Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	98.5	90.1	188.5	+8.4	64%
Season at home (5)	101.8	88.6	190.4	+13.2	80%
Season away (6)	95.7	91.3	187.0	+4.3	50%
Last 10 (10)	106.1	87.2	193.3	+18.9	90%
Last 5 (5)	98.4	85.0	183.4	+13.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	92.3	89.4	181.7	+2.9	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	98.6	89.1	187.7	+9.5	61%

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBarcelona

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#12

89-113

113

-24

86avg 83

A18/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

89-81

83avg 83

A22/10

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

99-81

+18

96avg 83

H24/10

ACB

Bayern

#18

88-84

82avg 83

A27/10

Euroleague

Valencia

98-94

91avg 83

H30/10

Euroleague

Unicaja

92-89

84avg 83

A01/11

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

93-90

no box

A05/11

Euroleague

Breogan

99-91

no box

H08/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

76-74

no box

A13/11

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#13

108-83

108

+25

no box

H15/11

ACB

26-23

19-26

23-33

21-31

23-21

21-19

27-24

18-17

24-21

24-19

24-17

27-24

21-17

20-25

23-19

24-23

30-25

14-17

25-26

29-26

25-29

20-25

27-18

20-17

19-21

27-25

27-18

20-26

23-20

16-20

30-30

30-21

17-17

15-16

11-24

33-17

25-18

26-22

22-22

35-21

181.1Avg total

93.1Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	89.6	87.4	177.0	+2.3	73%
Season at home (5)	91.6	91.2	182.8	+0.4	60%
Season away (6)	88.0	84.2	172.2	+3.8	83%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	88.0	181.1	+5.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	85.4	179.0	+8.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	88.0	96.8	184.8	-8.8	44%
vs Similar (10)	91.8	84.9	176.7	+6.9	70%
vs Weaker (11)	95.8	87.5	183.4	+8.3	82%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBarcelona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	22.0	46.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	20.4	45.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	23.5	46.9	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	21.3	47.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.0	43.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	25.9	22.3	48.1	+3.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.8	21.9	45.7	+1.9	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.2	44.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.3	23.8	43.1	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.4	19.4	41.7	+3.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	21.9	46.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	21.5	46.2	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	22.3	47.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	21.2	47.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	19.8	44.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	22.4	21.4	43.9	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	25.7	22.1	47.7	+3.6	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.2	43.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.9	22.9	45.7	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.8	20.9	43.7	+1.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	55%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

61-48

+13

H15/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

62-35

+27

H18/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#17

51-52

-1

A22/10

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#18

54-40

+14

A25/10

ACB

Baskonia

#20

56-46

+10

A27/10

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

47-42

H29/10

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#15

39-31

H01/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

48-51

-3

H04/11

Euroleague

Murcia

#10

47-39

H08/11

ACB

Crvena zvezda

56-41

+15

H12/11

Euroleague

94.6Avg total

52.1Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.2	43.9	93.1	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.9	41.9	91.8	+7.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.5	45.9	94.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.1	42.5	94.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	40.8	88.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	48.3	43.7	92.0	+4.6	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	49.4	44.0	93.4	+5.5	74%	-

This opponent (Barcelona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#12

45-49

-4

A18/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

44-40

A22/10

Euroleague

Basket Zaragoza

48-40

H24/10

ACB

Bayern

#18

41-42

-1

A27/10

Euroleague

Valencia

44-42

H30/10

Euroleague

Unicaja

45-54

-9

A01/11

ACB

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

46-46

A05/11

Euroleague

Breogan

39-40

-1

H08/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

32-33

-1

A13/11

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#13

51-40

+11

H15/11

ACB

86.1Avg total

43.5Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	42.6	85.4	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	43.4	86.6	-0.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	42.6	86.1	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.6	85.2	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.3	44.7	83.0	-6.3	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.9	42.4	86.3	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	45.4	41.2	86.5	+4.2	55%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.6	43.8	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.9	43.3	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	20.3	44.4	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.4	44.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.1	21.1	45.2	+3.0	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	23.7	47.9	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.0	24.6	49.6	+0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	22.7	46.0	+0.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	23.1	47.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	22.4	26.0	48.4	-3.6	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.8	21.7	46.5	+3.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.1	23.6	48.7	+1.5	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	23.9	47.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.1	24.9	49.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.8	22.9	51.7	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	23.0	48.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	22.0	24.7	46.7	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	24.4	23.7	48.1	+0.7	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	22.3	46.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.7	22.8	48.4	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	22.3	48.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	20.4	48.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	25.0	23.4	48.4	+1.6	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.3	70%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.4	22.7	48.1	+2.6	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.1	44.5	91.6	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.4	45.8	93.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	43.3	90.0	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.9	43.3	96.2	+9.6	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	41.4	90.2	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	42.4	43.7	86.1	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	48.5	44.8	93.3	+3.7	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.7	46.0	94.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.7	47.3	98.0	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.4	44.5	90.9	+1.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.6	45.4	95.0	+4.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	42.8	93.8	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	47.4	49.4	96.9	-2.0	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	47.9	42.5	90.4	+5.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (11)	50.5	46.4	96.8	+4.1	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	20.6	57.5%	55.2%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	15.0	41.9%	35.7%	45.0
🏀 Free throws	23.5	19.8	84.3%	77.1%	19.8

