Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	88.8	93.6	182.4	-4.8	46%
Season at home (7)	88.3	83.7	172.0	+4.6	71%
Season away (6)	89.3	105.2	194.5	-15.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	93.1	180.1	-6.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	96.0	180.8	-11.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	87.8	93.4	181.2	-5.6	50%
vs Similar (11)	87.6	93.5	181.2	-5.9	36%
vs Weaker (3)	102.0	93.0	195.0	+9.0	67%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

Sydney

87-84

76avg 86

H25/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

113-105

113

105

112avg 86

H01/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

76-100

100

-24

61avg 86

A03/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

88-82

80avg 86

H07/11

NBL

Melbourne United

97-106

106

-9

92avg 86

A09/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

97-84

+13

92avg 86

H15/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

84-105

105

-21

64avg 86

A17/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

117-89

117

+28

118avg 86

H29/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

123-112

123

112

+11

114avg 86

H01/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

111-121

111

121

-10

100avg 86

H06/12

NBL

21-21

20-23

24-16

22-24

39-31

23-22

27-30

24-22

23-35

21-19

16-27

16-19

27-27

20-24

21-14

20-17

29-31

36-20

12-32

20-23

18-26

40-22

18-12

21-24

26-25

13-22

26-27

19-31

31-24

32-22

28-13

26-30

42-24

27-24

24-37

30-27

30-29

23-26

38-33

20-33

198.1Avg total

99.3Scored

98.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	94.2	95.7	189.9	-1.4	50%
Season at home (10)	99.7	96.0	195.7	+3.7	70%
Season away (6)	85.2	95.2	180.3	-10.0	17%
Last 10 (10)	99.3	98.8	198.1	+0.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	106.4	102.2	208.6	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	112.0	113.0	225.0	-1.0	50%
vs Similar (16)	88.5	94.9	183.4	-6.4	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	100.3	89.5	189.8	+10.8	75%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaidePerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	25.4	48.7	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	23.7	47.3	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	27.1	50.1	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	27.4	50.4	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	29.4	52.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	23.1	25.1	48.1	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.9	25.8	47.7	-3.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	26.0	55.0	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.2	24.3	50.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.8	24.3	50.1	+1.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	26.6	24.2	50.8	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.6	27.3	55.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.4	25.6	55.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	30.0	64.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	23.0	25.2	48.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.3	41.5	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	24.1	47.3	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	22.1	44.2	+0.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.3	21.4	42.8	-0.1	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.2	82%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	26.3	52.3	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	24.0	47.5	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.8	24.3	49.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	23.7	45.5	-1.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	22.4	47.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	23.2	50.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	24.0	47.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	23.9	25.3	49.2	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	67%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

52-54

-2

A05/10

NBL

Sydney

49-37

+12

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

52-58

-6

A13/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

31-39

-8

H20/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

43-59

-16

H25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-52

-13

A02/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-41

H10/11

NBL

Melbourne United

46-59

-13

A17/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

42-43

-1

H30/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-53

-6

A06/12

NBL

94.6Avg total

45.1Scored

49.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	47.1	93.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.8	43.0	88.8	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.1	51.2	97.3	-5.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	49.5	94.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	49.6	94.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	44.4	46.5	90.9	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.8	46.5	92.4	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	55.0	52.3	107.3	+2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

41-44

-3

H25/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

62-53

H01/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

44-54

-10

A03/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-51

-4

H07/11

NBL

Melbourne United

65-51

+14

A09/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

58-48

+10

H15/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

39-47

-8

A17/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

63-46

+17

H29/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

69-48

+21

H01/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-55

-2

H06/12

NBL

103.8Avg total

54.1Scored

49.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.6	48.3	97.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	50.6	48.6	99.2	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	48.4	47.9	96.3	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.1	49.7	103.8	+4.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.4	48.8	105.2	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	57.5	54.0	111.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	46.9	50.6	97.4	-3.7	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	52.0	44.3	96.3	+7.7	67%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.6	46.1	-3.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	22.1	23.7	45.8	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	22.0	44.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	23.1	44.5	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	24.1	47.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	24.4	51.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	31.5	64.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.2	21.5	41.7	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.1	44.3	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.2	43.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	24.1	45.0	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.3	23.2	44.5	-1.9	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	23.5	44.4	-2.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	23.2	46.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.5	23.1	47.6	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	25.0	46.8	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	29.0	52.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	27.5	49.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.4	22.8	44.2	-1.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.8	23.0	47.8	+1.8	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	45.6	88.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	42.5	85.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	48.7	91.1	-6.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	43.1	83.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	46.4	86.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	43.4	46.9	90.3	-3.4	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.2	45.5	86.6	-4.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	39.0	82.3	+4.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	45.2	90.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.1	44.2	91.3	+2.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.1	46.5	88.5	-4.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.2	49.1	94.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	53.4	103.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	54.5	59.0	113.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	41.6	44.3	85.9	-2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	47.7	44.1	91.8	+3.6	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 86.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	23.1	51.7%	52.3%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.3	29.2%	35.1%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	24.5	18.3	74.7%	74.7%	18.3

