Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	93.9	87.0	180.9	+6.9	69%
Season at home (8)	93.0	88.5	181.5	+4.5	62%
Season away (5)	95.4	84.6	180.0	+10.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	96.5	88.7	185.2	+7.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	99.6	91.8	191.4	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	92.0	87.0	179.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (12)	90.2	87.9	178.2	+2.3	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	95.6	90.5	186.1	+5.2	65%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAdelaide

Date

Competition

Sydney

94-102

102

-8

93avg 80

H22/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

97-101

101

-4

86avg 80

A28/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

93-83

+10

92avg 80

H03/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

102-100

102

100

94avg 80

A05/10

NBL

Sydney

89-79

+10

82avg 80

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

79-106

106

-27

61avg 80

A13/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

77-73

67avg 80

H20/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

99-93 OT

78avg 80

H25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-109

109

-27

70avg 80

A02/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-79

+14

88avg 80

H10/11

NBL

28-27

20-24

27-19

19-32

32-28

22-30

23-19

20-24

25-16

27-19

19-23

22-25

27-32

25-22

29-27

21-19

26-22

23-15

19-25

21-17

29-24

23-34

8-21

19-27

13-22

18-17

23-11

23-23

21-27

22-32

22-14

23-15

19-33

20-19

19-34

24-23

26-22

24-19

26-26

17-12

183.0Avg total

90.5Scored

92.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	90.5	92.5	183.0	-2.0	60%
Season at home (6)	90.8	84.8	175.7	+6.0	83%
Season away (4)	90.0	104.0	194.0	-14.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	92.5	183.0	-2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	92.0	178.0	-6.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	86.6	91.9	178.5	-5.3	47%
vs Similar (9)	89.8	94.4	184.2	-4.7	44%
vs Weaker (4)	100.5	93.0	193.5	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedAdelaide

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	22.1	46.6	+2.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.7	44.7	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	24.3	22.8	47.2	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	21.6	43.9	+0.8	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	24.7	47.5	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	23.7	46.4	-1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	25.9	48.8	-3.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	25.3	49.9	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.6	47.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.6	24.0	46.6	-1.4	53%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	24.6	46.1	-3.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.2	28.2	54.5	-2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	24.1	47.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	24.9	49.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.3	25.7	52.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	26.4	50.8	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.4	23.5	45.9	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.8	25.0	49.8	-0.2	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.7	41.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	24.5	47.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.1	45.5	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.6	21.7	46.2	+2.9	78%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.5	25%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

64-41

+23

A04/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-58

-4

H06/10

NBL

Adelaide

58-52

H13/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-48

-5

H20/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

40-37

A24/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-30

+24

H27/10

NBL

Sydney

46-43

H31/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

31-55

-24

H04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-45

A07/11

NBL

Perth

51-65

-14

H09/11

NBL

96.7Avg total

49.3Scored

47.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	46.2	92.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.8	46.9	95.8	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.4	45.3	89.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.3	47.4	96.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	47.6	94.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	46.8	46.3	93.1	+0.4	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	47.2	46.6	93.8	+0.6	47%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

48-51

-3

H22/09

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-58

-4

A28/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

52-35

+17

H03/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

52-54

-2

A05/10

NBL

Sydney

49-37

+12

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

52-58

-6

A13/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

31-39

-8

H20/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

43-59

-16

H25/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-52

-13

A02/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

50-41

H10/11

NBL

95.4Avg total

47.0Scored

48.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	46.7	91.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	43.4	87.8	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.9	50.4	96.4	-4.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.0	48.4	95.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	49.8	92.8	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	43.5	45.5	89.0	-2.1	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.1	46.2	92.3	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	50.0	52.5	102.5	-2.5	25%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.8	18.8	42.6	+5.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	18.9	42.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	21.4	48.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.8	18.8	40.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.8	20.5	44.3	+3.2	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.3	44.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.3	42.6	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	24.6	46.1	-3.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.6	23.5	45.1	-1.9	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	16.8	40.5	+7.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.6	45.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	22.8	47.4	+1.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.4	46.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.8	48.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	29.0	62.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	22.8	44.4	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.2	22.1	45.2	+1.1	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	23.1	44.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	22.6	44.9	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	23.7	44.8	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.5	22.8	44.4	-1.3	41%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	23.9	45.0	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	22.5	46.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	42.4	88.2	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	41.2	86.4	+4.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.3	43.9	90.1	+2.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	41.3	88.5	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.8	44.2	97.0	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	52.0	50.0	102.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	43.5	41.6	85.1	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.9	42.6	89.5	+4.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	45.4	89.1	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	42.9	87.4	+1.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	48.3	90.9	-5.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	43.6	86.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	41.2	82.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	43.1	46.4	89.5	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.9	46.3	89.2	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.8	39.2	87.0	+8.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 95.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	21.4	53.9%	52.3%	42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	12.5	37.4%	35.1%	37.5
🏀 Free throws	18.5	15.0	81.1%	74.7%	15.0