They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	21.9	58.4%	55.2%	43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	11.1	39.5%	35.7%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.2	74.7%	77.1%	14.2

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.9	22.3	50.8%	55.2%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.5	33.5%	35.7%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.6	72.3%	77.1%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.2	55.0%	55.2%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	11.9	41.3%	35.7%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.6	76.4%	77.1%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	20.0	61.9%	55.2%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	11.5	37.3%	35.7%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.8	80.2%	77.1%	15.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.3	23.1	58.8%	55.2%	46.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	10.4	39.8%	35.7%	31.3
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.1	76.4%	77.1%	15.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	20.5	55.9%	55.2%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.6	35.9%	35.7%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.7	13.3	75.3%	77.1%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	21.3	55.7%	55.2%	42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	10.5	37.9%	35.7%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.5	16.2	79.0%	77.1%	16.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WWLWWWWWWW

Barcelona

WWWWWWWWWL

League position

+23.0

Net rating

+0.7

114.6

Offensive rating

105.6

91.6

Defensive rating

104.9

60.2%

Effective FG%

58.8%

50.6%

Opp. effective FG%

58.1%

12.7%

Turnover %

15.3%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.29

41.9%

3-point %

39.5%

62.4%

Assist %

51.5%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Barcelona

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Barcelona wins

Date	Game	Score
22/03/26	Barcelona v Real Madrid	76-95
16/01/26	Real Madrid v Barcelona	80-61
04/01/26	Real Madrid v Barcelona	100-105
07/11/25	Barcelona v Real Madrid	92-101
06/04/25	Barcelona v Real Madrid	89-91
27/02/25	Real Madrid v Barcelona	96-91
29/12/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	73-71
28/11/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	90-97 OT
21/09/24	Real Madrid v Barcelona	89-83
02/06/24	Barcelona v Real Madrid	92-95

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Crvena zvezda	105-84
08/11/26	H	Murcia	90-71
04/11/26	H	Panathinaikos	112-115 OT
01/11/26	H	San Pablo Burgos	90-79
29/10/26	H	Fenerbahce	95-76
27/10/26	A	Baskonia	104-86
25/10/26	A	Forca Lleida	122-86
22/10/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	113-99
18/10/26	H	Bilbao	119-84
15/10/26	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	111-92

Barcelonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/26	H	Obradoiro CAB	108-83
13/11/26	A	Panathinaikos	76-74
08/11/26	H	Breogan	99-91
05/11/26	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	93-90
01/11/26	A	Unicaja	92-89
30/10/26	H	Valencia	98-94
27/10/26	A	Bayern	88-84
24/10/26	H	Basket Zaragoza	99-81
22/10/26	A	Olimpia Milano	89-81
18/10/26	A	Joventut Badalona	89-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2026

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	64%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	LLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	64%	80%	50%
Points / game	98.5	101.8	95.7
Allowed / game	90.1	88.6	91.3
Point differential	+8.4	+13.2	+4.3
Avg total	188.5	190.4	187.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	80%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	20%	0%

Barcelona

Euroleague 2026

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	60%	83%
Points / game	89.6	91.6	88.0
Allowed / game	87.4	91.2	84.2
Point differential	+2.3	+0.4	+3.8
Avg total	177.0	182.8	172.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	0%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	67% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	9%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	11	8	3	73%	86.4	78.5	+7.9
2	Olympiacos	11	8	3	73%	88.5	80.7	+7.7
3	Valencia	11	8	3	73%	96.4	88.9	+7.5
4	Barcelona	11	8	3	73%	89.6	87.4	+2.3
5	Real Madrid	11	7	4	64%	98.5	90.1	+8.4
6	Crvena zvezda	11	7	4	64%	83.3	77.7	+5.5
7	Fenerbahce	11	7	4	64%	82.9	78.6	+4.3
8	Zalgiris Kaunas	11	7	4	64%	85.6	82.4	+3.3
9	Dubai	11	7	4	64%	86.5	85.6	+0.9
10	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	11	6	5	55%	90.4	87.2	+3.2
11	Partizan	11	6	5	55%	79.5	77.7	+1.7
12	Anadolu Efes	11	5	6	45%	85.9	87.5	-1.5
13	Besiktas	11	5	6	45%	88.4	90.9	-2.5
14	Paris	11	5	6	45%	91.0	94.1	-3.1
15	Lyon-Villeurbanne	11	4	7	36%	88.5	93.2	-4.6
16	Virtus Bologna	11	4	7	36%	86.1	90.7	-4.6
17	Maccabi Tel Aviv	11	3	8	27%	84.3	92.1	-7.8
18	Bayern	11	3	8	27%	86.8	95.2	-8.4
19	Olimpia Milano	11	1	10	9%	81.3	89.3	-8.0
20	Baskonia	11	1	10	9%	79.9	91.9	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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