They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 98.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.9	23.5	52.3%	52.3%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.4	38.3%	35.1%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	21.9	17.7	80.8%	74.7%	17.7

They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	23.2	56.3%	52.3%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	11.4	39.6%	35.1%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	15.9	11.5	72.3%	74.7%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	24.6	57.2%	52.3%	49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.2	36.3%	35.1%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	23.0	17.6	76.5%	74.7%	17.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	23.8	50.0%	52.3%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.5	32.1%	35.1%	22.6
🏀 Free throws	23.9	18.1	75.7%	74.7%	18.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.4	24.1	51.9%	52.3%	48.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.1	34.0%	35.1%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	23.8	18.6	78.2%	74.7%	18.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.9	23.1	51.4%	52.3%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	10.7	36.7%	35.1%	32.2
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.4	75.6%	74.7%	13.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.9	52.9%	52.3%	47.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	9.6	34.4%	35.1%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.7	16.2	74.7%	74.7%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

LLLWLWWLWW

Perth

LWWLWLWLWW

League position

-7.1

Net rating

+1.8

107.9

Offensive rating

119.8

115.0

Defensive rating

117.9

48.9%

Effective FG%

54.4%

57.6%

Opp. effective FG%

56.1%

12.5%

Turnover %

13.7%

24.9%

Off. rebound %

32.5%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.29

29.2%

3-point %

38.3%

50.3%

Assist %

55.0%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ Perth

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/23	Adelaide v Perth	82-100
04/11/23	Perth v Adelaide	99-88
21/10/23	Adelaide v Perth	89-78
06/10/23	Perth v Adelaide	82-75
14/01/23	Perth v Adelaide	112-97
09/12/22	Adelaide v Perth	90-98
24/11/22	Perth v Adelaide	82-96
05/11/22	Adelaide v Perth	89-94
14/04/22	Perth v Adelaide	70-82
06/03/22	Adelaide v Perth	73-92

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	83-102
30/11/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	73-77
17/11/24	A	Melbourne United	93-113
10/11/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-79
02/11/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	82-109
25/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	99-93 OT
20/10/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	77-73
13/10/24	A	Melbourne United	79-106
11/10/24	H	Sydney	89-79
05/10/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	102-100

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/12/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	111-121
01/12/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	123-112
29/11/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	117-89
17/11/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	84-105
15/11/24	H	South East Melbourne	97-84
09/11/24	A	Melbourne United	97-106
07/11/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	88-82
03/11/24	A	South East Melbourne	76-100
01/11/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	113-105
25/10/24	H	Sydney	87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	46%
Home	WWWWL	71%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	46%	71%	17%
Points / game	88.8	88.3	89.3
Allowed / game	93.6	83.7	105.2
Point differential	-4.8	+4.6	-15.8
Avg total	182.4	172.0	194.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	43%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

Perth

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	10	6
Win %	50%	70%	17%
Points / game	94.2	99.7	85.2
Allowed / game	95.7	96.0	95.2
Point differential	-1.4	+3.7	-10.0
Avg total	189.9	195.7	180.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	17	12	5	71%	96.8	89.1	+7.8
2	Illawarra Hawks	14	9	5	64%	98.7	90.1	+8.6
3	Sydney	16	9	7	56%	87.6	83.3	+4.3
4	Perth	16	8	8	50%	94.2	95.7	-1.4
5	New Zealand Breakers	14	7	7	50%	84.9	89.4	-4.6
6	South East Melbourne	15	7	8	47%	88.2	85.9	+2.3
7	Tasmania JackJumpers	15	7	8	47%	80.1	83.2	-3.1
8	Brisbane Bullets	13	6	7	46%	94.2	95.5	-1.2
9	Adelaide	13	6	7	46%	88.8	93.6	-4.8
10	Cairns Taipans	15	3	12	20%	83.2	92.7	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	32	28	22	23	105
Perth	29	25	25	36	115

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Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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