PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Texas State vs James Madison Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 102-93 (OT)
33-41 44-36 25-16
Position#207
Record15-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#110
Record20-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
James Madison winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
65-70 OT
65
70
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
31-44
27-33
34-37
33-39
41-46
35-38
29-37
26-33
44-52
34-27
38-33
29-32
31-28
40-25
40-38
36-36
46-46
37-36
32-38
146.7Avg total
71.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.973.0148.8+2.950%
Season at home (15)79.470.3149.7+9.167%
Season away (15)72.375.6147.9-3.333%
Last 10 (10)71.375.4146.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)75.871.8147.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.679.4152.0-6.929%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.874.5146.3-2.740%
vs Weaker (13)80.868.3149.1+12.569%
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H01/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-39
39-40
36-30
37-34
36-25
32-29
32-28
32-33
41-38
28-34
37-32
40-40
33-36
41-37
37-33
46-30
37-37
41-36
47-35
38-44
144.7Avg total
75.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.769.2142.9+4.667%
Season at home (15)75.163.5138.7+11.687%
Season away (15)72.374.8147.1-2.547%
Last 10 (10)75.769.0144.7+6.790%
Last 5 (5)79.472.0151.4+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.366.7131.0-2.350%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.972.5143.5-1.645%
vs Weaker (13)80.567.5147.9+13.092%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: +1.7+1.7
Texas StateJames Madison
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H26/02
NCAA
66.6Avg total
33.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.369.4+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.932.570.5+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)32.336.168.3-3.820%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.566.6-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.266.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.137.769.9-5.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.434.867.2-2.430%-
vs Weaker (13)38.832.170.8+6.769%-
This opponent (James Madison) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
James MadisonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#274
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H01/02
NCAA
Troy
#68
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A26/02
NCAA
71.6Avg total
38.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.668.3+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.928.465.3+8.573%-
Last 30 away (15)36.434.871.2+1.673%-
Last 10 (10)38.333.371.6+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.672.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.231.562.7-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.231.266.4+4.082%-
vs Weaker (13)40.532.072.5+8.585%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Texas State wins
2
James Madison wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HTroy69-74
22/02/25HSouth Alabama93-92 OT
20/02/25HLouisiana Monroe80-63
15/02/25ASouth Alabama65-70 OT
14/02/25ALouisiana Monroe72-60
08/02/25ACentral Michigan70-85
06/02/25AOld Dominion64-75
01/02/25HArkansas State74-85
31/01/25HLouisiana Lafayette61-70
25/01/25AArkansas State65-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25ALouisiana Monroe85-79
22/02/25HGeorgia Southern78-73
21/02/25HGeorgia State83-63
15/02/25ACoastal Carolina74-73
14/02/25AGeorgia Southern77-72
08/02/25AToledo69-72
06/02/25HTroy64-61
01/02/25HOld Dominion68-54
31/01/25HCoastal Carolina73-64
25/01/25AGeorgia State86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game75.979.472.3
Allowed / game73.070.375.6
Point differential+2.9+9.1-3.3
Avg total148.8149.7147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %13%13%13%
James Madison
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%87%47%
Points / game73.775.172.3
Allowed / game69.263.574.8
Point differential+4.6+11.6-2.5
Avg total142.9138.7147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%53%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State3122971%79.469.2+10.1
2 South Alabama30201067%73.265.0+8.2
3 James Madison30201067%73.769.2+4.6
4 Troy29191066%73.165.6+7.6
5 Marshall30181260%75.771.9+3.8
6 Appalachian State29171259%68.663.2+5.3
7 Texas State30151550%75.973.0+2.9
8 Georgia Southern30151550%74.176.2-2.1
9 Georgia State30131743%74.978.6-3.6
10 Old Dominion31121939%68.572.9-4.4
11 Louisiana Lafayette30111937%66.573.6-7.1
12 Southern Miss30102033%72.176.5-4.4
13 Coastal Carolina31102132%66.971.3-4.4
14 Louisiana Monroe3172423%68.975.6-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Texas State334425102
James Madison41361693
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.