Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-82
12/01/23Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide98-82
19/12/22Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers93-82
13/10/22Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-97
01/04/22Adelaide v Tasmania JackJumpers72-80
28/01/22Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide76-71
Tasmania JackJumperslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25AIllawarra Hawks84-89
05/01/25HSouth East Melbourne91-105
29/12/24HBrisbane Bullets95-86
25/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers97-82
23/12/24AMelbourne United97-91
12/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers100-76
05/12/24HCairns Taipans99-90
30/11/24AAdelaide77-73
15/11/24HBrisbane Bullets95-92
09/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers83-64
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HMelbourne United100-81
30/12/24ASydney111-96
28/12/24HPerth92-116
24/12/24HBrisbane Bullets90-111
21/12/24ASouth East Melbourne86-106
14/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers111-94
08/12/24HPerth105-115
06/12/24ABrisbane Bullets83-102
30/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers73-77
17/11/24AMelbourne United93-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLWWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%70%36%
Points / game84.187.381.2
Allowed / game84.682.986.2
Point differential-0.5+4.4-5.0
Avg total168.7170.2167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeLWLLW58%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %45%58%25%
Points / game92.593.091.6
Allowed / game96.891.9104.1
Point differential-4.3+1.1-12.5
Avg total189.2184.9195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2114767%101.092.2+8.7
2 Melbourne United2314961%94.590.4+4.1
3 Perth2112957%97.796.5+1.2
4 Sydney23131057%90.486.8+3.6
5 South East Melbourne21111052%93.490.2+3.2
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21111052%84.184.6-0.5
7 Brisbane Bullets21101148%94.295.1-0.9
8 Adelaide2091145%92.596.8-4.3
9 New Zealand Breakers2181338%84.690.4-5.9
10 Cairns Taipans2041620%84.395.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Tasmania JackJumpers301124309104
Adelaide223121218103
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