Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	89.9	95.1	185.1	-5.2	43%
Season at home (8)	90.4	87.6	178.0	+2.8	62%
Season away (6)	89.3	105.2	194.5	-15.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	94.6	181.9	-7.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	97.2	186.6	-7.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	89.2	94.6	183.8	-5.4	50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	87.6	93.5	181.2	-5.9	36%
vs Weaker (3)	102.0	93.0	195.0	+9.0	67%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBreakers

Date

Competition

Sydney

93-89

91avg 79

A27/10

NBL

Adelaide

109-82

109

+27

110avg 79

H02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

113-79

113

+34

121avg 79

A04/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

64-83

-19

54avg 79

A09/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

77-69

63avg 79

A16/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

71-109

109

-38

56avg 79

A28/11

NBL

Perth

112-123

112

123

-11

103avg 79

A01/12

NBL

Melbourne United

70-97

-27

59avg 79

H05/12

NBL

Sydney

83-98

-15

74avg 79

H07/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

76-100

100

-24

62avg 79

H12/12

NBL

18-25

31-20

23-24

21-20

33-19

19-20

34-19

23-24

25-13

30-18

29-21

29-27

27-20

14-25

3-19

20-19

28-23

24-19

11-17

14-10

12-32

17-20

27-20

15-37

24-42

24-27

37-24

27-30

24-28

19-18

7-24

20-27

14-25

26-27

15-25

28-21

19-29

23-30

21-19

13-22

179.7Avg total

86.8Scored

92.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	84.3	90.1	174.4	-5.9	47%
Season at home (8)	82.6	89.5	172.1	-6.9	50%
Season away (7)	86.1	90.9	177.0	-4.7	43%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	92.9	179.7	-6.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	105.4	187.8	-23.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	86.8	92.6	179.4	-5.8	46%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	85.5	86.1	171.6	-0.7	53%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	75.5	163.5	+12.5	50%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	25.2	48.9	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	24.1	48.1	+0.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	26.4	49.8	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	27.1	50.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	28.6	54.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	24.0	24.6	48.6	-0.6	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.9	25.8	47.7	-3.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	26.0	55.0	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	21.4	43.9	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	25.6	48.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	31.2	49.8	-12.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.7	24.6	44.3	-4.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	13.5	33.0	+6.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.0	44.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	24.6	47.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.4	44.8	+0.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.2	82%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	26.3	52.3	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.5	44.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	21.6	45.1	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.4	45.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.4	46.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.1	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.7	21.9	44.5	+0.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	23.5	47.5	+0.5	50%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

49-37

+12

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

52-58

-6

A13/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

31-39

-8

H20/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

43-59

-16

H25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-52

-13

A02/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-41

H10/11

NBL

Melbourne United

46-59

-13

A17/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

42-43

-1

H30/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-53

-6

A06/12

NBL

Perth

60-54

H08/12

NBL

95.4Avg total

45.9Scored

49.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	47.1	93.7	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.7	43.7	90.4	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.5	51.1	97.6	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	49.5	95.4	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	50.0	99.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	45.6	46.6	92.1	-1.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	45.8	46.5	92.4	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	55.0	52.3	107.3	+2.7	33%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

49-45

A27/10

NBL

Adelaide

52-39

+13

H02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

55-31

+24

A04/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

41-45

-4

A09/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

52-42

+10

A16/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

29-52

-23

A28/11

NBL

Perth

48-69

-21

A01/12

NBL

Melbourne United

43-46

-3

H05/12

NBL

Sydney

40-52

-12

H07/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

42-59

-17

H12/12

NBL

93.1Avg total

45.1Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	44.2	87.9	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.0	43.0	89.0	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.8	45.2	86.9	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	48.0	93.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	55.6	96.0	-15.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	42.5	45.4	87.9	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	44.8	44.1	88.9	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	37.0	80.5	+6.5	50%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.6	41.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	24.6	46.3	-3.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.2	43.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	22.3	23.8	46.1	-1.4	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	22.2	42.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	21.8	22.2	44.1	-0.4	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	23.1	44.6	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	24.4	45.2	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.3	24.2	45.6	-2.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.8	23.5	44.4	-2.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.4	44.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.7	44.7	-2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	27.4	48.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	15.0	41.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	46.2	88.9	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	43.6	86.6	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	49.1	91.5	-6.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	44.6	84.9	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	47.2	87.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	43.6	48.0	91.6	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.2	45.5	86.6	-4.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	39.0	82.3	+4.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	44.1	86.5	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	45.6	87.9	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.7	42.7	85.4	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	44.9	86.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	49.8	91.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	44.2	47.2	91.5	-3.0	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.7	42.1	82.7	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	38.5	83.0	+6.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 86.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.8	23.2	51.8%	52.3%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	7.4	30.1%	35.1%	22.2
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.3	75.3%	74.7%	18.3

