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Tasmania JackJumpers vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 109-86
31-21 26-24 26-24 26-17
Position#2
Record13-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#9
Record11-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game91.3
AustraliaNBLRound 18· MyState Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tasmania JackJumpers v Adelaide
16 Jan 2027
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
21 Dec 2026
TASM v ADEL
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
TASM88
ADEL94
13 Nov 2025
TASM86
ADEL97
10 Jan 2025
TASM104
ADEL103
04 Feb 2024
TASM109
ADEL86
02 Dec 2023
TASM94
ADEL59
12 Jan 2023
TASM98
ADEL82
28 Jan 2022
TASM76
ADEL71
09 Dec 2021
TASM80
ADEL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tasmania JackJumpersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJackJumpers
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 82
H17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
100-89
100
89
+11
93avg 82
A23/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
62avg 82
H25/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
93-98
93
98
-5
86avg 82
H01/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
103-86
103
86
+17
97avg 82
H06/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
70avg 82
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
no box
H12/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
107-86
107
86
+21
105avg 82
H19/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
88-94
88
94
-6
84avg 82
A26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
88avg 82
A01/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
9-18
19-18
30-33
23-10
28-20
22-26
27-33
12-19
28-20
22-22
15-24
25-19
15-21
24-30
29-28
29-20
22-21
28-18
24-27
18-19
20-24
21-18
18-19
20-18
15-18
15-20
36-30
24-22
30-22
25-14
28-28
20-24
19-33
21-12
28-25
22-22
23-22
27-18
22-24
183.0Avg total
92.8Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)91.086.1177.1+4.952%
Season at home (12)92.285.8178.0+6.550%
Season away (13)89.886.5176.3+3.454%
Last 10 (10)92.890.2183.0+2.640%
Last 5 (5)94.690.8185.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)86.786.2172.9+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.384.3175.6+6.956%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
88avg 80
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
71avg 80
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
70avg 80
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
100-96
100
96
+4
96avg 80
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 80
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 80
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 80
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
77avg 80
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 80
H02/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
25-19
18-21
25-25
29-34
19-20
9-28
25-18
12-19
29-21
12-31
31-20
27-23
19-19
31-24
23-30
20-19
22-8
28-27
25-28
28-27
28-26
26-19
12-22
34-23
34-17
19-20
23-25
21-15
21-24
26-23
28-27
28-25
25-13
22-15
13-18
17-18
20-23
17-18
31-19
182.7Avg total
93.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.491.3179.7-2.844%
Season at home (13)88.588.3176.8+0.262%
Season away (12)88.394.5182.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)93.689.1182.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)96.086.8182.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)88.192.1180.2-4.144%
vs Similar (10)91.994.2186.1-2.340%
vs Weaker (4)98.096.5194.5+1.550%
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Tasmania JackJumpersAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tasmania JackJumpersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H17/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A23/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H01/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H06/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H12/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H19/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A01/02
NBL
83.9Avg total
42.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.684.4+3.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.139.883.8+4.346%-
Last 30 away (17)43.641.284.8+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.383.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.887.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)44.142.086.1+2.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.639.683.2+4.050%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H28/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A31/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H02/02
NBL
90.1Avg total
48.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.346.490.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.244.788.9-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)44.348.192.4-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)48.541.690.1+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)51.242.293.4+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)41.846.888.5-5.019%-
vs Similar (10)47.744.992.6+2.870%-
vs Weaker (4)45.848.594.2-2.825%-
This opponent (Tasmania JackJumpers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tasmania JackJumperstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tasmania JackJumpers: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.3
50.7%
50.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.2
40.4%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.712.3
65.8%
73.8%12.3
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 92.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.225.3
51.4%
50.9%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.9
33.5%
33.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.2
77.1%
73.8%18.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tasmania JackJumpers
WLWLLWLLWL
Adelaide
WWWWLWWLLW
#2
League position
#9
+3.6
Net rating
+6.0
116.7
Offensive rating
110.6
113.1
Defensive rating
104.6
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.4%
3-point %
33.5%
53.1%
Assist %
53.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 110.6Defence113.1 · 104.6Shooting54.5% · 51.0%3-point %40.4% · 33.5%Ball care16.2% · 14.6%Off. rebounds37.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tasmania JackJumpers   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tasmania JackJumpers wins
2
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ACairns Taipans94-86
26/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers88-94
19/01/24HMelbourne United107-86
12/01/24HIllawarra Hawks107-108 OT
10/01/24ABrisbane Bullets77-80
06/01/24HCairns Taipans103-86
01/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers93-98
25/12/23HSouth East Melbourne77-85
23/12/23AIllawarra Hawks100-89
17/12/23HSydney82-90
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HSydney85-78
27/01/24HCairns Taipans88-71
20/01/24AIllawarra Hawks96-89
17/01/24ASouth East Melbourne110-85
13/01/24ACairns Taipans101-111 OT
11/01/24HSydney95-82
06/01/24HMelbourne United100-96
31/12/23AIllawarra Hawks84-91
28/12/23HPerth82-100
24/12/23HBrisbane Bullets95-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tasmania JackJumpers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW52%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game91.092.289.8
Allowed / game86.185.886.5
Point differential+4.9+6.5+3.4
Avg total177.1178.0176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game88.488.588.3
Allowed / game91.388.394.5
Point differential-2.8+0.2-6.2
Avg total179.7176.8182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United2518772%93.687.6+6.1
2 Perth2416867%94.691.3+3.3
3 Tasmania JackJumpers25131252%91.086.1+4.9
4 Illawarra Hawks24121250%90.089.6+0.4
5 Sydney26121446%94.493.4+1.0
6 Brisbane Bullets26121446%87.390.3-3.0
7 Adelaide25111444%88.491.3-2.8
8 New Zealand Breakers23101343%89.989.6+0.3
9 Cairns Taipans26111542%89.391.7-2.4
10 South East Melbourne26101638%88.195.2-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tasmania JackJumpers31262626109
Adelaide2124241786
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