Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	90.9	96.6	187.6	-5.7	41%
Season at home (10)	92.4	90.6	183.0	+1.8	60%
Season away (7)	88.9	105.3	194.1	-16.4	14%
Last 10 (10)	91.5	99.9	191.4	-8.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	95.0	105.6	200.6	-10.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	90.5	94.5	185.1	-4.0	53%
vs Similar (12)	88.7	93.2	181.8	-4.5	42%
vs Weaker (3)	102.0	93.0	195.0	+9.0	67%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

88-82

80avg 87

H07/11

NBL

Melbourne United

97-106

106

-9

92avg 87

A09/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

97-84

+13

92avg 87

H15/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

84-105

105

-21

64avg 87

A17/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

117-89

117

+28

118avg 87

H29/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

123-112

123

112

+11

114avg 87

H01/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

111-121

111

121

-10

100avg 87

H06/12

NBL

Adelaide

115-105

115

105

+10

110avg 87

A08/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

128-92

128

+36

122avg 87

A14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-120

120

-32

75avg 87

A22/12

NBL

27-27

20-24

21-14

20-17

29-31

36-20

12-32

20-23

18-26

40-22

18-12

21-24

26-25

13-22

26-27

19-31

31-24

32-22

28-13

26-30

42-24

27-24

24-37

30-27

30-29

23-26

38-33

20-33

29-32

25-28

25-22

36-23

22-28

32-29

39-18

35-17

28-37

20-26

15-26

25-31

206.4Avg total

104.8Scored

101.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	96.8	97.3	194.1	-0.5	53%
Season at home (10)	99.7	96.0	195.7	+3.7	70%
Season away (9)	93.6	98.7	192.2	-5.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	104.8	101.6	206.4	+3.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	113.0	110.0	223.0	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	104.0	115.3	219.3	-11.3	33%
vs Similar (15)	87.2	94.4	181.6	-7.2	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	103.9	92.5	196.4	+11.4	75%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaidePerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	24.6	48.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.8	23.3	47.1	+0.5	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.9	26.4	50.3	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	27.5	50.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	27.0	51.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	24.5	24.4	48.9	+0.1	60%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	24.6	46.2	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	26.0	55.0	+3.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.9	24.7	50.7	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.7	24.6	50.3	+1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	26.2	24.9	51.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.2	28.3	56.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	30.0	60.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.3	32.3	64.7	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.9	24.6	47.5	-1.7	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	28.1	23.0	51.1	+5.1	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	22.3	45.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.1	20.1	43.2	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.1	25.2	49.3	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	24.2	47.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	25.6	51.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	22.3	22.3	44.6	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	24.4	21.3	45.8	+3.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.0	26.3	52.3	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	24.7	48.2	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	24.6	49.1	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	24.9	47.1	-2.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	24.3	51.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	26.6	52.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	24.7	46.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.5	25.5	49.0	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.8	23.8	47.6	-0.1	58%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns Taipans

#10

43-59

-16

H25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-52

-13

A02/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-41

H10/11

NBL

Melbourne United

46-59

-13

A17/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

42-43

-1

H30/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-53

-6

A06/12

NBL

Perth

60-54

H08/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

58-49

H14/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

38-56

-18

A21/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

48-51

-3

H24/12

NBL

98.8Avg total

47.1Scored

51.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.3	47.0	94.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	46.8	43.4	90.2	+3.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	48.0	51.6	99.6	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	51.7	98.8	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	52.6	102.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	46.8	46.7	93.5	+0.1	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	46.1	45.9	92.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	55.0	52.3	107.3	+2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-51

