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Troy vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-65
39-34 39-31
Position#98
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game69.5
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#214
Record7-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Troy v Texas State
31 Dec 2025
TROY100
TEXA80
09 Jan 2025
TROY73
TEXA74
09 Mar 2024
TROY68
TEXA74
24 Jan 2024
TROY78
TEXA65
04 Feb 2023
TROY68
TEXA64
25 Feb 2022
TROY61
TEXA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern-New O.
#557
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-37
62-26
22-31
31-43
48-41
40-40
33-33
39-32
55-34
31-39
23-26
43-36
37-30
42-43
35-21
47-35
25-30
46-44
34-33
29-31
145.5Avg total
77.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.969.5149.4+10.458%
Season at home (11)87.565.1152.6+22.591%
Season away (8)69.475.6145.0-6.212%
Last 10 (10)77.068.5145.5+8.570%
Last 5 (5)72.265.8138.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.081.5156.5-6.50%
vs Similar (7)67.472.1139.6-4.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.869.0148.7+10.870%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
110-68
110
68
+42
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-33
50-27
53-30
57-38
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
31-33
32-38
40-37
35-42
39-38
43-47
33-29
34-25
29-44
39-42
36-43
36-36
144.8Avg total
71.2Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.171.6141.7-1.537%
Season at home (9)75.870.7146.4+5.133%
Season away (10)65.072.5137.5-7.540%
Last 10 (10)71.273.6144.8-2.430%
Last 5 (5)72.876.6149.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.575.2136.7-13.68%
vs Similar (13)72.868.4141.2+4.562%
vs Weaker (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -0.2-0.2
TroyTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern-New O.
#557
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/01
NCAA
67.6Avg total
36.0Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.332.367.7+3.048%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.130.269.3+8.971%-
Last 30 away (12)30.035.465.4-5.417%-
Last 10 (10)36.031.667.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)30.828.058.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (6)26.034.260.2-8.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.331.970.2+6.465%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A16/12
NCAA
Le Tourneau
#550
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
33.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.665.0-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.233.466.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)29.933.863.6-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.268.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.273.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)27.437.264.5-9.80%-
vs Similar (13)33.431.464.8+2.062%-
vs Weaker (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Troy wins
1
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Troy v Texas State68-64
31/12/22Texas State v Troy52-55
26/02/22Troy v Texas State61-66
31/12/21Texas State v Troy63-78
07/01/20Texas State v Troy63-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ASouthern Miss63-64
19/01/24ASouth Alabama71-74
13/01/24HSouthern Miss82-56
11/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette79-73
06/01/24HAppalachian State66-62
05/01/24HOld Dominion86-73
30/12/23ACoastal Carolina72-65
22/12/23HEastern Kentucky88-81
20/12/23AOle Miss53-74
13/12/23HSouthern-New O.110-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HArkansas State72-79
18/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette68-86
13/01/24ALouisiana Monroe67-54
12/01/24AArkansas State82-85
06/01/24HMarshall75-79
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
19/12/23HLe Tourneau110-68
16/12/23ASam Houston St.73-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%91%12%
Points / game79.987.569.4
Allowed / game69.565.175.6
Point differential+10.4+22.5-6.2
Avg total149.4152.6145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %11%9%12%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game70.175.865.0
Allowed / game71.670.772.5
Point differential-1.5+5.1-7.5
Avg total141.7146.4137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1917289%85.969.2+16.7
2 Appalachian State1915479%77.363.2+14.1
3 Troy1911858%79.969.5+10.4
4 Louisiana Lafayette1911858%77.872.5+5.3
5 Southern Miss1911858%69.870.6-0.7
6 South Alabama1910953%74.477.3-2.9
7 Georgia State189950%79.374.4+4.8
8 Marshall2091145%75.076.8-1.9
9 Arkansas State1981142%78.378.5-0.2
10 Texas State1971237%70.171.6-1.5
11 Louisiana Monroe1751229%67.973.2-5.3
12 Coastal Carolina1851328%75.277.8-2.6
13 Old Dominion1951426%72.277.4-5.2
14 Georgia Southern1941521%69.979.1-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy393978
Texas State343165
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