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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#5
Record5-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game93.5
AustraliaNBLRound 13· MyState Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide
16 Jan 2027
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
TASM88
ADEL94
13 Nov 2025
TASM86
ADEL97
10 Jan 2025
TASM104
ADEL103
04 Feb 2024
TASM109
ADEL86
02 Dec 2023
TASM94
ADEL59
12 Jan 2023
TASM98
ADEL82
28 Jan 2022
TASM76
ADEL71
09 Dec 2021
TASM80
ADEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A05/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H21/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A23/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H01/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
109-99 OT
109
99
+10
A03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
122-112
122
112
+10
A09/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H16/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H18/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
106-85
106
85
+21
H21/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
14-25
24-16
13-26
15-24
23-28
36-22
22-17
16-32
28-13
22-21
21-27
23-14
29-21
16-19
16-28
17-23
23-24
34-18
17-26
32-22
35-25
24-26
31-39
22-14
17-26
23-31
26-23
31-32
22-19
17-14
28-27
22-15
34-29
28-20
22-21
19-19
12-18
24-13
13-21
182.7Avg total
92.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)95.391.0186.3+4.367%
Season at home (6)90.085.8175.8+4.267%
Season away (3)106.0101.3207.3+4.767%
Last 10 (10)92.690.1182.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)96.490.8187.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)87.287.2174.4+0.142%
vs Similar (10)86.690.2176.8-3.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)100.089.6189.6+10.462%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
92-114
92
114
-22
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
108-101
108
101
+7
A30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
24-25
26-22
22-25
20-30
28-18
29-22
20-28
32-17
20-17
15-17
16-18
21-35
14-30
32-27
25-22
19-23
23-25
15-12
15-28
21-31
17-25
21-20
32-20
18-18
23-26
20-12
23-22
14-22
26-17
31-23
23-26
25-42
18-30
29-14
22-22
28-24
28-20
18-28
34-29
184.7Avg total
91.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.293.5184.7-2.350%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (7)95.197.4192.6-2.357%
Last 10 (10)91.293.5184.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)94.294.2188.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)92.298.8191.1-6.644%
vs Similar (10)90.490.8181.2-0.450%
vs Weaker (4)98.893.5192.2+5.250%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -0.8-0.8
Tasmania JackJumpersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H21/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A23/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H01/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A03/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
67-47
67
47
+20
A09/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H16/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H18/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
NBL
88.9Avg total
45.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.044.989.9+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.142.788.8+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.947.191.0-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.888.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.243.893.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)44.844.689.3+0.242%-
vs Similar (10)43.446.589.9-3.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.443.490.8+4.038%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A19/09
NBL
Perth
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A24/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
43-72
43
72
-29
A24/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A30/10
NBL
94.2Avg total
44.4Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.649.094.7-3.447%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.247.893.1-2.642%-
Last 30 away (18)45.949.895.7-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)44.449.894.2-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.651.094.6-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)47.051.898.8-4.844%-
vs Similar (10)44.144.288.3-0.150%-
vs Weaker (4)44.050.294.2-6.250%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.2
53.8%
56.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.8
35.8%
34.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws26.318.8
71.5%
73.7%18.8
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.2
56.2%
56.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.1
32.8%
34.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.616.5
73.0%
73.7%16.5
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tasmania JackJumpers
LWWLWWWLWL
Adelaide
WLWWLLLWLW
#2
League position
#5
+3.1
Net rating
-2.3
101.3
Offensive rating
101.1
98.2
Defensive rating
103.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
12.7%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.8%
3-point %
32.8%
60.0%
Assist %
65.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 101.1Defence98.2 · 103.4Shooting53.7% · 53.1%3-point %35.8% · 32.8%Ball care12.7% · 11.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tasmania JackJumpers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
4
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HSydney68-71
21/10/26HBrisbane Bullets106-85
18/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers98-92
16/10/26HAdelaide88-94
09/10/26AIllawarra Hawks122-112
03/10/26ABrisbane Bullets109-99 OT
01/10/26HMelbourne United84-82
23/09/26ACairns Taipans87-93
21/09/26HSouth East Melbourne96-91
05/03/26AMelbourne United68-82
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ANew Zealand Breakers108-101
24/10/26ASouth East Melbourne94-108
16/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers94-88
11/10/26ASydney84-78
07/10/26HMelbourne United91-96
04/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers72-88
02/10/26AIllawarra Hawks92-114
27/09/26HCairns Taipans83-69
24/09/26APerth97-98
19/09/26AMelbourne United97-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game95.390.0106.0
Allowed / game91.085.8101.3
Point differential+4.3+4.2+4.7
Avg total186.3175.8207.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%0%33%
Adelaide
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %50%33%57%
Points / game91.282.095.1
Allowed / game93.584.397.4
Point differential-2.3-2.3-2.3
Avg total184.7166.3192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers96367%95.391.0+4.3
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 Adelaide105550%91.293.5-2.3
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
8 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers104640%92.290.6+1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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