They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 89.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.2	22.7	49.1%	52.3%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.6	9.0	38.1%	35.1%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.5	73.8%	74.7%	17.5

They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.1	22.7	47.2%	52.3%	45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.2	8.4	34.7%	35.1%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	22.1	17.2	77.8%	74.7%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	22.5	53.8%	52.3%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	11.2	36.2%	35.1%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.9	77.7%	74.7%	12.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.9	23.2	51.7%	52.3%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	10.1	35.4%	35.1%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.1	72.5%	74.7%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.1	23.5	49.8%	52.3%	46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	7.7	33.4%	35.1%	23.2
🏀 Free throws	23.9	18.4	76.7%	74.7%	18.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.3	22.8	48.3%	52.3%	45.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	8.7	35.2%	35.1%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.6	72.8%	74.7%	15.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.6	23.1	50.8%	52.3%	46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.5	35.6%	35.1%	31.4
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.3	76.5%	74.7%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Melbourne United

WWLWWWLWLW

Adelaide

WLWWLWWWLL

League position

+9.2

Net rating

-2.0

117.3

Offensive rating

112.6

108.1

Defensive rating

114.6

54.9%

Effective FG%

51.9%

48.8%

Opp. effective FG%

54.1%

13.6%

Turnover %

14.0%

28.2%

Off. rebound %

28.0%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.34

37.4%

3-point %

38.1%

63.1%

Assist %

52.7%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Melbourne United ■ Adelaide

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Adelaide wins

Date	Game	Score
13/10/24	Melbourne United v Adelaide	106-79
06/01/24	Adelaide v Melbourne United	100-96
16/12/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	107-96
01/10/23	Adelaide v Melbourne United	74-82
05/02/23	Melbourne United v Adelaide	116-107
21/01/23	Adelaide v Melbourne United	87-94
17/11/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	86-91
20/03/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	101-74
30/01/22	Adelaide v Melbourne United	88-83 OT
22/01/22	Adelaide v Melbourne United	78-97

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/11/24	H	Perth	106-97
07/11/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	120-103
04/11/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	79-113
31/10/24	H	Sydney	87-83
27/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	106-63
24/10/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	92-87
20/10/24	H	South East Melbourne	84-93
13/10/24	H	Adelaide	106-79
06/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	88-101
04/10/24	A	Perth	97-68

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-79
02/11/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	82-109
25/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	99-93 OT
20/10/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	77-73
13/10/24	A	Melbourne United	79-106
11/10/24	H	Sydney	89-79
05/10/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	102-100
03/10/24	H	South East Melbourne	93-83
28/09/24	A	Cairns Taipans	97-101
22/09/24	H	Sydney	94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	69%
Home	LWWLW	62%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	69%	62%	80%
Points / game	93.9	93.0	95.4
Allowed / game	87.0	88.5	84.6
Point differential	+6.9	+4.5	+10.8
Avg total	180.9	181.5	180.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	25%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	60%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	60%	83%	25%
Points / game	90.5	90.8	90.0
Allowed / game	92.5	84.8	104.0
Point differential	-2.0	+6.0	-14.0
Avg total	183.0	175.7	194.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	10	7	3	70%	85.2	82.5	+2.7
2	Melbourne United	13	9	4	69%	93.9	87.0	+6.9
3	Illawarra Hawks	11	7	4	64%	95.6	88.8	+6.8
4	Adelaide	10	6	4	60%	90.5	92.5	-2.0
5	Sydney	13	7	6	54%	86.5	82.6	+3.9
6	Perth	12	6	6	50%	89.4	92.0	-2.6
7	South East Melbourne	13	5	8	38%	86.2	84.2	+2.0
8	Tasmania JackJumpers	13	5	8	38%	78.9	83.5	-4.5
9	Brisbane Bullets	9	3	6	33%	89.7	93.7	-4.0
10	Cairns Taipans	12	3	9	25%	82.4	92.7	-10.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	29	30	26	28	113
Adelaide	22	24	27	20	93

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Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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