They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 85.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	23.3	56.8%	52.3%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.1	31.2%	35.1%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.7	77.0%	74.7%	14.7

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	21.9	54.9%	52.3%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.0	12.1	41.7%	35.1%	36.3
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.3	75.6%	74.7%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	21.9	52.8%	52.3%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	10.5	36.1%	35.1%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.0	76.2%	74.7%	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	23.9	50.1%	52.3%	47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.6	32.3%	35.1%	22.7
🏀 Free throws	23.9	18.1	75.9%	74.7%	18.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.9	53.6%	52.3%	43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.0	34.2%	35.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.5	74.3%	74.7%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.8	51.5%	52.3%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	11.0	37.4%	35.1%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.9	76.8%	74.7%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.9	21.2	49.5%	52.3%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.1	36.5%	35.1%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.6	74.4%	74.7%	17.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

LLLLWLWWLW

New Zealand Breakers

LLLLLWLWWW

League position

-8.1

Net rating

-8.7

108.3

Offensive rating

110.7

116.4

Defensive rating

119.3

49.4%

Effective FG%

52.9%

58.1%

Opp. effective FG%

53.3%

12.6%

Turnover %

17.7%

24.0%

Off. rebound %

33.1%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.29

30.1%

3-point %

31.2%

50.7%

Assist %

53.5%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ New Zealand Breakers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/24	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	109-82
18/02/24	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	76-70
30/11/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	96-83
26/10/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	85-97
08/01/23	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	83-85
20/11/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	89-83
28/10/22	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	70-99
24/04/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	60-93
12/03/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	84-75
12/12/21	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	98-85

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/24	H	Perth	105-115
06/12/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	83-102
30/11/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	73-77
17/11/24	A	Melbourne United	93-113
10/11/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-79
02/11/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	82-109
25/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	99-93 OT
20/10/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	77-73
13/10/24	A	Melbourne United	79-106
11/10/24	H	Sydney	89-79

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	76-100
07/12/24	H	Sydney	83-98
05/12/24	H	Melbourne United	70-97
01/12/24	A	Perth	112-123
28/11/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	71-109
16/11/24	A	Cairns Taipans	77-69
09/11/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	64-83
04/11/24	A	Melbourne United	113-79
02/11/24	H	Adelaide	109-82
27/10/24	A	Sydney	93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	43%
Home	WWWLL	62%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	43%	62%	17%
Points / game	89.9	90.4	89.3
Allowed / game	95.1	87.6	105.2
Point differential	-5.2	+2.8	-15.8
Avg total	185.1	178.0	194.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	47%
Home	LWLLL	50%
Away	WLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	47%	50%	43%
Points / game	84.3	82.6	86.1
Allowed / game	90.1	89.5	90.9
Point differential	-5.9	-6.9	-4.7
Avg total	174.4	172.1	177.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	12%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	15	10	5	67%	99.2	90.3	+8.9
2	Melbourne United	18	12	6	67%	96.6	90.0	+6.6
3	Sydney	16	9	7	56%	87.6	83.3	+4.3
4	Perth	17	9	8	53%	95.5	96.2	-0.8
5	Brisbane Bullets	14	7	7	50%	95.8	96.4	-0.6
6	Tasmania JackJumpers	16	8	8	50%	81.4	82.8	-1.4
7	New Zealand Breakers	15	7	8	47%	84.3	90.1	-5.9
8	South East Melbourne	16	7	9	44%	89.4	87.8	+1.6
9	Adelaide	14	6	8	43%	89.9	95.1	-5.2
10	Cairns Taipans	15	3	12	20%	83.2	92.7	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	22	36	20	33	111
New Zealand Breakers	22	27	27	18	94

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Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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