-4

H07/11

NBL

Melbourne United

65-51

+14

A09/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

58-48

+10

H15/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

39-47

-8

A17/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

63-46

+17

H29/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

69-48

+21

H01/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-55

-2

H06/12

NBL

Adelaide

54-60

-6

A08/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-57

-3

A14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-63

-15

A22/12

NBL

107.6Avg total

55.0Scored

52.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.4	49.5	98.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.2	49.2	99.4	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.4	49.8	98.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.0	52.6	107.6	+2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.6	56.6	112.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	54.3	57.0	111.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	46.5	50.1	96.5	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	51.8	46.8	98.7	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	24.5	46.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.6	48.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	22.7	23.6	46.3	-0.9	47%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.5	44.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	21.1	44.2	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	24.1	45.3	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	27.2	55.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	26.7	29.7	56.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.3	21.7	40.9	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	24.7	21.8	46.5	+2.8	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	22.9	45.3	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	24.4	44.8	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	23.2	44.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	27.4	49.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.1	24.2	45.3	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.1	23.2	45.3	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	23.3	47.0	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	23.4	47.6	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	25.6	50.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	26.2	55.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	28.7	51.7	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.5	22.7	44.1	-1.2	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	26.8	22.8	49.5	+4.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	46.1	89.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.4	44.0	87.4	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.5	48.9	91.4	-6.5	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	47.7	91.0	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	53.0	97.8	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	43.7	47.8	91.5	-4.1	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.0	45.8	87.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.3	39.0	82.3	+4.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	45.8	91.7	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	47.2	44.5	91.8	+2.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.4	47.4	91.7	-3.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.8	49.0	98.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	57.4	53.4	110.8	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	49.7	58.3	108.0	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	40.7	44.3	85.1	-3.6	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	51.4	44.6	96.0	+6.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 91.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	23.4	52.9%	52.3%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.7	34.1%	35.1%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	25.5	18.2	71.4%	74.7%	18.2

They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 104.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	24.8	55.5%	52.3%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	12.2	41.5%	35.1%	36.6
🏀 Free throws	21.7	17.8	82.0%	74.7%	17.8

They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.5	56.0%	52.3%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	12.8	42.8%	35.1%	38.4
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.5	76.0%	74.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	24.4	55.2%	52.3%	48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.8	38.0%	35.1%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	24.3	19.4	79.8%	74.7%	19.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.8	23.7	50.7%	52.3%	47.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.3	34.4%	35.1%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	24.0	17.8	74.3%	74.7%	17.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.1	24.1	52.4%	52.3%	48.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.4	34.6%	35.1%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	23.5	18.3	77.8%	74.7%	18.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	22.8	51.9%	52.3%	45.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	11.0	36.6%	35.1%	32.9
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.3	76.7%	74.7%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.1	23.9	53.0%	52.3%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.1	35.5%	35.1%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.7	76.2%	74.7%	16.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

LLWLLLLWLW

Perth

LWWLWWLWLW

League position

-9.6

Net rating

+4.1

111.7

Offensive rating

124.4

121.3

Defensive rating

120.4

52.3%

Effective FG%

58.2%

59.5%

Opp. effective FG%

55.9%

11.1%

Turnover %

13.6%

22.1%

Off. rebound %

30.1%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.29

34.1%

3-point %

41.5%

51.4%

Assist %

53.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ Perth

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/24	Adelaide v Perth	105-115
28/12/23	Adelaide v Perth	82-100
04/11/23	Perth v Adelaide	99-88
21/10/23	Adelaide v Perth	89-78
06/10/23	Perth v Adelaide	82-75
14/01/23	Perth v Adelaide	112-97
09/12/22	Adelaide v Perth	90-98
24/11/22	Perth v Adelaide	82-96
05/11/22	Adelaide v Perth	89-94
14/04/22	Perth v Adelaide	70-82

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/12/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-111
21/12/24	A	South East Melbourne	86-106
14/12/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	111-94
08/12/24	H	Perth	105-115
06/12/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	83-102
30/11/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	73-77
17/11/24	A	Melbourne United	93-113
10/11/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-79
02/11/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	82-109
25/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	99-93 OT

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	88-120
14/12/24	A	Cairns Taipans	128-92
08/12/24	A	Adelaide	115-105
06/12/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	111-121
01/12/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	123-112
29/11/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	117-89
17/11/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	84-105
15/11/24	H	South East Melbourne	97-84
09/11/24	A	Melbourne United	97-106
07/11/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	41%
Home	WLLWL	60%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	41%	60%	14%
Points / game	90.9	92.4	88.9
Allowed / game	96.6	90.6	105.3
Point differential	-5.7	+1.8	-16.4
Avg total	187.6	183.0	194.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

Perth

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	53%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	53%	70%	33%
Points / game	96.8	99.7	93.6
Allowed / game	97.3	96.0	98.7
Point differential	-0.5	+3.7	-5.1
Avg total	194.1	195.7	192.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	30%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Illawarra Hawks	18	13	5	72%	101.2	90.8	+10.3
2	Melbourne United	21	13	8	62%	95.4	90.1	+5.3
3	Sydney	19	11	8	58%	89.2	84.7	+4.5
4	Tasmania JackJumpers	18	10	8	56%	83.1	83.2	-0.1
5	Perth	19	10	9	53%	96.8	97.3	-0.5
6	South East Melbourne	18	9	9	50%	91.4	88.2	+3.2
7	Brisbane Bullets	18	9	9	50%	95.8	96.6	-0.8
8	Adelaide	17	7	10	41%	90.9	96.6	-5.7
9	New Zealand Breakers	18	7	11	39%	84.7	91.8	-7.1
10	Cairns Taipans	18	3	15	17%	83.9	94.6	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	26	16	21	29	92
Perth	26	29	23	38	116

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Adelaide vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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