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Ukmerges Stekas vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 62-54
23-17 12-18 4-12 23-7
Position#5
Record6-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game78.9
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
Position#4
Record10-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game78.1
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas
03 Mar 2026
UKME79
JURB87
27 Jan 2026
UKME71
JURB88
18 Jan 2025
UKME84
JURB69
02 Dec 2023
UKME62
JURB54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-62
79
62
+17
68avg 66
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
58avg 66
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 66
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 66
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 66
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 66
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
58-75
58
75
-17
51avg 66
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
61-79
61
79
-18
54avg 66
H18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
85avg 66
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 66
H30/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
16-19
15-17
26-14
17-20
14-16
11-24
21-22
21-20
26-13
18-13
17-18
23-27
12-17
14-18
23-27
28-17
25-22
11-26
25-31
17-19
26-8
21-23
16-27
11-20
19-23
19-18
9-14
17-24
19-21
12-16
13-18
21-17
23-15
22-25
22-27
19-17
19-16
23-27
7-16
152.4Avg total
74.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.578.9152.4-5.340%
Season at home (7)78.176.9155.0+1.357%
Season away (8)69.580.6150.1-11.125%
Last 10 (10)74.078.4152.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)71.078.2149.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.279.0143.2-14.80%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.281.0154.2-7.838%
vs Weaker (18)85.378.8164.1+6.661%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 76
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 76
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 76
A04/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
100avg 76
H09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
57-73
57
73
-16
45avg 76
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 76
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
87-92
87
92
-5
78avg 76
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 76
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 76
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 76
H30/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
20-15
20-25
23-16
18-16
17-23
24-21
18-19
17-26
27-24
20-23
22-16
22-19
26-23
29-20
17-18
7-12
21-17
10-22
19-22
24-14
22-18
20-19
16-27
17-31
27-27
25-16
18-18
18-12
27-18
20-18
23-27
19-14
17-21
16-10
24-17
23-15
13-18
15-19
17-27
158.4Avg total
79.5Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.878.1158.9+2.859%
Season at home (9)79.977.7157.6+2.256%
Season away (8)81.978.5160.4+3.462%
Last 10 (10)79.578.9158.4+0.640%
Last 5 (5)80.277.2157.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.376.4156.8+3.967%
vs Weaker (5)84.881.2166.0+3.660%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Ukmerges StekasJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/11
NKL
75.8Avg total
39.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.677.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.135.279.3+8.986%-
Last 30 away (16)37.139.776.8-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.375.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.538.072.5-3.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.839.675.4-3.938%-
vs Weaker (18)43.736.680.3+7.178%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/11
NKL
78.8Avg total
39.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)40.439.579.8+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (9)39.037.276.2+1.856%-
Last 30 away (8)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.978.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.679.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.737.374.0-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.439.779.1-0.256%-
vs Weaker (5)44.240.484.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.416.0
51.0%
51.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.9
33.6%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.211.8
64.8%
70.3%11.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.6
53.1%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.9
30.6%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
70.3%13.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLLWLLWLW
Jurbarkas
LWWLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#4
-5.2
Net rating
+1.6
103.5
Offensive rating
102.7
108.7
Defensive rating
101.1
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.1%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.6%
3-point %
30.6%
74.1%
Assist %
75.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 102.7Defence108.7 · 101.1Shooting50.7% · 49.9%3-point %33.6% · 30.6%Ball care16.9% · 19.1%Off. rebounds27.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
0
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
12/10/23Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas70-73
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga68-76
25/11/23HRytas 288-84
18/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 261-79
11/11/23ATelsiai58-75
09/11/23HSilute80-77
04/11/23HVytis VDU89-96
02/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis72-89
28/10/23HKretinga82-64
26/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-82
21/10/23HKauno Atletas79-62
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas 268-79
26/11/23AKauno Atletas76-62
25/11/23HNeptunas 288-75
18/11/23ARytas 287-92
16/11/23HRytas 282-78
11/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga57-73
09/11/23HKretinga94-80
04/11/23AVilkaviskis86-89
02/11/23HSilute77-79
28/10/23HTelsiai80-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%57%25%
Points / game73.578.169.5
Allowed / game78.976.980.6
Point differential-5.3+1.3-11.1
Avg total152.4155.0150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%56%62%
Points / game80.879.981.9
Allowed / game78.177.778.5
Point differential+2.8+2.2+3.4
Avg total158.9157.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1412286%83.773.1+10.6
2 Telsiai1613381%82.872.8+10.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1813572%79.871.2+8.6
4 Vytis VDU149564%88.683.6+5.1
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21610662%78.473.7+4.8
6 Vilkaviskis1610662%83.480.2+3.2
7 Jurbarkas1710759%80.878.1+2.8
8 Delikatesas Joniskis157847%77.984.9-7.1
9 Ukmerges Stekas156940%73.578.9-5.3
10 Kretinga1861233%77.181.3-4.2
11 Rytas 21651131%82.086.8-4.8
12 Silute1751229%79.183.5-4.5
13 Kauno Atletas1641225%74.782.3-7.6
14 Neptunas 21831517%76.986.4-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas231242362
Jurbarkas171812754
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