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Telsiai vs Jurbarkas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record12-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game73.6
Telsiai
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Jurbarkas
Lithuania
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game78.3
LithuaniaNKLRound 20· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Telsiai v Jurbarkas
05 Dec 2026
TELS v JURB
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
TELS74
JURB71
27 Feb 2025
TELS73
JURB62
03 Oct 2024
TELS85
JURB67
08 Feb 2024
TELS95
JURB85
16 Dec 2023
TELS111
JURB78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Telsiai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TelsiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTelsiai
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
73-61
73
61
+12
64avg 75
A10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 75
A15/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
94-70
94
70
+24
88avg 75
H17/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
104-70
104
70
+34
103avg 75
H22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 75
A24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
100-76
100
76
+24
103avg 75
H29/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 75
A31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
H05/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
101-102
101
102
-1
no box
A07/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
W
91-67
91
67
+24
no box
H12/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
17-14
22-13
15-10
18-10
23-21
20-22
24-19
21-21
15-21
35-12
23-16
31-16
27-20
21-18
25-16
21-13
22-14
14-22
14-20
29-16
17-13
21-17
33-30
20-12
27-23
25-23
19-30
28-18
28-15
22-15
25-15
25-27
23-32
26-21
27-22
21-18
25-14
27-20
18-15
165.1Avg total
91.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.573.6164.2+16.992%
Season at home (7)95.069.7164.7+25.3100%
Season away (6)85.378.2163.5+7.283%
Last 10 (10)91.373.8165.1+17.590%
Last 5 (5)97.279.2176.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.187.5161.6-13.412%
vs Similar (9)79.981.3161.2-1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.175.5167.6+16.585%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 80
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 80
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 80
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 80
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 80
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
97-86
97
86
+11
no box
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
no box
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
no box
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
19-17
20-23
26-19
20-27
25-21
13-24
11-21
26-22
19-23
26-19
22-15
21-23
19-18
27-25
19-13
21-22
12-14
19-21
20-22
28-21
15-18
23-13
25-25
38-15
18-24
16-22
25-25
27-25
32-23
21-26
22-27
21-16
23-11
22-29
27-26
20-17
12-20
12-17
23-28
168.1Avg total
85.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.678.3166.9+10.385%
Season at home (6)88.780.0168.7+8.783%
Season away (7)88.676.9165.4+11.786%
Last 10 (10)85.183.0168.1+2.170%
Last 5 (5)90.085.6175.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.196.0176.1-15.929%
vs Similar (6)85.575.7161.2+9.8100%
vs Weaker (17)90.579.9170.5+10.688%
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
TelsiaiJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H17/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A24/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H29/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A31/10
NKL
Silute
#7
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H05/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A07/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H12/11
NKL
81.9Avg total
45.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.780.9+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.439.781.1+1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.880.7+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.736.281.9+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.686.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.044.881.8-7.812%-
vs Similar (9)38.839.378.1-0.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.336.982.2+8.469%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/10
NKL
Nevezis
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/10
NKL
Kretinga
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/10
NKL
Silute
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H31/10
NKL
Taurage
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A05/11
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H07/11
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H12/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A14/11
NKL
82.2Avg total
43.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.682.2+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.581.9+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.782.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.082.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.084.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.447.689.0-6.129%-
vs Similar (6)44.036.280.2+7.883%-
vs Weaker (17)44.335.880.1+8.571%-
This opponent (Telsiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Telsiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Telsiai: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.723.4
60.5%
54.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.0
32.8%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.4
70.2%
67.1%14.4
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
31.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.314.7
69.0%
67.1%14.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Telsiai
WLWWWWWWWW
Jurbarkas
LWWWWLWWLW
#1
League position
#2
+18.5
Net rating
+8.7
102.9
Offensive rating
90.6
84.3
Defensive rating
81.9
55.8%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
30.0%
59.9%
Assist %
69.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 90.6Defence84.3 · 81.9Shooting55.8% · 48.5%3-point %32.8% · 30.0%Ball care13.9% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Telsiai   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Telsiai wins
2
Jurbarkas wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Jurbarkas v Telsiai102-101
07/02/26Telsiai v Jurbarkas74-71
29/11/25Jurbarkas v Telsiai74-88
27/02/25Telsiai v Jurbarkas73-62
25/01/25Jurbarkas v Telsiai100-97 OT
03/10/24Telsiai v Jurbarkas85-67
10/02/24Jurbarkas v Telsiai83-89
08/02/24Telsiai v Jurbarkas95-85
16/12/23Telsiai v Jurbarkas111-78
28/10/23Jurbarkas v Telsiai80-82
Telsiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlytaus Patriotai91-67
07/11/26AJurbarkas101-102
05/11/26HSilute103-63
31/10/26AVytis VDU91-88
29/10/26HKauno Atletas100-76
24/10/26ASuduva-Mantinga71-69
22/10/26HUkmerges Stekas104-70
17/10/26HVilkaviskis94-70
15/10/26ANeptunas 285-72
10/10/26AKedainiai BC73-61
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANeptunas 267-82
12/11/26HPlunges Olimpas93-82
07/11/26HTelsiai102-101
05/11/26AOmega-Tauras97-86
03/11/26HTaurage91-77
31/10/26HSilute72-79
29/10/26AKretinga86-79
22/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 293-79
20/10/26HNevezis69-93
17/10/26HKedainiai BC81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Telsiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game90.595.085.3
Allowed / game73.669.778.2
Point differential+16.9+25.3+7.2
Avg total164.2164.7163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+77%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL85%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game88.688.788.6
Allowed / game78.380.076.9
Point differential+10.3+8.7+11.7
Avg total166.9168.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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