PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
TCU faces Texas A&M on 19 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating TCU as the clear favourite at 83% probability of victory, reflecting their flawless 4-0 record and 95.0 points per game compared to Texas A&M's 99.2 points per game, both teams holding 67.2 points allowed per game. TCU's home slate shows a 4-0 record, 95.0 points scored and 67.2 allowed, while Texas A&M's road record is 4-0, 99.2 points scored and 67.2 allowed; each side has won four of five recent games, with TCU's last three home wins over Wisc. Milwaukee 76-64, Louisiana Monroe 100-92 and Southern Univ. 106-54, and Texas A&M's recent victories over Oklahoma State 88-69, Louisiana Monroe 108-67 and Northern Kentucky 104-67. Historically, TCU has won both meetings, most recently 68-64 on 11 December 2021. The model projects a 83-72 score, 155.9 total points, and an 83% chance of TCU covering the home spread, with a 3% overtime probability. The game will be decided by TCU's offensive consistency and Texas A&M's recent high-scoring outings.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 95.0 | 67.2 | 162.2 | +27.8 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 95.0 | 67.2 | 162.2 | +27.8 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 81.8 | 70.8 | 152.6 | +11.0 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.6 | 70.0 | 157.6 | +17.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 65.8 | 75.2 | 141.0 | -9.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar (13) | 77.7 | 75.7 | 153.4 | +2.0 | 69% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 85.2 | 69.5 | 154.7 | +15.6 | 85% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 99.2 | 67.2 | 166.5 | +32.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 99.2 | 67.2 | 166.5 | +32.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 84.0 | 74.2 | 158.2 | +9.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.8 | 71.4 | 162.2 | +19.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 62.3 | 74.7 | 137.0 | -12.3 | 33% |
| vs Similar (14) | 81.4 | 83.8 | 165.2 | -2.4 | 43% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 96.0 | 73.3 | 169.3 | +22.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.0 | 34.6 | 70.6 | +1.3 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 36.8 | 33.8 | 70.6 | +3.1 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 34.7 | 35.9 | 70.6 | -1.2 | 42% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 33.7 | 73.8 | +6.4 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.4 | 33.6 | 77.0 | +9.8 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 30.0 | 38.5 | 68.5 | -8.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 35.2 | 34.1 | 69.2 | +1.1 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker (13) | 38.6 | 34.0 | 72.6 | +4.6 | 62% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.1 | 35.8 | 75.8 | +4.3 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 43.6 | 34.2 | 77.9 | +9.4 | 82% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 35.4 | 37.8 | 73.2 | -2.4 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.0 | 34.6 | 74.6 | +5.4 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.6 | 34.2 | 79.8 | +11.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 28.0 | 34.0 | 62.0 | -6.0 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 37.4 | 38.9 | 76.3 | -1.6 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 45.8 | 32.8 | 78.5 | +13.0 | 85% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11/12/21 | Texas A&M v TCU | 64-68 |
| 12/12/20 | Texas A&M v TCU | 55-73 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 76-64 |
| 11/11/26 | H | Louisiana Monroe | 100-92 OT |
| 07/11/26 | H | Southern Univ. | 106-54 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Lindenwood | 98-59 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Duke | 58-81 |
| 19/03/26 | A | Ohio State | 66-64 |
| 13/03/26 | A | Kansas | 73-78 |
| 12/03/26 | H | Oklahoma State | 95-88 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Cincinnati | 73-63 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Texas Tech | 73-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Oklahoma State | 88-69 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Louisiana Monroe | 108-67 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Northern Kentucky | 104-67 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Alabama State | 97-66 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Houston | 57-88 |
| 19/03/26 | A | St. Marys (CA) | 63-50 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Oklahoma | 63-83 |
| 07/03/26 | A | LSU | 94-91 OT |
| 04/03/26 | H | Kentucky | 96-85 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Texas | 70-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 95.0 | 95.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 67.2 | 67.2 | - |
| Point differential | +27.8 | +27.8 | - |
| Avg total | 162.2 | 162.2 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 75% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 25% | 25% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 99.2 | 99.2 | - |
| Allowed / game | 67.2 | 67.2 | - |
| Point differential | +32.0 | +32.0 | - |
| Avg total | 166.5 | 166.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Baylor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 59.7 | +35.7 |
| 2 |  West Virginia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.7 | 53.3 | +32.3 |
| 3 |  Kansas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 59.7 | +31.3 |
| 4 | TCU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 67.2 | +27.8 |
| 5 |  Texas Tech | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 53.8 | +27.2 |
| 6 |  Arizona State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.5 | 63.2 | +22.2 |
| 7 |  Brigham Young | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 96.5 | 75.8 | +20.8 |
| 8 |  Utah Utes | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 61.3 | +11.3 |
| 9 |  UCF Knights | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.8 | 77.2 | +8.5 |
| 10 |  Arizona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 74.0 | +13.2 |
| 11 |  Houston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.7 | 62.3 | +22.3 |
| 12 |  Oklahoma State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 72.0 | +20.7 |
| 13 |  Iowa State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 61.3 | +19.7 |
| 14 |  Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.7 | 60.0 | +13.7 |
| 15 |  Colorado | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 70.3 | +10.7 |
| 16 |  Kansas State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 76.0 | +7.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Texas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 100.0 | 57.0 | +43.0 |
| 2 |  Ole Miss | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 56.3 | +37.7 |
| 3 | Texas A&M | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 99.2 | 67.2 | +32.0 |
| 4 |  LSU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 90.8 | 59.5 | +31.2 |
| 5 |  Vanderbilt | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 90.2 | 60.2 | +30.0 |
| 6 |  South Carolina | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 56.5 | +22.2 |
| 7 |  Alabama | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 76.0 | +21.0 |
| 8 |  Florida | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 82.2 | 62.5 | +19.8 |
| 9 |  Tennessee | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 81.0 | 61.3 | +19.7 |
| 10 |  Georgia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 81.8 | 70.2 | +11.5 |
| 11 |  Mississippi St. | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 67.5 | +19.8 |
| 12 |  Arkansas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 83.2 | 67.8 | +15.5 |
| 13 |  Oklahoma | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 75.8 | 63.8 | +12.0 |
| 14 |  Kentucky | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 80.2 | 75.8 | +4.5 |
| 15 |  Missouri | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 66.0 | +31.0 |
| 16 |  Auburn | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.7 | 64.0 | +14.7 |
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